Understanding Elections
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Author | : Ole J. Forsberg |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 209 |
Release | : 2020-11-02 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1000205746 |
Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to people deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election day...or beyond. Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing explores this random phenomenon from two points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls and testing the election outcome using government-reported data. Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can—and should—be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn toward testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide a dirty little secret of the government illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome. This book includes these features designed to make your statistical journey more enjoyable: Vignettes of elections, including maps, to provide concrete bases for the material In-chapter cues to help one avoid the heavy math—or to focus on it End-of-chapter problems designed to review and extend that which was covered in the chapter Many opportunities to turn the power of the R statistical environment to the enclosed election data files, as well as to those you find interesting From these features, it is clear the audience for this book is quite diverse. This text provides mathematics for those interested in mathematics, but also offers detours for those who just want a good read and a deeper understanding of elections. Author Ole J. Forsberg holds PhDs in both political science and statistics. He currently teaches mathematics and statistics in the Department of Mathematics at Knox College in Galesburg, IL.
Author | : Ole J. Forsberg |
Publisher | : Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences |
Total Pages | : 209 |
Release | : 2020-10 |
Genre | : Elections |
ISBN | : 9780367895372 |
"Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can-and should-be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn towards testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide the dirty little secret of the government illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome"--
Author | : Torrey Maloof |
Publisher | : Shell Education |
Total Pages | : 183 |
Release | : 2017-04-04 |
Genre | : Education |
ISBN | : 154570046X |
Improve understanding of the election process for students in grades 3-5 by introducing and exploring the connections between national, state, and local elections. Students will learn to think critically about the election process while using the provided primary sources to increase comprehension. Featuring simulations, extension activities, and flexible lesson plans, this resource makes exploring the election process with students easy and engaging.
Author | : Chad Vickery |
Publisher | : IFES |
Total Pages | : 356 |
Release | : 2011 |
Genre | : Contested elections |
ISBN | : 1931459622 |
Author | : Ole J. Forsberg |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 364 |
Release | : 2024-10-31 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 104013064X |
Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to individuals deciding who to vote for, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election day... or beyond. Understanding Elections through Statistics explores this random phenomenon from three primary points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls, testing the election outcome using government-reported data, and exploring election data to better understand the people. Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can—and should—be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn toward testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide the dirty little secret of the government, illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome. This book includes these features designed to make your statistical journey more enjoyable: Vignettes of elections, including maps, starting each chapter to motivate the material In-chapter cues to help one avoid the heavy math—or to focus on it End-of-chapter problems designed to review and extend what was covered in the chapter Many opportunities to turn the power of the R Statistical Environment to the enclosed election data files, as well as to those you find interesting The second edition improves upon this and includes: A rewrite of several chapters to make the underlying concepts more clear A chapter dedicated to confidence intervals, what they mean, and what they do not Additional experiments to help you better understand the statistics of elections A new introduction to polling, its terms, its processes, and its ethics From these features, it is clear that the audience for this book is quite diverse. It provides the statistics and mathematics for those interested in statistics and mathematics, but it also provides detours for those who just want a good read and a deeper understanding of elections.
Author | : William C. Kimberling |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 20 |
Release | : 1992 |
Genre | : Electoral college |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Torrey Maloof |
Publisher | : Teacher Created Materials |
Total Pages | : 122 |
Release | : 2015-04-01 |
Genre | : Education |
ISBN | : 1425813526 |
Provide students in grades K-2 with a clear understanding of government and politics while teaching the voting process and democracy concepts. Teachers will appreciate the flexibility of the lessons, activities, and interactive opportunities that integrate key literacy skills and overall knowledge of the election process through engaging activities that include analyzing and evaluating primary sources, participating in a mock election, making connections between paired fiction and nonfiction texts, and solving engaging mazes and puzzles. Encourage civic discourse with this essential social studies resource!
Author | : Jessica Gunderson |
Publisher | : Capstone |
Total Pages | : 33 |
Release | : 2018-08 |
Genre | : Juvenile Nonfiction |
ISBN | : 1543503306 |
When election season starts, the race is on But what do campaigns, candidates, polls, and the Electoral College have to do with voting for our nation's leaders? Using engaging, age-appropriate language and colorful photos, readers decipher the complex electoral process and learn how to get involved in the next election.
Author | : United States. Federal Election Commission |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 16 |
Release | : 1994 |
Genre | : Campaign funds |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Louise I. Gerdes |
Publisher | : Greenhaven Publishing LLC |
Total Pages | : 113 |
Release | : 2014-05-20 |
Genre | : Young Adult Nonfiction |
ISBN | : 0737776552 |
The passage of Citizens United by the Supreme Court in 2010 sparked a renewed debate about campaign spending by large political action committees, or Super PACs. Its ruling said that it is okay for corporations and labor unions to spend as much as they want in advertising and other methods to convince people to vote for or against a candidate. This book provides a wide range of opinions on the issue. Includes primary and secondary sources from a variety of perspectives; eyewitnesses, scientific journals, government officials, and many others.