Tube Estimates for Hypoelliptic Diffusions and Scaling Properties of Stochastic Volatility Models

Tube Estimates for Hypoelliptic Diffusions and Scaling Properties of Stochastic Volatility Models
Author: Paolo Pigato
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

In this thesis we address two problems. In the first part we consider hypoelliptic diffusions, under both strong and weak Hormander condition. We find Gaussian estimates for the density of the law of the solution at a fixed, short time. A main tool to prove these estimates is Malliavin Calculus, in particular some techniques recently developed to deal with degenerate problems. We then use these short-time estimates to show exponential two-sided bounds for the probability that the diffusion remains in a small tube around a deterministic path up to a given time. In our hypoelliptic framework, the shape of the tube must reflect the fact the diffusion moves with a different speed in the direction of the diffusion coefficient and in the direction of the Lie brackets. For this reason we introduce a norm accounting of this anisotropic behavior, which can be adapted to both the strong and weak Hormander framework. We establish a connection between this norm and the standard control distance in the strong Hormander case. In the weak Hormander case, we introduce a suitable equivalent control distance. In the second part of the thesis we work with mean reverting stochastic volatility models, with a volatility driven by a jump process. We first suppose that the jumps follow a Poisson process, and consider the decay of cross asset correlations, both theoretically and empirically. This leads us to study an algorithm for the detection of jumps in the volatility profile. We then consider a more subtle phenomenon widely observed in financial indices: the multiscaling of moments, i.e. the fact that the q-moment of the log-increment of the price on a time lag of length h scales as h to a certain power of q, which is non-linear in q. We work with models where the volatility follows a mean reverting SDE driven by a Lévy subordinator. We show that multiscaling occurs if the characteristic measure of the Lévy has power law tails and the mean reversion is super-linear at infinity. In this case the scaling function is piecewise linear.

Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models

Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models
Author: Sassan Alizadeh
Publisher:
Total Pages: 65
Release: 2001
Genre:
ISBN:

We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically, and empirically that the range is not only a highly efficient volatility proxy, but also that it is approximately Gaussian and robust to microstructure noise. The good properties of the range imply that range-based Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimation produces simple and highly efficient estimates of stochastic volatility models and extractions of latent volatility series. We use our method to examine the dynamics of daily exchange rate volatility and discover that traditional one-factor models are inadequate for describing simultaneously the high- and low-frequency dynamics of volatility. Instead, the evidence points strongly toward tw-factor models with one highly persistent factor and one quickly mean-reverting factor.

Differential Equations Driven by Rough Paths

Differential Equations Driven by Rough Paths
Author: Terry J. Lyons
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 126
Release: 2007-04-25
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3540712852

Each year young mathematicians congregate in Saint Flour, France, and listen to extended lecture courses on new topics in Probability Theory. The goal of these notes, representing a course given by Terry Lyons in 2004, is to provide a straightforward and self supporting but minimalist account of the key results forming the foundation of the theory of rough paths.

Rare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods

Rare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods
Author: Gerardo Rubino
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 278
Release: 2009-03-18
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780470745410

In a probabilistic model, a rare event is an event with a very small probability of occurrence. The forecasting of rare events is a formidable task but is important in many areas. For instance a catastrophic failure in a transport system or in a nuclear power plant, the failure of an information processing system in a bank, or in the communication network of a group of banks, leading to financial losses. Being able to evaluate the probability of rare events is therefore a critical issue. Monte Carlo Methods, the simulation of corresponding models, are used to analyze rare events. This book sets out to present the mathematical tools available for the efficient simulation of rare events. Importance sampling and splitting are presented along with an exposition of how to apply these tools to a variety of fields ranging from performance and dependability evaluation of complex systems, typically in computer science or in telecommunications, to chemical reaction analysis in biology or particle transport in physics. Graduate students, researchers and practitioners who wish to learn and apply rare event simulation techniques will find this book beneficial.

Markov Processes and Differential Equations

Markov Processes and Differential Equations
Author: Mark I. Freidlin
Publisher: Birkhäuser
Total Pages: 155
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3034891911

Probabilistic methods can be applied very successfully to a number of asymptotic problems for second-order linear and non-linear partial differential equations. Due to the close connection between the second order differential operators with a non-negative characteristic form on the one hand and Markov processes on the other, many problems in PDE's can be reformulated as problems for corresponding stochastic processes and vice versa. In the present book four classes of problems are considered: - the Dirichlet problem with a small parameter in higher derivatives for differential equations and systems - the averaging principle for stochastic processes and PDE's - homogenization in PDE's and in stochastic processes - wave front propagation for semilinear differential equations and systems. From the probabilistic point of view, the first two topics concern random perturbations of dynamical systems. The third topic, homog- enization, is a natural problem for stochastic processes as well as for PDE's. Wave fronts in semilinear PDE's are interesting examples of pattern formation in reaction-diffusion equations. The text presents new results in probability theory and their applica- tion to the above problems. Various examples help the reader to understand the effects. Prerequisites are knowledge in probability theory and in partial differential equations.

Fourier Analysis

Fourier Analysis
Author: Elias M. Stein
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2011-02-11
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1400831237

This first volume, a three-part introduction to the subject, is intended for students with a beginning knowledge of mathematical analysis who are motivated to discover the ideas that shape Fourier analysis. It begins with the simple conviction that Fourier arrived at in the early nineteenth century when studying problems in the physical sciences--that an arbitrary function can be written as an infinite sum of the most basic trigonometric functions. The first part implements this idea in terms of notions of convergence and summability of Fourier series, while highlighting applications such as the isoperimetric inequality and equidistribution. The second part deals with the Fourier transform and its applications to classical partial differential equations and the Radon transform; a clear introduction to the subject serves to avoid technical difficulties. The book closes with Fourier theory for finite abelian groups, which is applied to prime numbers in arithmetic progression. In organizing their exposition, the authors have carefully balanced an emphasis on key conceptual insights against the need to provide the technical underpinnings of rigorous analysis. Students of mathematics, physics, engineering and other sciences will find the theory and applications covered in this volume to be of real interest. The Princeton Lectures in Analysis represents a sustained effort to introduce the core areas of mathematical analysis while also illustrating the organic unity between them. Numerous examples and applications throughout its four planned volumes, of which Fourier Analysis is the first, highlight the far-reaching consequences of certain ideas in analysis to other fields of mathematics and a variety of sciences. Stein and Shakarchi move from an introduction addressing Fourier series and integrals to in-depth considerations of complex analysis; measure and integration theory, and Hilbert spaces; and, finally, further topics such as functional analysis, distributions and elements of probability theory.

Functional Analysis

Functional Analysis
Author: Elias M. Stein
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 443
Release: 2011-09-11
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0691113874

"This book covers such topics as Lp ̂spaces, distributions, Baire category, probability theory and Brownian motion, several complex variables and oscillatory integrals in Fourier analysis. The authors focus on key results in each area, highlighting their importance and the organic unity of the subject"--Provided by publisher.

p-adic Differential Equations

p-adic Differential Equations
Author: Kiran S. Kedlaya
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 399
Release: 2010-06-10
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1139489208

Over the last 50 years the theory of p-adic differential equations has grown into an active area of research in its own right, and has important applications to number theory and to computer science. This book, the first comprehensive and unified introduction to the subject, improves and simplifies existing results as well as including original material. Based on a course given by the author at MIT, this modern treatment is accessible to graduate students and researchers. Exercises are included at the end of each chapter to help the reader review the material, and the author also provides detailed references to the literature to aid further study.

Large Deviations and Asymptotic Methods in Finance

Large Deviations and Asymptotic Methods in Finance
Author: Peter K. Friz
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 590
Release: 2015-06-16
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3319116053

Topics covered in this volume (large deviations, differential geometry, asymptotic expansions, central limit theorems) give a full picture of the current advances in the application of asymptotic methods in mathematical finance, and thereby provide rigorous solutions to important mathematical and financial issues, such as implied volatility asymptotics, local volatility extrapolation, systemic risk and volatility estimation. This volume gathers together ground-breaking results in this field by some of its leading experts. Over the past decade, asymptotic methods have played an increasingly important role in the study of the behaviour of (financial) models. These methods provide a useful alternative to numerical methods in settings where the latter may lose accuracy (in extremes such as small and large strikes, and small maturities), and lead to a clearer understanding of the behaviour of models, and of the influence of parameters on this behaviour. Graduate students, researchers and practitioners will find this book very useful, and the diversity of topics will appeal to people from mathematical finance, probability theory and differential geometry.

The Banach–Tarski Paradox

The Banach–Tarski Paradox
Author: Grzegorz Tomkowicz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 367
Release: 2016-06-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1107042593

The Banach-Tarski Paradox seems patently false. The authors explain it and its implications in terms appropriate for an undergraduate.