The term structure of interests rates

The term structure of interests rates
Author: Diana Ruthenberg
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 13
Release: 2006-04-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638491285

Essay from the year 2004 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.8, University of Plymouth (Business School), language: English, abstract: Firstly, this report will depict briefly what a bond is in general and how to evaluate its advantages and inconveniences for potential investors. Then it aims at to explain when and why the yield on long-term bonds often exceeds the yield on short-term bonds. The explanation will mainly be based on the three primary theories: the expectations hypothesis, the liquidity premium / preferred habitat theories and the market segmentation theory.

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Author: Mirko Abbritti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2013-11-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475513518

This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more than 80 percent of term premia in advanced economies. In particular they tend to explain long-term dynamics in yield curves, as opposed to domestic factors which are instead more relevant to short-run movements. We uncover the key role for global curvature in shaping term premia dynamics. We show that this novel factor precedes global economic and financial instability. In particular, it coincides with immediate expectations of permanent expansionary monetary policy during the recent crisis.

The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy During a Zero-Interest-Rate Period

The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy During a Zero-Interest-Rate Period
Author: Mr. Jun Nagayasu
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2003-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451919301

This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a low-interest-rate environment. Applying a time-series method to high-frequency Japanese data, the term-structure model is found to be useful for economic analysis only when interest rates are high. When interest rates are low, the usefulness of the model declines, since the interest spread contains little information that can be used for predicting future economic activity. The term-structure relationship is also weakened by the Bank of Japan''s use of interest rate smoothing.

The Term Structure of Interest Rates Revisited

The Term Structure of Interest Rates Revisited
Author: N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

The relationship between long-term and short-term interest rates is crucial for macroeconomic policy evaluation. Since the short-term interest rate is the opportunity cost of holding money, it is widely believed that the Federal Reserve has more direct control over short-term than over long-term interest rates in the United States. Yet if capital is costly to adjust or takes time to place into use, investment decisions may depend on long-term interest rates. The term structure of interest rates thus appears central to the monetary transmission mechanism. Unfortunately, the determinants of the term structure remain poorly understood.This paper uses data from the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and Germany to examine various hypotheses regarding the term structure. My goal is to see whether the experiences of these four countries since 1960 can help provide a general explanation of the term structure. In the United States many observers believe the large variations in the long-term interest rate since 1979 are not adequately explained by movements in short-term interest rates. Of particular interest is whether the experience of the United States in these and earlier years merely reflects an unusual historical episode. If it does, it would be inappropriate to draw any general conclusions from this experience or to extrapolate this experience into the future.This study is in part motivated by apparent differences between recent experience in the United States and experience elsewhere. In 1985, the rate on long-term government bonds in the United States exceeded the rate on three-month Treasury bills by more than 300 basis points. By contrast, the long-term interest rate in the United Kingdom was more than 100 basis points below the short-term interest rate. Interpreting such divergent national experiences is the primary purpose of studying the term structure more generally.