The Simulation of Economic and Demographic Development in Brazil

The Simulation of Economic and Demographic Development in Brazil
Author: Sergio Luiz de Bragança
Publisher:
Total Pages: 116
Release: 1980
Genre: Brazil
ISBN:

Progress report of a modelling and simulation research project on relations between economic and social development and population dynamics in Brazil. Presents economic models for long term studies at regional and national level, and an econometric model integrating macroeconomics variables for medium term and short term applications.

Population and Economic Development in Brazil, 1800 to the Present

Population and Economic Development in Brazil, 1800 to the Present
Author: Thomas William Merrick
Publisher: Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press
Total Pages: 416
Release: 1979
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Monograph on population and economic development trends in historical perspective in Brazil - examines economic history, population growth from 1800 to 1970, slavery, immigration, internal migration, structure of labour force, rural migration, growth and poverty of urban population, fertility, mortality, population policy in development planning including employment and income distribution, etc. Graphs, references and statistical tables.

Growing Old in an Older Brazil

Growing Old in an Older Brazil
Author: Ole Hagen Jorgensen
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 337
Release: 2011-09-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821388029

Brazil is in the middle of a profound socioeconomic transformation driven by demographic change. Because of profound changes in mortality and, especially, fertility over the past four decades the population at older ages then begun to increase, a trend that will become more and more rapid as time progresses. While it took more than a century for France's population, aged 65 and above, to increase from 7 to 14 percent of the total population, the same demographic change will occur in the next two decades in Brazil (between 2011 and 2031). The elderly population will more than triple within the next four decades, from less than 20 million in 2010 to approximately 65 million in 2050. On the one side, these shifts in population age structure will lead to substantial additional fiscal pressures on publicly financed health care and pensions, along with substantial reductions in fiscal pressures for publicly financed education. Public transfers in Brazil have been very effective in reducing poverty among the elderly in both urban and rural areas. However, without substantial changes, the aging of the population will put a strain on the current system that will result in some critical trade-offs with consequence for poverty among other vulnerable groups and for the growth prospects of the country. One the other side, given the strong association between people's economic behavior and the life cycle, changes in the population age structure have a major impact on economic development. This book investigates the impact of demographic changes on several dimensions of the Brazilian economy and society. It does so in a comprehensive and systematic way that captures the broad complexity of issues, from economic growth to poverty, from public financing of social services and transfers to savings, from employment to health and long-term care, and their interrelations.

Demographic Changes and Poverty in Brazil

Demographic Changes and Poverty in Brazil
Author: Ricardo Paes de Barros
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

In this study we present evidence of the impact of demographic factors on the level of poverty based on the Brazilian experience. Two demographic factors were investigated: a) the size and b) the age composition of the population. The goal was to estimate through the micro-simulation approach the impact of changes in these two factors on the distribution of income and consequently on the level of poverty. We presented estimates of the impact on poverty of a series of alternative demographic changes. First, we consider the demographic changes that occurred over the previous decades. We showed that these changes led to a continuous reduction in poverty, which is equivalent to an additional 0.4 to 0.5 percentage point in annual growth in per capita income. Since the average growth rate in per capita income in Brazil over the studied period was close to 3.0% per year, the estimated direct impact of the demographic transition had an impact on poverty close to 15% of the corresponding impact of economic growth. We also investigated: a) the importance of regional differences in demographic conditions and b) demographic differences between poor and rich families for explaining concomitant differences in poverty. Accordingly to our estimates, we can conclude that overall secular demographic changes tend to have much greater impact on poverty than differences in the time and the speed of the demographic transition across regions and between poor and rich families.

The Demography of Inequality in Brazil

The Demography of Inequality in Brazil
Author: Charles H. Wood
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2009-03-12
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9780521102469

This book examines how transformations in Brazil's social, economic and political organization affect the demographic behaviour of people who live in different parts of the country and who occupy different positions in the social system. The authors review the history of unequal development and document the concentration of income and land ownership. Using data from the 1970 and 1980 censuses, they show how the Brazilian style of economic growth unequally affected different population subgroups. Mortality estimates for white and non-white people measure the consequences of racial inequality on the life chances of children. Other chapters investigate rural out-migration, the impact of Amazon colonization schemes on rural poverty, and the implications of differential rates of population growth among rich and poor households for future patterns of inequality and underemployment. The overall perspective places the concept of inequality at the centre of the study of demographic and structural change.

From Inside Brazil

From Inside Brazil
Author: Vinod Thomas
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 180
Release: 2006
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Brazil faces important issues as to whether and how socio-economic and political reforms will be pursued with urgency and persistence. This book presents a strong agenda and action plan to achieve for Brazil both economic growth and improved welfare for its citizens. The book begins by examining the existing welfare system, including the differences between that of people in rural areas and those in cities. It goes on to examine issues related to productivity, looking at whether investments in physical, natural, and human capital affect performance; to sustainability of the country's growth and development; to its use and conservation of natural resources; and to the structure and effectiveness of its institutions. Finally, it compares and contrasts the priorities of these agendas, coming up with both quantitative and qualitative targets that can guide those setting down Brazilian policy