Trading Against The Crowd
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| Author | : John F. Summa |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 227 |
| Release | : 2004-10-27 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0471701017 |
Efficient market theorists contend that markets are random and thus not predictable. With the publication of Trading Against theCrowd, however, noted author, economist, and professional trader John Summa convincingly shows that investor sentiment can be incorporated into profitable stock and stock market trading systems. In this groundbreaking book, Summa explains how to use popular gauges of crowd psychology, such as put/call ratios, option-implied volatility, short sales, investor surveys, and advisory opinion to trade against, or contrary to, prevailing market sentiment. He also makes compelling arguments against the efficient markets hypothesis with the presentation of his own quantitative weekly bear and bull news-flow intensity indices, which he builds from news scans. This data series, and other popular measures of crowd psychology, are processed through custom indicators that are programmed into profitable trading systems, such as Squeeze Play I & II, Tsunami Sentiment Wave, and the Fourth Estate. Trading Against the Crowd is the first book to provide a comprehensive assessment of investor crowd psychology, offering valuable market timing tools and trading techniques, including: MetaStock and Trade Station system and custom indicator code; comparative statistical studies of CBOE, OEX, and equity-only put/call ratios; straightforward instructions for combining price triggers with sentiment indicators; a practical guide to understanding put/call ratios, short sales, investor surveys, newsletter opinion, and stock market news-flow intensity; how to use LEAP options as trading vehicles to avoid use of stop loss orders; use of put/call ratios for trading the Treasury bond futures market; and test results and evaluation of trading system performance. Many of today’s professional money managers rely on investor sentiment for improved market timing. They know that at extremes of market sentiment, markets tend to be the most predictable.Trading Against the Crowd shows how you can begin to profit from these short- to medium-term sentiment waves generated by the actions of the speculative crowd. Put into practice powerful sentiment data using thoroughly back-tested trading systems, and rise above the herd mentality of the investor crowd, where potentially large profits await.
| Author | : Quint Tatro |
| Publisher | : FT Press |
| Total Pages | : 223 |
| Release | : 2010-10-04 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0132101610 |
When you trade, you're not just trading companies that deliver goods or services. You're trading against other traders who care about only one thing: taking your money. That's the #1 hard reality of trading - and most traders either don't know it, or don't act as if they do. In this book, top trader and hedge fund manager Quint Tatro shows how to win consistently in the "zero sum" game of trading, where there's a loser for every winner. You'll learn how to reflect your trading competition in every facet of trading and investing: choosing companies to invest in, knowing when to jump in and out of the market, and mastering the psychology and gamesmanship of trading. Coverage includes: Understanding the "other side of the trade": the thousands of pros you're trading against. Finding a technical edge with technical analysis you can exploit over and over again. Understanding sentiment and overcoming the human emotions and biases that cost you dearly. Utilizing the most essential strategies of fundamental analysis. Playing positions and probabilities, not P+Ls. Recognizing and capturing huge opportunities in down markets.
| Author | : Richard L. Peterson |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 317 |
| Release | : 2016-03-04 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1119163757 |
In his debut book on trading psychology, Inside the Investor’s Brain, Richard Peterson demonstrated how managing emotions helps top investors outperform. Now, in Trading on Sentiment, he takes you inside the science of crowd psychology and demonstrates that not only do price patterns exist, but the most predictable ones are rooted in our shared human nature. Peterson’s team developed text analysis engines to mine data - topics, beliefs, and emotions - from social media. Based on that data, they put together a market-neutral social media-based hedge fund that beat the S&P 500 by more than twenty-four percent—through the 2008 financial crisis. In this groundbreaking guide, he shows you how they did it and why it worked. Applying algorithms to social media data opened up an unprecedented world of insight into the elusive patterns of investor sentiment driving repeating market moves. Inside, you gain a privileged look at the media content that moves investors, along with time-tested techniques to make the smart moves—even when it doesn’t feel right. This book digs underneath technicals and fundamentals to explain the primary mover of market prices - the global information flow and how investors react to it. It provides the expert guidance you need to develop a competitive edge, manage risk, and overcome our sometimes-flawed human nature. Learn how traders are using sentiment analysis and statistical tools to extract value from media data in order to: Foresee important price moves using an understanding of how investors process news. Make more profitable investment decisions by identifying when prices are trending, when trends are turning, and when sharp market moves are likely to reverse. Use media sentiment to improve value and momentum investing returns. Avoid the pitfalls of unique price patterns found in commodities, currencies, and during speculative bubbles Trading on Sentiment deepens your understanding of markets and supplies you with the tools and techniques to beat global markets— whether they’re going up, down, or sideways.
| Author | : Price Headley |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 282 |
| Release | : 2002-03-26 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780471412694 |
Arms traders and sophisticated individual investors with the tools they need to play the markets successfully Many traders believe that they must perform at least one trade every day, no matter what. However, as expert Price Headley clearly demonstrates in this groundbreaking book, not only is that assumption false, it can also be dangerous. He shows why focusing too narrowly on the daily ebb and flow of the markets minimizes a trader's chances for the big returns. He explains why maximum results are achieved by identifying the big market trends and riding them for all their worth. Headley explores the major market indicators-including the popular CBOE Volatility Index, Nasdaq 100, Rydex Mutual Fund Flows, and Equity Put/Call Ratio-and shows readers how to use them to identify the stocks that are about to take off. Emphasizing the aggressive use of options, he also empowers investors with stock selection techniques and options strategies that work in virtually every type of market.
| Author | : Richard E. Band |
| Publisher | : St Martins Press |
| Total Pages | : 260 |
| Release | : 1989 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780312038045 |
Explains how to use the principle of contrary investing to make money in securities, real estate, commodities, currencies, or collectibles, explaining how to use common sense and a knowledge of reliable indicators to make investments
| Author | : Gustave Le Bon |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 680 |
| Release | : 1897 |
| Genre | : Crowds |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Jeffrey C Hood |
| Publisher | : Jeff Hood |
| Total Pages | : 222 |
| Release | : 2014-10-08 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9780692273944 |
Efficient Market Theory is based largely on the concept of crowd wisdom - that a large group of people casting their collective votes in the stock market produces correct stock prices and hence an "efficient market." However, we know from experience that the stock market is not entirely efficient, and sometimes produces wildly incorrect prices. This book explores the various criteria that are required for crowd wisdom to manifest in a financial marketplace, these being: 1) incentives; 2) independence; 3) diversity of opinion; 4) decentralization; 5) knowledge; and 6) rationality. A fundamental premise of this book is that a proper understanding of crowd wisdom criteria, and the ability to detect when these criteria are lacking in the market, is a significant benefit in identifying mispriced securities. In particular, this book explores the various behavioral and psychological biases that affect market participants, what we call the "Foolishness of the Crowd." The predictability of this Foolishness, i.e., the predictability of these biases in a crowd setting such as the stock market, produces reliable offsets from crowd wisdom, i.e., stock mispricings. This book then proposes an investment framework based in part on the investor's "inefficient rationale" - his articulated understanding, based on the above crowd wisdom criteria, as to exactly why the market is mispricing a particular stock. The investment framework also utilizes the wisdom from a select value investing crowd to both identify and help confirm good investment opportunities. The investor who adheres to this investment framework essentially places the full benefit of crowd wisdom and knowledge into his corner, including both the wisdom of the crowd and predictable departures from this wisdom.
| Author | : Fred C. Kelly |
| Publisher | : Courier Corporation |
| Total Pages | : 82 |
| Release | : 2012-09-21 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0486147843 |
DIVA successful speculator shares his secrets, showing how to make money through the stock market by using amateur psychology skills and studying crowd reaction to market fluctuations. /div
| Author | : Clifford Bennett |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 172 |
| Release | : 2006-03-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0471793973 |
Today's global financial markets are every bit as viciouspsychologically, and sometimes even physically, as the battles thegreat warriors throughout history have faced. Just as the warriorsof old rode out to battle with the confidence and knowledge toconquer new lands and foes, so do the warriors of the market whothrive on the battleground of the trading floor. In Warrior Trading, Clifford Bennett, one of today'sleading currency forecasters, outlines a path to trading success byhighlighting the characteristics, the knowledge and skills, and thepsychological state of mind required to be a true warrior trader.You'll be introduced to some fresh and unique perspectivesregarding the markets, by looking at fundamental and technicalanalysis, as well as discovering how best to trade within themarkets as an individual. Most importantly, you'll learn how totake advantage of those moments when the perceptions of mosttraders (the herd) are at odds with the underlying reality-momentswhen fear, greed, and other emotions wreak havoc on the ordinarytrader's ability to operate objectively. Divided into three comprehensive parts, Warrior Tradingwill show you how to develop the focus, attitude, and mentaldiscipline of a top trader so that you can make the most out ofyour time in the markets.
| Author | : Fausto Pugliese |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 166 |
| Release | : 2014-08-18 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1118654536 |
The basic skills for becoming a successful trader from a master of the game Written by Fausto Pugliese (founder and CEO of Cyber Trading University) this must-have resource offers a hands-on guide to learning the ins and outs of active trading. How to Beat the Market Makers at Their Own Game gives professionals, as well as those relatively new to investing, a behind-the-scenes look at the inner workings of the marketplace and a comprehensive overview of basic trading techniques. The book explains how to apply the trading strategies of acclaimed trader Fausto Pugliese. Step by step the author covers the most common market maker setups, shows how to identify market maker traps, and most importantly, reveals how to follow the direction of the lead market maker in an individual stock. Throughout the book, Pugliese puts the spotlight on Level II quotes to help investors understand how market makers drive prices and manipulate the market. This handy resource is filled with the tools needed to interpret market maker activity so traders can truly understand the market and trade accordingly. Offers an accessible guide for developing the investing skills to trade with confidence Filled with the real-world trading experiences and techniques of Fausto Pugliese Covers simple technical patterns that are important in day trading Includes a website with exercises to help master the book's techniques How to Beat the Market Makers at their Own Game will become your well-thumbed resource for learning what it takes to succeed in short-term stock trading.
