Three Essays on Information Efficiency in Financial Markets and Product Market Interaction

Three Essays on Information Efficiency in Financial Markets and Product Market Interaction
Author: Haina Ding
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

This dissertation contains three independent essays. The first two essays look at the informational role of stock prices and its impact on the real economy. The last one explores the relationship between managerial incentive and product market competition. In the first essay, two firms compete in a product market and have an opportunity to invest in a risky technology either early on as a leader or later once stock prices reveal the value of the technology. Information leakage thus introduces an option of waiting, which enhances production efficiency. A potential leader may nevertheless be discouraged from investing upfront, when anticipating its competitor to invest later in response to good news. I show that an increase in product market competition increases the option value of waiting but has an ambiguous effect on information production. It may thus be the case that intense competition leads to more leakage such that no firm would invest, especially so in a smaller market. Given a moderate level of competition, price informativeness may improve investment outcome when investment profitability and the market size are relatively large. The second essay examines the feedback effects of certifications in financial markets. A firm has to decide whether to monitor (or to ascertain) internally the prospect of a potential investment or to delegate this task to a certifier who reveals his evaluations to the outsiders. The investment decision is then taken based on all of the information available in the market. The information asymmetry between the firm and lenders is alleviated under delegation, and hence the firm enjoys a lower cost of capital at the financing stage. Delegation however reduces the information advantage of speculators who then make less effort to acquire information. This results in a potential information crowding-out effect. We show that the firm may prefer to delegate when the prior belief about the investment prospect is relatively high, and to choose in-house information production when its own signal is more precise and when its current assets in place generate a higher expected payoff. The third essay considers a spatial competition model with horizontal and vertical differentiation. Two firms are assigned to exogenous locations on a circular city. Consumers, distributed on the circle, need to pay a transportation cost for purchasing. Anticipating a future uncertainty in product quality, firms simultaneously offer incentive contracts to managers to induce an optimal effort level. I show that competition may adversely affects incentives, as a lower transportation cost impairs a firm's local market power and consequently reduces a firm's marginal benefit from producing a high quality product, particularly when its competitor also produces a high quality product. On the other hand, greater competition reduces a firm's profit if it fails to improve product quality. This effect increases the optimal effort level and becomes dominant if the quality improvement is relatively large compared to the effort cost. Moreover, a large decrease in the transportation cost may change the market structure, such that the firm with better quality goods attracts all the demand, and thus the positive effect of competition on managerial effort becomes more significant.

Essays on Modern Financial Markets

Essays on Modern Financial Markets
Author: Markus Baldauf
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

Trading in public equity markets has changed drastically over the past decade: it has become largely automated and orders of magnitudes faster, and it has become spread out across many venues. This dissertation investigates how this transformation has affected market outcomes. Chapter 1 investigates the effect of the proliferation of exchanges on the bid-ask spread. The welfare consequences of increased exchange competition are theoretically ambiguous. While com- petition does place downward pressure on the bid-ask spread, this force may be outweighed by increased adverse selection of liquidity providers that stems from additional arbitrage opportunities. We investigate this ambiguity empirically by estimating key parameters of the model using detailed trading data from Australia. The benefits of increased competition are outweighed by the costs of multi-venue arbitrage. Compared to the prevailing duopoly, we predict that the counterfactual spread under a monopoly would be 23 percent lower. Further, market design variations on the continuous limit order book would eliminate profits from cross-venue arbitrage strategies and reduce the spread by 51 percent. Finally, eliminating off-exchange trades, so-called dark trading, would reduce the spread by 11 percent. Chapter 2 studies the effect of trading speed on market outcomes in a setting where information acquisition is endogenous. An increase in trading speed crowds out information acquisition by reducing the gains from trading against mispriced quotes. Thus, faster speeds have two effects on traditional measures of market performance. First, the bid-ask spread declines, since there are fewer informational asymmetries. Second, price efficiency deteriorates, since less information is available to be incorporated into prices. A general tradeoff exists between low spreads and price efficiency. We characterize the frontier of this tradeoff and evaluate several trading mechanisms within this framework. The prevalent limit order book mechanism generally does not induce outcomes on this frontier. We consider two alternatives: first, a small delay added to the processing of all orders except cancellations, and second, frequent batch auctions. Both induce equilibrium outcomes on this frontier. Chapter 3 investigates the consequences of information arrival on market outcomes in an environment where both high-frequency traders and slow traders engage in liquidity provision. To that end, we develop a model that predicts that fast traders achieve a relative increase in profits obtained from liquidity provision following a news event, which they achieve both by (i) trading smaller volumes at mispriced quotes, and (ii) winning the race to supply liquidity at updated quotes. We find strong support for these model predictions using data from NASDAQ and the Toronto Stock Exchange. The identification strategy is based on an unanticipated news event in which the Twitter feed of the Associated Press falsely reported a successful terrorist attack.

Essays in Information and Contracts in Financial Markets

Essays in Information and Contracts in Financial Markets
Author: Gregory William Weitzner
Publisher:
Total Pages: 166
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

My dissertation contains two chapters. In chapter one I explore the relationship between debt maturity and information production in a theoretical model. In my model, long-term financing creates an excessive tendency for financiers to acquire information and screen out lower quality borrowers. In contrast, short-term financing deters information production at origination but induces it when firms are forced to liquidate, depressing the market value of assets due to adverse selection. Through the feedback effect between firms' maturity structures and asset prices, increases in uncertainty can impair the aggregate volume of short-term financing and investment. The analysis can jointly rationalize i) the widespread use of short-term debt by financial firms, ii) periodic disruptions in short-term funding markets and iii) regulations that curb short-term funding markets in normal times and support them in periods of market stress. In the second chapter, I analyze information externalities in the interbank market. In the model, banks use their information to adjust the size of loans rather than the prices they offer to counterparties because of adverse selection. Each banks' individual rationing decision creates an information externality that increases the efficiency of trade. This information externality occurs even though information is not shared and banks compete with each other. However, banks do not internalize the cost their contracts impose on other banks through the counterparty's likelihood of default, which creates a counteracting negative externality that exacerbates as the number banks increases. The model provides a microfoundation for interbank discipline and has implications for the optimal structure of interbank markets

Three Essays on Financial Markets

Three Essays on Financial Markets
Author: Lu Zhang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 137
Release: 2015
Genre: Depressions
ISBN:

This thesis consists of three essays. The first essay studies the ability of stock return idiosyncrasy to predict future economic conditions over time. The second essay investigates the technological innovation and creative destruction during the 1920s and the 1930s, one of the most innovative periods in the 20th century. The third essay tests the performance of an investment strategy using information about past market-wide comovement. Stock return idiosyncrasy, defined as the ratio of firm-specific to systematic risk in individual stock returns, contains information about future growth rate in real GDP, industrial production, real fixed assets investment, and unemployment. Forecasts are generally significant one-quarter-ahead, particularly after World War II. These effects persist after controlling for other potential leading economic indicators, both in-sample and out-of-sample. These findings are consistent with information generating firms, presumably uniquely well-informed about economic conditions because their core business is information, adjusting their information production before downturns. The second essay studies the process of creative destruction during the technological revolution in the 1920s and 1930s. Intensified creative destruction magnifies the performance gap between winner and loser firms, and thus elevates firm-specific stock return variation. We find high firm-specific return variation in innovative industries and firms during the 1920s boom and the subsequent depression. We also find some evidence of elevated firm-specific return variation in manufacturing sectors with higher labor productivity, more research staff and more extensive electrification. In the third essay, we define the directional market-wide comovement measure as the proportion of stocks moving up together. Positing that high comovement reflects large fund inflows, we devise an investment strategy of entering the market whenever positive directional market-wide comovement passes a certain threshold. Specifically, this comovement-based investment strategy holds the market index when the market-wide upward comovement in the prior one to four weeks is above the fourth decile of the historical comovement distribution, and invests in the risk-free asset otherwise. During the sample period of 1954 to 2014, this strategy outperforms the NYSE value-weighted market index by 6.42% per year. Out of sample tests using NASDAQ stocks and TSE stocks validate the strategy. Our findings suggest that marketwide upward comovement identifies periods of market run-ups, when unsophisticated investor buying is apt to be driven by herding or information cascades.

Theory And Reality In Financial Economics: Essays Toward A New Political Finance

Theory And Reality In Financial Economics: Essays Toward A New Political Finance
Author: George M Frankfurter
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2007-11-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9814475017

The current literature on financial economics is dominated by neoclassical dogma and, supposedly, the notion of value-neutrality. However, the failure of neoclassical economics to deal with real financial phenomena suggests that this might be too simplistic of an approach.This book consists of a collection of essays dealing with financial markets' imperfections, and the inability of neoclassical economics to deal with such imperfections. Its central argument is that financial economics, as based on the tenets of neoclassical economics, cannot answer or solve the real-life problems that people face. It also shows the direct relationship between economics and politics — something that is usually denied in academic models, given that science is supposed to be value-neutral. In this thought-provoking and avant-garde book, the author not only exposes what has gone wrong, but also suggests reforms to both the academic and the political-economic systems that might help make markets fair rather than efficient. Drawing on interdisciplinary fields, this book will appeal to readers who are interested in finance, economics, business, the political economy and philosophy.