Unexpected Expectations
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| Author | : Leonard M. Wapner |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 216 |
| Release | : 2012-06-04 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 1439867674 |
Unexpected Expectations: The Curiosities of a Mathematical Crystal Ball explores how paradoxical challenges involving mathematical expectation often necessitate a reexamination of basic premises. The author takes you through mathematical paradoxes associated with seemingly straightforward applications of mathematical expectation and shows how these
| Author | : Leonard M. Wapner |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 222 |
| Release | : 2012-06-04 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 1568817215 |
Unexpected Expectations: The Curiosities of a Mathematical Crystal Ball explores how paradoxical challenges involving mathematical expectation often necessitate a reexamination of basic premises. The author takes you through mathematical paradoxes associated with seemingly straightforward applications of mathematical expectation and shows how these unexpected contradictions may push you to reconsider the legitimacy of the applications. The book requires only an understanding of basic algebraic operations and includes supplemental mathematical background in chapter appendices. After a history of probability theory, it introduces the basic laws of probability as well as the definition and applications of mathematical expectation/expected value (E). The remainder of the text covers unexpected results related to mathematical expectation, including: The roles of aversion and risk in rational decision making A class of expected value paradoxes referred to as envelope problems Parrondo’s paradox—how negative (losing) expectations can be combined to give a winning result Problems associated with imperfect recall Non-zero-sum games, such as the game of chicken and the prisoner’s dilemma Newcomb’s paradox—a great philosophical paradox of free will Benford’s law and its use in computer design and fraud detection While useful in areas as diverse as game theory, quantum mechanics, and forensic science, mathematical expectation generates paradoxes that frequently leave questions unanswered yet reveal interesting surprises. Encouraging you to embrace the mysteries of mathematics, this book helps you appreciate the applications of mathematical expectation, "a statistical crystal ball." Listen to an interview with the author on NewBooksinMath.com.
| Author | : Lauren Helms |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 172 |
| Release | : 2020-08-16 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9781521189078 |
KevinWith everyone around me settling down, I'm happy to continue living my life single and carefree. That is unless I can convince the concierge, Lucy Wilson at 425 Madison to finally take me up on that offer to go out on a date.She's beautiful, friendly, and her compassion for each and every one of the residents is admirable. Something tells me that she doesn't see herself that way at all though. This is why I've made it my mission to break her out of her overly cautious shell starting with a lucky penny and a $10 raffle ticket.It was all supposed to be a little fun but when a large dose of lucky graces us, everything suddenly becomes unexpected.LucyHe thinks I don't see him, but I do. Oh yes, I've been aware of the all too good looking Kevin Harper for quite some time now. The thing is, I'm not sure that we have enough in common and I sure don't have the free time for a social life between my job and school. Dating? That's pretty far down on the list of things I'd like to check off - not by choice. That is until Kevin convinces me that a little fun is good for the soul. What started as a $10 raffle ticket turned into a vacation in Vegas and a whole lot of expectations that neither of us saw coming.I always believed in fairy tales, but I wonder if what we have is too good to be true. I can only hope that it's true what they say...After all, 425 Madison is the perfect place to fall in love.
| Author | : Duane Elmer |
| Publisher | : InterVarsity Press |
| Total Pages | : 222 |
| Release | : 2009-08-20 |
| Genre | : Religion |
| ISBN | : 0830874828 |
Duane Elmer offers the tools needed to reduce apprehension, communicate effectively and establish genuine trust and acceptance between cultures while demonstrating how we can avoid being cultural imperialists and instead become authentic ambassadors for Christ.
| Author | : Hakan Butuner |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 180 |
| Release | : 2017-04-07 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1351795864 |
The book shows how to use Planning by Design (PxD) for developing working models to any type of subject area. Section 1 describes the nature of planning in general, the formula of planning, the features that make it systematic, the essence of PxD, and developing and using the working model. Section 2 demonstrates personal application of creative planning to real life cases and practical working models on different subject areas. The book provides a general planning "master guide" that shows how to develop a working model of any definable subject matter. This objective will be accomplished by introducing the concepts, the process, and the methodology of PxD.
| Author | : Wayne J. Vick MBA CPF |
| Publisher | : iUniverse |
| Total Pages | : 449 |
| Release | : 2015-04-27 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1491763116 |
Socrates used facilitative methods in teaching philosophy, and for good reason: They work! Fast forward to today, and managers, supervisors, consultants, trainers, and others are learning to use facilitative techniques to improve performance in the workplace and other areas that demand results. The authors of this series, led by an expert with twenty-five years of experience as a professional facilitator, provide a complete model of group facilitation in Process-Based Facilitation. In this first volume, they introduce the basic skills of facilitation, the process-based facilitation model, many facilitation methods, and evaluation of the facilitators methods and assessment of style. Inside, youll get: ? tested and proven facilitation planning methods, including dozens of worksheets; ? explanations on elements of the process-based facilitation model; ? Discussion reviews the seven values of facilitation and twelve core principles of facilitation; ? multiple methods to guide intervention as a facilitator; ? sixty-five articles describing concept models, frameworks, tools, and techniques of facilitation. Loaded with figures, tables, and worksheets, this book is easy to read, review, and most importantuse. Whether youre a novice or a professional, this book will help you apply facilitative techniques to succeed in and out of work.
| Author | : James D Stein |
| Publisher | : World Scientific |
| Total Pages | : 171 |
| Release | : 2020-07-14 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 981121817X |
Can we correctly predict the flip of a fair coin more than half the time — or the decay of a single radioactive atom? Our intuition, based on a lifetime of experience, tells us that we cannot, as these are classic examples of what are known to be 50-50 guesses.But mathematics is filled with counterintuitive results — and this book discusses some surprising and entertaining examples. It is possible to devise experiments in which a flipped coin lands heads completely at random half the time, but we can also correctly predict when it will land heads more than half the time. The Fate of Schrodinger's Cat shows how high-school algebra and basic probability theory, with the invaluable assistance of computer simulations, can be used to investigate both the intuitive and the counterintuitive.This book explores fascinating and controversial questions involving prediction, decision-making, and statistical analysis in a number of diverse areas, ranging from whether there is such a thing as a 'hot hand' in shooting a basketball, to how we can successfully predict, more than half the time, the decay of the radioactive atom that determines the fate of Schrodinger's Cat.
| Author | : Saleena Landers |
| Publisher | : Saleena Landers |
| Total Pages | : 50 |
| Release | : 2019-08-04 |
| Genre | : Poetry |
| ISBN | : |
Saleena has put together this amazing poetry book Time After Time which is a collection of thoughts that are inspired by true life events and encounters that she has experienced. Saleena has been using writing as a form of therapy since the age of 13. She enjoys sharing her emotions and being nothing less than raw, uncut, authentic and 100% real with her audience through true storytelling and poems.
| Author | : Jakob Arnoldi |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 188 |
| Release | : 2013-04-17 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 0745641938 |
This book gives a comprehensive yet easily accessible introduction to risk and uncertainty as they have been analysed in sociology and related social sciences. The book draws extensively on the wide array of contemporary social theories of risk and relates these to the many and diverse areas in contemporary society where risk plays an important role. It will be an invaluable for both students and researchers interested in risk in relation to politics, the environment, health, media, science and technology and finance. Written in a clear and accessible language, the book gives a balanced account of the many theoretical approaches taken to the diverse phenomenon of risk, using concrete examples to illustrate abstract points. The book highlights some key themes such as uncertainty and individual responsibility which emerge as common to different theories and fields of study. The book is perfectly suited as an introduction for new students in sociology, political science, anthropology, media studies and health studies.
| Author | : Sharna Wiblen |
| Publisher | : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG |
| Total Pages | : 278 |
| Release | : 2024-03-18 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 3110756358 |
Talent management is a linchpin of organisational triumph in our dynamic and swiftly evolving business world. As a key decision-maker, your capacity to craft astute talent decisions holds the potential to transcend your company from mere mediocrity to unparalleled excellence. However, brace yourself for a revelation: Many of your long-held convictions about talent may be profoundly flawed. What if we shared a secret that could revolutionise your perspective? What if the gateway to unleashing your team’s boundless talents resides within your thoughts and judgments? Imagine the possibilities if you could harness exponential outcomes by elevating the calibre of your decision-making. In ReThinking Talent Decisions, Sharna Wiblen, PhD, presents an uncomfortable truth: Talent decisions are always subjective. Drawing on examples from business, sports, movies and everyday interactions, Sharna emphasises the importance of understanding complexity and encourages deliberate, intentional, and informed decisions and conversations around talent. This indispensable guide will give you insight into: The Power of Personal Judgment: Learn how your own perspectives shape the today and the future of work. The Complexity of Talent Decisions: Recognise the critical need for key decision-makers to collectively define talent in your unique context. The Human Element: Understand how harnessing your mind can propel you, your team, and your organisation to new heights. Perceptions and Values: Learn how aligning perceptions and values can revolutionise your approach. A New Paradigm: Realise that talent management is a judgment-oriented endeavour. Navigating the Intersection of Talent and Technology: Delve into the world of technology systems and understand how they bolster and shape talent decisions in today’s digital age. ReThinking Talent Decisions is your secret weapon for achieving unparalleled success in the ever-competitive corporate arena. Whether you’re a seasoned executive or a rising star, the wisdom within these pages will empower you to master the art and science of talent decisions.
