Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data

Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data
Author: Margherita Bottero
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 59
Release: 2019-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498301797

We study negative interest rate policy (NIRP) exploiting ECB's NIRP introduction and administrative data from Italy, severely hit by the Eurozone crisis. NIRP has expansionary effects on credit supply-- -and hence the real economy---through a portfolio rebalancing channel. NIRP affects banks with higher ex-ante net short-term interbank positions or, more broadly, more liquid balance-sheets, not with higher retail deposits. NIRP-affected banks rebalance their portfolios from liquid assets to credit—especially to riskier and smaller firms—and cut loan rates, inducing sizable real effects. By shifting the entire yield curve downwards, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the ZLB.

A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers

A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers
Author: Richard Varghese
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2018-01-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484338545

ECB President Draghi’s Jackson Hole speech in August 2014 arguably marked a new phase of unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) in the euro area. This paper examines the market impact and tranmission channels of this new wave of UMPs using a modified event study framework. They are found to have a more prominent impact on inflation expectations and exchange rates compared to the earlier UMP announcements. The impact on bank equity, however, is less significant in part due to narrowing profit margin in a low interest rate environment; and the marginal effect on sovereign spread compression has diminished. By extracting components of monetary policy shocks from the yield curve, we find that the traditional signaling channel of the monetary policy transmission continued to play an important role, but the portfolio rebalancing channel became more important in the new phase. Spillovers to non-euro area EU countries (the Czech Republic, Denmark, Poland, and Sweden) are transmitted mainly through the portfolio rebalancing channel, largely affecting sovereign yields and exchange rates.

Unconventional Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates

Unconventional Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates
Author: Mr.Tao Wu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2014-10-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149837395X

This paper examines the transmission mechanism through which unconventional monetary policy affects long-term interest rates. I construct a real-time measure summarizing market projections of the magnitude and duration of the Federal Reserve's Large Scale Asset Purchases (LSAP) program, and analyze the determination of term premiums and expectations of future short-term interest rates in a sample spanning more than two decades. Empirical findings suggest that the LSAP has effectively lowered the long-term Treasury bond yields, through both "signaling" and "portfolio balance" channels. On the other hand, the Fed's "forward guidance" also leads to gradual extension of market projections for the duration of the LSAP program, thereby enhancing the LSAP's effect to keep term premiums low. Estimation results also reveal a diminished effectiveness of the LSAP during QE III. Finally, model simulations underscore the importance of policy transparency in minimizing unnecessary market turbulence and ensuring a timely and smooth exit of the unconventional monetary policy stimulus.

The Transmission Mechanism of Unconventional Monetary Policy

The Transmission Mechanism of Unconventional Monetary Policy
Author: Jakub Janus
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

The implementation of unconventional (nonstandard) monetary policy instruments by the leading central banks at the wake of the financial and economic crisis was the most significant shift in the practice of central banking in the recent years. Evaluation of their effects is not feasible without a thorough recognition of the transmission mechanism of various balance-sheet policies, such as quantitative easing. The transmission channels of a standard interest-rate policy are based on a group of theories that are relatively coherent and well-documented. On the contrary, identification of similar framework for unconventional measures proved to be a complicated task. The aim of this paper is to extract and evaluate the theoretical efficiency of particular channels of unconventional monetary policy. This goal requires references to at least several, to some extent mutually exclusive, theories. It is also inevitable to draw one's attention to the relative significance of identified channels, depending on the nature of used unconventional tools, as well as on reactions of financial institutions and other economic agents to undertaken actions. This paper discusses three broad channel of the unconventional policies transmission mechanism: the signaling channel, the liquidity channel, and the portfolio-balance channel.

Research Handbook on Central Banking

Research Handbook on Central Banking
Author: Peter Conti-Brown
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 589
Release:
Genre: Banks and banking, Central
ISBN: 1784719226

Central banks occupy a unique space in their national governments and in the global economy. The study of central banking however, has too often been dominated by an abstract theoretical approach that fails to grasp central banks’ institutional nuances. This comprehensive and insightful Handbook, takes a wider angle on central banks and central banking, focusing on the institutions of central banking. By 'institutions', Peter Conti-Brown and Rosa Lastra refer to the laws, traditions, norms, and rules used to structure central bank organisations. The Research Handbook on Central Banking’s institutional approach is one of the most interdisciplinary efforts to consider its topic, and includes chapters from leading and rising central bankers, economists, lawyers, legal scholars, political scientists, historians, and others.

Reflections on Monetarism

Reflections on Monetarism
Author: Tim Congdon
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 328
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Offers two theses - first, on why the rise of a monetarist approach to economic policy in Britain in the 1970s enabled the Thatcher government's success in reducing inflation in the 1980s and the second, on how the abandonment of them in the mid-1980s led to inflation in the late 1980s.

Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel

Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2013-06-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484381130

We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.

Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance

Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance
Author: Suk-Joong Kim
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Total Pages: 626
Release: 2017
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789813223578

The contents in this volume are based on the program Sets and Computations that was held at the Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore from 30 March until 30 April 2015. This special collection reports on important and recen