Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling with EXCEL

Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling with EXCEL
Author: Eduardo Souza de Cursi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2022
Genre:
ISBN: 9783030777586

This book presents techniques for determining uncertainties in numerical solutions with applications in the fields of business administration, civil engineering, and economics, using Excel as a computational tool. Also included are solutions to uncertainty problems involving stochastic methods. The list of topics specially covered in this volume includes linear and nonlinear programming, Lagrange multipliers (for sensitivity), multi objective optimization, and Game Theory, as well as linear algebraic equations, and probability and statistics. The book also provides a selection of numerical methods developed for Excel, in order to enhance readers' understanding. As such, it offers a valuable guide for all graduate and undergraduate students in the fields of economics, business administration, civil engineering, and others that rely on Excel as a research tool.

Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling with EXCEL

Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling with EXCEL
Author: Eduardo Souza de Cursi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 536
Release: 2022-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 303077757X

This book presents techniques for determining uncertainties in numerical solutions with applications in the fields of business administration, civil engineering, and economics, using Excel as a computational tool. Also included are solutions to uncertainty problems involving stochastic methods. The list of topics specially covered in this volume includes linear and nonlinear programming, Lagrange multipliers (for sensitivity), multi objective optimization, and Game Theory, as well as linear algebraic equations, and probability and statistics. The book also provides a selection of numerical methods developed for Excel, in order to enhance readers’ understanding. As such, it offers a valuable guide for all graduate and undergraduate students in the fields of economics, business administration, civil engineering, and others that rely on Excel as a research tool.

Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling
Author: José Eduardo Souza De Cursi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 282
Release: 2023-10-21
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3031470362

This proceedings book covers a wide range of topics related to uncertainty analysis and its application in various fields of engineering and science. It explores uncertainties in numerical simulations for soil liquefaction potential, the toughness properties of construction materials, experimental tests on cyclic liquefaction potential, and the estimation of geotechnical engineering properties for aerogenerator foundation design. Additionally, the book delves into uncertainties in concrete compressive strength, bio-inspired shape optimization using isogeometric analysis, stochastic damping in rotordynamics, and the hygro-thermal properties of raw earth building materials. It also addresses dynamic analysis with uncertainties in structural parameters, reliability-based design optimization of steel frames, and calibration methods for models with dependent parameters. The book further explores mechanical property characterization in 3D printing, stochastic analysis in computational simulations, probability distribution in branching processes, data assimilation in ocean circulation modeling, uncertainty quantification in climate prediction, and applications of uncertainty quantification in decision problems and disaster management. This comprehensive collection provides insights into the challenges and solutions related to uncertainty in various scientific and engineering contexts.

Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling
Author: José Eduardo Souza De Cursi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 472
Release: 2020-08-19
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3030536696

This proceedings book discusses state-of-the-art research on uncertainty quantification in mechanical engineering, including statistical data concerning the entries and parameters of a system to produce statistical data on the outputs of the system. It is based on papers presented at Uncertainties 2020, a workshop organized on behalf of the Scientific Committee on Uncertainty in Mechanics (Mécanique et Incertain) of the AFM (French Society of Mechanical Sciences), the Scientific Committee on Stochastic Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification of the ABCM (Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences) and the SBMAC (Brazilian Society of Applied Mathematics).

Uncertainty Quantification using R

Uncertainty Quantification using R
Author: Eduardo Souza de Cursi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 768
Release: 2023-02-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3031177851

This book is a rigorous but practical presentation of the techniques of uncertainty quantification, with applications in R and Python. This volume includes mathematical arguments at the level necessary to make the presentation rigorous and the assumptions clearly established, while maintaining a focus on practical applications of uncertainty quantification methods. Practical aspects of applied probability are also discussed, making the content accessible to students. The introduction of R and Python allows the reader to solve more complex problems involving a more significant number of variables. Users will be able to use examples laid out in the text to solve medium-sized problems. The list of topics covered in this volume includes linear and nonlinear programming, Lagrange multipliers (for sensitivity), multi-objective optimization, game theory, as well as linear algebraic equations, and probability and statistics. Blending theoretical rigor and practical applications, this volume will be of interest to professionals, researchers, graduate and undergraduate students interested in the use of uncertainty quantification techniques within the framework of operations research and mathematical programming, for applications in management and planning.

Uncertainty Quantification

Uncertainty Quantification
Author: Christian Soize
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 344
Release: 2017-04-24
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3319543393

This book presents the fundamental notions and advanced mathematical tools in the stochastic modeling of uncertainties and their quantification for large-scale computational models in sciences and engineering. In particular, it focuses in parametric uncertainties, and non-parametric uncertainties with applications from the structural dynamics and vibroacoustics of complex mechanical systems, from micromechanics and multiscale mechanics of heterogeneous materials. Resulting from a course developed by the author, the book begins with a description of the fundamental mathematical tools of probability and statistics that are directly useful for uncertainty quantification. It proceeds with a well carried out description of some basic and advanced methods for constructing stochastic models of uncertainties, paying particular attention to the problem of calibrating and identifying a stochastic model of uncertainty when experimental data is available. This book is intended to be a graduate-level textbook for students as well as professionals interested in the theory, computation, and applications of risk and prediction in science and engineering fields.

Spectral Methods for Uncertainty Quantification

Spectral Methods for Uncertainty Quantification
Author: Olivier Le Maitre
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 536
Release: 2010-12-02
Genre: Science
ISBN: 9789048135257

This book deals with the application of spectral methods to problems of uncertainty propagation and quanti?cation in model-based computations. It speci?cally focuses on computational and algorithmic features of these methods which are most useful in dealing with models based on partial differential equations, with special att- tion to models arising in simulations of ?uid ?ows. Implementations are illustrated through applications to elementary problems, as well as more elaborate examples selected from the authors’ interests in incompressible vortex-dominated ?ows and compressible ?ows at low Mach numbers. Spectral stochastic methods are probabilistic in nature, and are consequently rooted in the rich mathematical foundation associated with probability and measure spaces. Despite the authors’ fascination with this foundation, the discussion only - ludes to those theoretical aspects needed to set the stage for subsequent applications. The book is authored by practitioners, and is primarily intended for researchers or graduate students in computational mathematics, physics, or ?uid dynamics. The book assumes familiarity with elementary methods for the numerical solution of time-dependent, partial differential equations; prior experience with spectral me- ods is naturally helpful though not essential. Full appreciation of elaborate examples in computational ?uid dynamics (CFD) would require familiarity with key, and in some cases delicate, features of the associated numerical methods. Besides these shortcomings, our aim is to treat algorithmic and computational aspects of spectral stochastic methods with details suf?cient to address and reconstruct all but those highly elaborate examples.

Uncertainty Quantification

Uncertainty Quantification
Author: Ralph C. Smith
Publisher: SIAM
Total Pages: 400
Release: 2013-12-02
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1611973228

The field of uncertainty quantification is evolving rapidly because of increasing emphasis on models that require quantified uncertainties for large-scale applications, novel algorithm development, and new computational architectures that facilitate implementation of these algorithms. Uncertainty Quantification: Theory, Implementation, and Applications provides readers with the basic concepts, theory, and algorithms necessary to quantify input and response uncertainties for simulation models arising in a broad range of disciplines. The book begins with a detailed discussion of applications where uncertainty quantification is critical for both scientific understanding and policy. It then covers concepts from probability and statistics, parameter selection techniques, frequentist and Bayesian model calibration, propagation of uncertainties, quantification of model discrepancy, surrogate model construction, and local and global sensitivity analysis. The author maintains a complementary web page where readers can find data used in the exercises and other supplementary material.

Uncertainty Quantification and Model Calibration

Uncertainty Quantification and Model Calibration
Author: Jan Peter Hessling
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Total Pages: 228
Release: 2017-07-05
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 9535132792

Uncertainty quantification may appear daunting for practitioners due to its inherent complexity but can be intriguing and rewarding for anyone with mathematical ambitions and genuine concern for modeling quality. Uncertainty quantification is what remains to be done when too much credibility has been invested in deterministic analyses and unwarranted assumptions. Model calibration describes the inverse operation targeting optimal prediction and refers to inference of best uncertain model estimates from experimental calibration data. The limited applicability of most state-of-the-art approaches to many of the large and complex calculations made today makes uncertainty quantification and model calibration major topics open for debate, with rapidly growing interest from both science and technology, addressing subtle questions such as credible predictions of climate heating.