Theory Of The Foreign Exchange
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Author | : Adam S. Iqbal |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 246 |
Release | : 2022-02-22 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3030935558 |
One of the great challenges that many participants in foreign exchange (FX) markets face is sifting through the often overwhelming amount of information that is available. Media outlets stream updates on international politics, economics, and other factors that move FX prices twenty-four hours a day. It is difficult to work out what is and what is not important. This book helps its reader overcome these challenges by combining the insights gained from a market practitioner who has traded FX at Goldman Sachs, PIMCO, and Barclays Investment Bank, with textbook-level modern financial macroeconomic theory. The book covers macroeconomics relating to exchange rate determination. While you could obtain this information from a disparate set of sources―textbooks, academic literature, industry research notes, conversations with other market practitioners, and theories cited in media reports―this book brings all of these sources together to translate the information into concrete FX views that are firmly rooted in the macroeconomic theory of risk premiums, interest rates, and inflation, among other topics. The book promotes time consistent thought that avoids the daily temptation to jump from that day’s economic narrative to the next. Of particular interest to buy- and sell-side industry practitioners, finance and economics graduate students, academics, and others interested in FX markets, this book teaches its readers how to do this and improve their own trading and understanding of the FX markets.
Author | : Paul de Grauwe |
Publisher | : Wiley-Blackwell |
Total Pages | : 273 |
Release | : 1993-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780631180166 |
"Exchange Rate Theory presents a novel and elegant theory to explain the excessive variability of foreign exchange rate returns. The theory is novel in the sense that it focuses on interaction between market agents as the primary source of the variability in those speculative prices. It is shown that simple interactions between market participants using different information is sufficient to generate deterministic chaos." "In the first part of this book the authors survey existing exchange rate theories and ask whether these theories are useful in explaining actual exchange rate movements. They demonstrate that the 1970s were characterized by the belief that exchange rates could be understood by an analysis of the fundamentals (inflation rates, interest rates and monetary policy). Subsequently, this belief has all but disappeared but researchers have been content to analyze the statistical properties of exchange rates, abandoning the theory and the models." "The second part of the book uses chaos theory to construct an innovative framework for the understanding of exchange markets. These models, which integrate fundamentalism and chartism, create complex exchange rate movements which appear to be random. These models are used to explain several of the anomalies observed in exchange rate markets and to evaluate the possibility of exchange rate prediction."--BOOK JACKET.Title Summary field provided by Blackwell North America, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Author | : John F. Bilson |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 542 |
Release | : 2007-12-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226050998 |
This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.
Author | : Takatoshi Ito |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 466 |
Release | : 2007-12-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226386937 |
The exchange rate is a crucial variable linking a nation's domestic economy to the international market. Thus choice of an exchange rate regime is a central component in the economic policy of developing countries and a key factor affecting economic growth. Historically, most developing nations have employed strict exchange rate controls and heavy protection of domestic industry-policies now thought to be at odds with sustainable and desirable rates of economic growth. By contrast, many East Asian nations maintained exchange rate regimes designed to achieve an attractive climate for exports and an "outer-oriented" development strategy. The result has been rapid and consistent economic growth over the past few decades. Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries explores the impact of such diverse exchange control regimes in both historical and regional contexts, focusing particular attention on East Asia. This comprehensive, carefully researched volume will surely become a standard reference for scholars and policymakers.
Author | : Richard T. Baillie |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 280 |
Release | : 1989 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780521396905 |
The flotation of exchange rates in the early 1970s saw a significant increase in the importance of foreign exchange markets and in the interest shown in them. Apart from the consequent institutional changes, this period also witnessed a revolution in macroeconomic analysis and finance theory based on the concept of rational expectations. This book provides an integrated approach to recent developments in the understanding of foreign exchange markets. It begins by charting the institutional background and looks at the recent history of movements in some of the major exchange rates. The theoretical sections focus on the economic and finance theory of the asset market approach, the macroeconomic models developed from this approach, and on interest rate parity theory. The empirical chapters draw on the authors' own research from a high quality set of exchange rate and interest rate data. The statistical properties of exchange rates are analysed; the relationship between spot and forward rates is examined; and the modelling and impact of new information on the forward and spot relationship is considered. The final chapter is devoted to the estimation and testing of exchange rate models.
Author | : Imad A Moosa |
Publisher | : World Scientific |
Total Pages | : 512 |
Release | : 2009-07-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9814468509 |
Exchange rate economics is an important field of investigation for academics, professionals and policy-makers. This book provides a comprehensive survey of the theory of and empirical evidence on the determination and effects of exchange rates. The exposition utilizes both diagrammatic and mathematical representations of the underlying models. The book is a comprehensive reference for those engaged in this field of research.
Author | : J. Kallianiotis |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 333 |
Release | : 2013-10-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1137318880 |
The recent financial crisis has troubled the US, Europe, and beyond, and is indicative of the integrated world in which we live. Today, transactions take place with the use of foreign currencies, and their values affect the nations' economies and their citizens' welfare. Exchange Rates and International Financial Economics provides readers with the historic, theoretical, and practical knowledge of these relative prices among currencies. While much of the previous work on the topic has been simply descriptive or theoretical, Kallianiotis gives a unique and intimate understanding of international exchange rates and their place in an increasingly globalized world.
Author | : James L. Bickford |
Publisher | : McGraw Hill Professional |
Total Pages | : 241 |
Release | : 2007-05-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 007151046X |
Discover a New Approach to Analyzing Price Fluctuations in the Foreign Exchange Market Forex Wave Theory provides spot currency speculators and commodity futures traders with an innovative new approach to analyzing price fluctuations in the foreign exchange. Written by Jim Bickford, a successful veteran online spot currency trader, this expert financial tool explains the four most significant categories within technical analysis_pattern recognition, econometric models, crossover trading systems, and wave theory_and includes critical definitions of technical terms. Forex Wave Theory examines in detail different length cycles of two through six waves, with special emphasis on their predictive reliability. The book also converts raw security data (OHLC quotes) to swing data through the application of a refined minimum reversal algorithm. Based on solid mathematical and statistical models, Forex Wave Theory is a highly visual resource that uses over 200 images to explore: Currency Markets_ Spot Currencies; Currency Futures Technical Analysis_ Pattern Recognition; Econometric Models; Crossover Trading Systems; Wave Theory Reversal Charts_Point & Figure Charts; Renko Charts; Swing Charts Brief History of Wave Theory_ Origin of Wave Theory; Gann Angles; Kondratiev Wave; Elliott Wave Theory; Gartley Patterns; Goodman Swing Count System Two-Wave Cycles_Two-Wave Cycle Properties; Enhancing the Forecast Three-Wave Cycles_Basic Three-Wave Cycle Types; Forecasting the Third Wave Four-Wave Cycles_Multi-Wave Cycle Names; Four-Wave Cycle Properties Five-Wave Cycles_Properties; Forecasting the Fifth Wave Six-Wave Cycles_Properties; Forecasting the Sixth Wave; Double-Wave Forecasting Advanced Topics_Data Operations; Swing Operations This on-target reference also features instructive case studies of the author's unique method, together with a wide range of important supplemental information covering ISO currency pairs, exchange rates, global banking hours, basic three-wave cycles, and related resources. A vital tool for success in the currency market, Forex Wave Theory gives traders a powerful new method for analyzing fluctuations in the foreign exchange markets_and accurately determining market waves.
Author | : Ronald MacDonald |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 334 |
Release | : 2005 |
Genre | : Foreign exchange |
ISBN | : 1134838220 |
''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""
Author | : Michael D. Bordo |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 453 |
Release | : 2015-03-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 022605151X |
During the twentieth century, foreign-exchange intervention was sometimes used in an attempt to solve the fundamental trilemma of international finance, which holds that countries cannot simultaneously pursue independent monetary policies, stabilize their exchange rates, and benefit from free cross-border financial flows. Drawing on a trove of previously confidential data, Strained Relations reveals the evolution of US policy regarding currency market intervention, and its interaction with monetary policy. The authors consider how foreign-exchange intervention was affected by changing economic and institutional circumstances—most notably the abandonment of the international gold standard—and how political and bureaucratic factors affected this aspect of public policy.