Unbiasedness and Risk Premiums in the Indian Currency Futures Market

Unbiasedness and Risk Premiums in the Indian Currency Futures Market
Author: Satish Kumar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper explores the relationship between currency futures and realized spot rates for the Indian rupee US dollar exchange rate. Using futures contracts with maturities of one, two and three months, we examine the unbiasedness of futures quotes as a predictor of the spot exchange rate as well as the nature of time-varying risk premiums in this emerging market. Empirical estimates, obtained using monthly data, suggest that there is a significant time-varying risk premium in the considered futures market. We also find that the premium is of greater magnitude and more significant with increasing maturity of the futures contracts. We also examine the relationship between realized risk premiums and explanatory variables such as the spot rate, basis and realized volatility, skewness and kurtosis of the spot exchange rate. Our results show that the level of the spot rate as well as its realized volatility can be considered as significant determinants of realized risk premiums in the considered futures market.

Macroeconomics and Markets in Developing and Emerging Economies

Macroeconomics and Markets in Developing and Emerging Economies
Author: Ashima Goyal
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 331
Release: 2016-11-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1315398567

The book presents and further develops basic principles and concepts in international finance and open economy macroeconomics to make them more relevant for emerging and developing economies (EDEs). The volume emphasises the necessity of greater knowledge of context as populous Asian economies integrate with world markets, as well as the rapidly changing nature of the area due to rethinking after the global financial crisis. It addresses a host of themes, including key issues such as exchange rate economics, macroeconomic policy in an open economy, analytical frameworks for and experience of EDEs after liberalisation, the international financial system, currency and financial crises, continuing risks and regulatory response. This book will be useful to scholars and researchers of economics, especially in macroeconomics, business and finance and development studies.

eBook: Corporate Finance 5e

eBook: Corporate Finance 5e
Author: David Hillier
Publisher: McGraw Hill
Total Pages: 955
Release: 2024-02-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1526849925

The fifth European edition of Corporate Finance takes an applied approach to cover all the latest research and topic areas important to students taking Finance courses. The new edition provides an international perspective on all areas of corporate finance and has been updated to include discussion on current trends such as the integrated nature of global supply chains, financial risk management, and key regulatory changes impacting the sector. It addresses the impact that FinTech, the climate and geopolitics are having on the development of corporate finance, considers the questions brought about by the global corona virus pandemic, and looks to the future of the industry. Understanding and Application •Clear, user-friendly style •Example boxes in every chapter provide hypothetical examples to illustrate theoretical concepts such as cash flow timing, dividend smoothing and differential growth. •Real World Insight boxes use companies like Apple, Volkswagen and Adidas to show how they have applied corporate finance theories and concepts to their business decisions. •Chapter links throughout provide quick cross-referencing to show the connections between topics. Practice and Proficiency •Mini and Practical cases present scenarios and questions to practice application and learning. •Questions and Problems in each chapter, categorised by topic and level of difficulty, allow for rigorous testing of the chapter content. •Numbered maths equations and key notation boxes listing the variables and acronyms that will be encountered in each chapter, designed to encourage mastery of Maths. •Exam Questions designed to take 45 minutes and test you on material learned in a more formal exam style. •Connect® resources include algorithmic questions designed to ensure equations and calculations are not learned by rote but by thorough understanding and practice. New to This Edition •Sustainability in Action boxes draw on issues relating to the environment, society, the economy and climate change to show how corporate finance is so important to the resolution of sustainability challenges. •Updated discussions and new sections on sustainable value added, green bonds, dividend policy and share repurchases, Islamic Financing, intangible valuation, and the differential value method. Available on McGraw Hill’s Connect®, the well-established online learning platform, which features our award-winning adaptive reading experience as well as resources to help faculty and institutions improve student outcomes and course delivery efficiency. To learn more, visit mheducation.co.uk/connect David Hillier is Associate Principal and Executive Dean of the University of Strathclyde Business School. A Professor of Finance, David was recognized as being in the top 3 per cent of the most prolific finance researchers in the world over the past 50 years (Heck and Cooley, 2009) and appears regularly in the media as a business commentator. His YouTube channel of finance lectures (professordavidhillier) has attracted nearly half a million views worldwide. This European edition is originally based on the Corporate Finance text by Stephen A. Ross, Randolph W. Westerfield, Jeffrey F. Jaffe, and Bradford D. Jordan.

International Financial Management

International Financial Management
Author: Madhuvij
Publisher: Excel Books India
Total Pages: 692
Release: 2006
Genre: Business enterprises
ISBN: 9788174463487

The book is fundamentally designed to serve as an introduction to the study of Multinational Financial Management for students and managers with little previous exposure to the details of this area. The book provides an overview of the financial environment in which multinational firms operate. It also provides a thorough discussion on the Balance of payments and international financial institutions and financial markets. It also discusses the organization and operations of the foreign exchange.

FUNDAMENTALS OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, SECOND EDITION

FUNDAMENTALS OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, SECOND EDITION
Author: KEVIN, S.
Publisher: PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.
Total Pages: 322
Release: 2022-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9391818390

This Second Edition of the book explains, with precision and clarity, the basic concepts, theories and practices of international financial management. As international transactions form an integral part of economic activities in the modern globalized economic environment, practising managers need to know the fundamentals of international finance. And this book, written by Professor S. Kevin, who has a rich and long experience in teaching international finance, eminently fulfils this need. The book begins with an explanation of the exchange rate mechanism of foreign currencies, factors influencing exchange rate fluctuations, and the trading mechanism in foreign exchange markets. As currency forwards, futures, options and swaps are the instruments of currency derivatives used as hedging and speculative tools, the book goes on to give a detailed description of the use of currency derivatives for hedging as well as speculative functions. It contains an analysis of international financial institutions and their functioning, the participants and instruments of global financial markets where international funds are raised, the many uses of international funds in the form of portfolio investments, and direct investments in host countries. The book is primarily intended as a text for postgraduate students of commerce and management, chartered accountancy (CA) and chartered financial analysis (CFA). It would also be of immense value to practising professionals in the field of international finance. KEY FEATURES • Illustrates the concepts with the help of examples, figures and tables. • Clearly explains risk management tools and techniques. • Discusses the role of international financial institutions in the global financial market. • Is a handy text for self-study. ADDITIONS IN SECOND EDITION • Exchange rates have been revised to current levels • Two new chapters on ‘International Projects and Portfolios’ and ‘ Practices and Problems of International Financial Management’ have been added

Exchange Rate Expectations

Exchange Rate Expectations
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 36
Release: 1990-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145197020X

This paper presents a brief survey of the empirical literature on survey-based exchange rate expectations. The literature in general supports the presence of a non-zero risk premium and rejects the hypothesis of rational expectations. The crucial result is that, while short-run expectations tend to move away from some long-run “normal” values, long-run expectations tend to regress toward them. If this nature of short-run expectations increases the volatility of exchange rate movements, there may be a basis for some official measure to minimize short-run exchange rate movements.

The Equity Risk Premium

The Equity Risk Premium
Author: William N. Goetzmann
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 568
Release: 2006-11-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199881979

What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

Uncovered Interest Parity

Uncovered Interest Parity
Author: Mr.Peter Isard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 14
Release: 1991-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This note provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod and continuous time models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds, at least for the time being, by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 1990-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451975007

This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical literature in acting as if all market participants share the same expectation. The second half then addresses the possibility of heterogeneous expectations, particularly the distinction between “chartists” and “fundamentalists,” and the implications for trading in the foreign exchange market and for the formation of speculative bubbles.