Unsettled Issues in Electrical Demand for Automotive Electrification Pathways

Unsettled Issues in Electrical Demand for Automotive Electrification Pathways
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2021-01-18
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 146860287X

With the current state of automotive electrification, predicting which electrification pathway is likely to be the most economical over a 10- to 30-year outlook is wrought with uncertainty. The development of a range of technologies should continue, including statically charged battery electric vehicles (BEVs), fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and EVs designed for a combination of plug-in and electric road system (ERS) supply. The most significant uncertainties are for the costs related to hydrogen supply, electrical supply, and battery life. This greatly is dependent on electrolyzers, fuel-cell costs, life spans and efficiencies, distribution and storage, and the price of renewable electricity. Green hydrogen will also be required as an industrial feedstock for difficult-to-decarbonize areas such as aviation and steel production, and for seasonal energy buffering in the grid. For ERSs, it is critical to understand how battery life will be affected by frequent cycling and the extent to which battery technology from hybrid vehicles can be applied. Unsettled Issues in Electrical Demand for Automotive Electrification Pathways dives into the most critical issues the mobility industry is facing. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2021004

Unsettled Issues Regarding Power Options for Decarbonized Commercial Vehicles

Unsettled Issues Regarding Power Options for Decarbonized Commercial Vehicles
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2021-09-14
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468603701

While direct electrification appears to provide the most cost-effective route to decarbonization of commercial vehicles, uptake may be constrained by critical metal supply. Additionally, it will be many years before hydrogen power becomes decarbonized or if it can ever compete economically with direct electrification. An electric road system (ERS) could offer a highly efficient and cost-effective route to direct electrification that would greatly reduce the volume of batteries required, but pilot schemes are urgently needed to provide concrete data on operating costs for different ERS technologies. Furthermore, if plug-in hybrid electric vehicles could obtain most of their power from an ERS, liquid biofuels and “electrofuels” may prove useful for occasional off-grid range extension. To achieve extremely long-range for operation in remote locations, liquid fuels remain the only viable option. Unsettled Issues Regarding Power Options for Decarbonized Commercial Vehicles discusses the analysis required to understand the lifecycle energy use for different power options for decarbonized commercial vehicles. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2021021

Unsettled Issues Regarding First- and Last-mile Transport

Unsettled Issues Regarding First- and Last-mile Transport
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2021-10-15
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468603868

Sustainable first/last/only-mile (FLO-mile) transport is the key to sustainable travel. It could directly replace private car use for short urban journeys, which account for 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions. More importantly, it could enable public transport to be used for longer journeys, which account for 6% of emissions. Active travel, such as walking and cycling, has the lowest emissions and provides huge economic benefits that pay for the required infrastructure many times over. Unsettled Issues Regarding First- and Last-Mile Transport discusses the mass switch to more sustainable modes of transport and how to increase their perceived value to users. It also covers the prioritization of publicly owned cycles over rideshare options due to the latter’s higher lifecycle emissions, including manufacture, redistribution, and service operations and station construction. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2021024

Unsettled Issues in Electrical Demand for Automotive Electrification Pathways

Unsettled Issues in Electrical Demand for Automotive Electrification Pathways
Author: Jody E. Muelaner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2021-01-18
Genre:
ISBN: 9781468602876

With the current state of automotive electrification, very large uncertainties preclude predicting which electrification pathway is likely to be most economical over a 10- to 30-year outlook. Therefore, the development of a range of technologies should continue including statically charged battery electric vehicles (BEVs), fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and electric vehicles designed for a combination of plug-in and electric road system (ERS) supply. The most significant uncertainties are for the costs related to hydrogen supply, electrical supply, and battery life. Consequently, efforts should focus on the techno-economic analysis of these parameters. The cost of green hydrogen will depend on many factors, including electrolyzer and fuel cell costs, life spans and efficiencies, distribution and storage costs, the time-based cost of renewable electricity, and the extent to which more efficient electrolyzers with heat recovery methods can be used. Green hydrogen will be required as an industrial feedstock for difficult-to-decarbonize areas such as aviation and steel production and for seasonal energy buffering in the grid. The leveling effect of this flexible demand must be considered with respect to time-dependent electricity costs. Greater certainty around hydrogen leakage rates-as well as the impact of producing composite tanks and fuel cells-is required to determine the carbon intensity of a hydrogen energy system. Variation in estimates for the electrical distribution costs linked with different pathways is largely the result of differences between geographical regions. Unit costs are well established for power converters and cabling associated with transmission and distribution. What is required here is a greater number of region-specific cost models, especially for ERSs. An improved understanding of vehicle battery life is vital in evaluating the cost of battery and hybrid vehicles. For ERSs, it is critical to understand how battery life will be affected by frequent cycling and the extent to which battery technology from hybrid vehicles can be applied. ERSs must also now be tested on busy public roads to establish maintenance costs. NOTE: SAE EDGE Research Reports are intended to identify and illuminate key issues in emerging, but still unsettled, technologies of interest to the mobility industry. The goal of SAE EDGE Research Reports is to stimulate discussion and work in the hope of promoting and speeding the resolution of identified issues. These reports are not intended to resolve the challenges they identify or close any topic to further scrutiny.

Decarbonized Power Options for Non-road Mobile Machinery

Decarbonized Power Options for Non-road Mobile Machinery
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2023-01-19
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468605593

Power options for off-road vehicles differ substantially from other commercial vehicles. Battery electrification is suitable for urban construction and light agriculture, but remote mining, forestry, and road building operations will require alternative fuels. Decarbonized Power Options for Non-road Mobile Machinery discusses these domains as well as the potential benefits and challenges of implementing fuels and energy sources such as bioenergy, e-fuels, and alcohol, as well as hydrogen, hydrocarbon, and direct methanol fuel cells. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2023002

Unsettled Technology Domains for Pathways to Automotive Decarbonization

Unsettled Technology Domains for Pathways to Automotive Decarbonization
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2020-07-22
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468601911

Replacing fossil-fueled vehicles with battery-electric ones is a risky strategy. It is likely to be limited by the supply of metals critical to battery and solar cell production, and the investment required in decarbonized electricity. Using hydrogen to store renewable energy would greatly reduce efficiency, further increasing the investment required to decarbonize the electricity supply. The lowest technical risk and most economical pathway to decarbonization is reducing private car use. Shorter journeys would be made by walking and cycling – also known as “active travel” – with public transport used for most longer journeys. Realizing this cultural change in transport behavior will first require comprehensive networks for safe and enjoyable active travel, which separate walking and cycling. All locations should connect to either a fully segregated cycleway or traffic calmed roadways with a maximum speed of 30 kph. Active travel investment can save money due to improved public health, eliminate the 11% of carbon emissions caused by short car journeys, and facilitate public transport by empowering people to reach their final destination. Bicycle manufacturing is growing rapidly and further innovations in transport cycles and other lightweight vehicles compatible with an active travel infrastructure will boost this growth. Increased use of public transportation is vital to efficiently use the limited availability of decarbonized electricity. Autonomous vehicles in private use may increase vehicle miles, but autonomous operation within public transportation systems could be transformative. The remaining private cars, buses, and heavy goods vehicles could be electrified more cost effectively using electric road systems. These enable unlimited range and smaller batteries, with the lowest societal cost of any private car-based decarbonization pathway. Although users may pay higher road tax or tolls for the infrastructure, this is easily offset by greatly reduced vehicle costs and improved efficiency. Electrification needs to be brought initially to city bus networks and heavily used transport corridors. Wider use will require standardization and investment at the federal level or continental level. NOTE: SAE EDGE™ Research Reports are intended to identify and illuminate key issues in emerging, but still unsettled, technologies of interest to the mobility industry. The goal of SAE EDGE™ Research Reports is to stimulate discussion and work in the hope of promoting and speeding resolution of identified issues. SAE EDGE™ Research Reports are not intended to resolve the issues they identify or close any topic to further scrutiny. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2020014

Decarbonized Fuel Options for Long-haul Commercial Vehicles

Decarbonized Fuel Options for Long-haul Commercial Vehicles
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2023-03-15
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468605658

Most heavy trucks should be fully electric, using a combination of batteries and catenary electrification, but heavy trucks requiring very long unsupported range will need chemical fuels. At the scale of heavy trucks, compressed hydrogen can match the specific energy of diesel, but its energy density is five times lower, limiting range to around 2,000 km. Scaling green hydrogen production and addressing leakage must be priorities. Hydrogen-derived electrofuels—or “e-fuels”—have the potential to scale, and while the economic comparison currently has unknowns, clean air considerations have gained new importance Decarbonized Power Options for Long-haul Commercial Vehicles discusses these energy sources as well as the caveats related to bioenergy usage, and reasons to prefer ethanol or methanol to diesel-type fuels. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2023005

Electric Road Systems for Dynamic Charging

Electric Road Systems for Dynamic Charging
Author: Jody Emlyn Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2022-03-11
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468604384

Electric road systems (ERS) enable dynamic charging—the most energy efficient and economical way to decarbonize road vehicles. ERS draw electrical power directly from the grid and enable vehicles with small batteries to operate without the need to stop for charging. The three main technologies (i.e., overhead catenary lines, road-bound conductive tracks, and inductive wireless systems in the road surface) are all technically proven; however, no highway system has been commercialized. Electric Road Systems for Dynamic Charging discusses the technical and economic advantages of dynamic charging and questions the current investment in battery-powered and hydrogen-fueled vehicles. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2022007

Critical Metals, Sourcing, and Long Supply Chains

Critical Metals, Sourcing, and Long Supply Chains
Author: Jody E. Muelaner
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2022-10-17
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468605186

To achieve decarbonization through means such as energy-efficient vehicles, active travel, and electrified road freight, solutions must reduce upstream demands on supply chains. However, even taking such a path, the energy transition will massively increase demand for raw materials such as cobalt, nickel, platinum group metals, and rare earth elements. Many of the metals can be largely substituted if required, so they are not truly critical to decarbonization. Critical Metals, Sourcing, and Long Supply Chains: Constraints on Transport Decarbonization discusses how lithium, silver, and copper are much more difficult to replace, and the energy transition is highly likely to depend on them. Greatly increased and more geographically dispersed investments in mineral extraction are vital. Governments must support this by giving investors clear signals about the rate of the transition, geological survey data, accelerated permits, and government backed finance. Public support for sustainable mining should be gained by raising awareness that mineral extraction is critical to combating climate change. Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2022SE2

Energy Options on the Path Toward a More Sustainable Transportation Sector

Energy Options on the Path Toward a More Sustainable Transportation Sector
Author: Sven Beiker
Publisher: SAE International
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2022-08-24
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1468604996

The transportation sector has an enormous demand for resources and energy, is a major contributor of emissions (i.e., greenhouse gases in particular), and it is defined largely by the kind of energy it uses—be it electric cars, biofuel trucks, or hydrogen aircraft. Given the size of this sector, it has a crucial role in combatting climate change and securing sustainability in its three forms: environmental, societal, and economic. Energy Options on the Path Toward a More Sustainable Transportation Sector examines the many questions concerning alternative energy options for mobility: Is hydrogen the fuel of the future? Is there is enough electricity to power a fully electric transportation sector? What happens when millions of electric vehicle batteries need to be decommissioned? Which regulatory measures are effective and appropriate for moving the sector in the right direction? What is the “right” direction? Click here to access the full SAE EDGETM Research Report portfolio. https://doi.org/10.4271/EPR2022019