The Incorporation of Information Into Share Prices

The Incorporation of Information Into Share Prices
Author: Martin Rossner
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2005
Genre:
ISBN:

My thesis consists of both a theoretical and an empirical part. In the theoretical part I describe how traditional finance, behavioral finance and market microstructure approach the formation of share prices, I analyze what follows for the incorporation of information and I introduce specific models. In the empirical part I adapt the model of Kyle (1985) and specify an epidemic model to develop trading strategies and I test these trading strategies in a sample of stock prices before earnings announcements. In addition I estimate the models in their conventional form in the same sample. The results suggest the following: First one can obtain excess returns using the trading strategies, second the predictive power of the models is higher for smaller stocks and third the gradual incorporation of information is stronger for larger stocks.

Gradual Incorporation of Information Into Stock Prices

Gradual Incorporation of Information Into Stock Prices
Author: Sara Fisher Ellison
Publisher:
Total Pages: 24
Release: 1997
Genre: Information theory in economics
ISBN:

This paper explores environments in which either the revelation or diffusion of information, or its incorporation into stock prices, is gradual, and develops appropriate estimation techniques. This paper has implications both for event study methodology and for understanding the process by which stock prices incorporate information. Two environments are highlighted. First, information is often not revealed in one announcement but rather through a process of gradual public revelation, which may not be completely observable by a researcher. We examine the effect of the evolution of the Clinton health care reform proposal on pharmaceutical stock prices. We estimate the expected path of market-adjusted pharmaceutical prices over September 1992- October 1993 by isotonic regression, and find that the major portion of the decline in stock prices occurred gradually, and did not correspond to identified news events. Second, the trading process itself may incorporate private information into stock prices gradually. That is an implication of the Kyle (1985) model, in which one or a small number of informed traders use their market power over their private information to maximize profits dynamically. We use the functional form predictions from Kyle in our estimation, and the results from a sample of targets of tender offers are consistent with the model

The Influence of Analysts, Institutional Investors, and Insiders on the Incorporation of Market, Industry, and Firm-Specific Information into Stock Prices

The Influence of Analysts, Institutional Investors, and Insiders on the Incorporation of Market, Industry, and Firm-Specific Information into Stock Prices
Author: Joseph D. Piotroski
Publisher:
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

We investigate the extent to which the trading and trade-generating activities of three informed market participants -- financial analysts, institutional investors, and insiders -- influence the relative amount of firm-specific, industry-level and market-level information impounded into stock prices, as measured by stock return synchronicity. We find that stock return synchronicity is positively associated with analyst forecasting activities, consistent with analysts increasing the amount of industry-level information in prices through intra-industry information transfers. In contrast, stock return synchronicity is inversely related to insider trades, consistent with these transactions conveying firm-specific information. Supplemental tests show that insider and institutional trading accelerate the incorporation of the firm-specific component of future earnings news into prices alone, while analyst forecasting activity accelerates both the industry and firm-specific component of future earnings news. Our results suggest that all three parties influence the firm's information environment, but the type of price-relevant information conveyed by their activities depends on each party's relative information advantage.

Efficient Market Hypothesis and Indian Stock Market

Efficient Market Hypothesis and Indian Stock Market
Author: CMA(Dr.) Ashok Panigrahi
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

Although the 'Efficient Market Hypothesis' (EMH) is a cornerstone of modern financial theory, it is highly controversial and often disputed. It is argued that the EMH, which states that markets are generally both rational and efficient and serve as reasonable leading indicators of economic and corporate developments, is fallacious and is actually a derivative of the perfect competition model of capitalism, hardly based on anything substantial as such. This article focuses on the limitations of EMH and its application in the Indian stock market.Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is the investment theory which states that it is impossible to 'beat the market' because stock market efficiency causes existing share prices to always incorporate and reflect all relevant information. According to EMH, this means that stocks always trade at their fair value on stock exchanges, making it impossible for investors to either purchase undervalued stocks or sell stocks for inflated prices. As such, it should be impossible to outperform the overall market through expert stock selection or market timing, and that the only way an investor can possibly obtain higher returns is by purchasing riskier investments.An efficient market emerges when new information is quickly incorporated into the price so that price becomes information. In other words, the current market price reflects all available information. Under these conditions, the current market price in any financial market could be the best-unbiased estimate of the value of the investment.James Lorie, Ph.D., a Professor of Business Administration, has defined the efficient security market as follows: "Efficiency means the ability of the capital market to function so that prices of securities react rapidly to new information. Such efficiency will produce prices that are appropriate in terms of current knowledge and investors will be less likely to make unwise investments." In the above context, what will happen is that the market-making mechanism becomes free and unfettered.

Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading

Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading
Author: H. Nejat Seyhun
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 452
Release: 2000-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262692342

Learn how to profit from information about insider trading. The term insider trading refers to the stock transactions of the officers, directors, and large shareholders of a firm. Many investors believe that corporate insiders, informed about their firms' prospects, buy and sell their own firm's stock at favorable times, reaping significant profits. Given the extra costs and risks of an active trading strategy, the key question for stock market investors is whether the publicly available insider-trading information can help them to outperform a simple passive index fund. Basing his insights on an exhaustive data set that captures information on all reported insider trading in all publicly held firms over the past twenty-one years—over one million transactions!—H. Nejat Seyhun shows how investors can use insider information to their advantage. He documents the magnitude and duration of the stock price movements following insider trading, determinants of insiders' profits, and the risks associated with imitating insider trading. He looks at the likely performance of individual firms and of the overall stock market, and compares the value of what one can learn from insider trading with commonly used measures of value such as price-earnings ratio, book-to-market ratio, and dividend yield.

Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets

Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets
Author: John J. Murphy
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 579
Release: 1999-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0735200661

John J. Murphy has updated his landmark bestseller Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, to include all of the financial markets. This outstanding reference has already taught thousands of traders the concepts of technical analysis and their application in the futures and stock markets. Covering the latest developments in computer technology, technical tools, and indicators, the second edition features new material on candlestick charting, intermarket relationships, stocks and stock rotation, plus state-of-the-art examples and figures. From how to read charts to understanding indicators and the crucial role technical analysis plays in investing, readers gain a thorough and accessible overview of the field of technical analysis, with a special emphasis on futures markets. Revised and expanded for the demands of today's financial world, this book is essential reading for anyone interested in tracking and analyzing market behavior.

Firm Commitment

Firm Commitment
Author: Colin Mayer
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 321
Release: 2013-02-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199669937

A comprehensive account of the contribution and failings of one of the most important institutions in the world - the corporation. It gives an accessible and insightful analysis of why the problems of the corporation - financial crises, mismanagement, poverty, and pollution - are increasing and what can be done to address them.

Choosing Leadership

Choosing Leadership
Author: Linda Ginzel
Publisher: Agate Publishing
Total Pages: 154
Release: 2018-10-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1572848456

Choosing Leadership is a new take on executive development that gives everyone the tools to develop their leadership skills. In this workbook, Dr. Linda Ginzel, a clinical professor at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business and a social psychologist, debunks common myths about leaders and encourages you to follow a personalized path to decide when to manage and when to lead. Thoughtful exercises and activities help you mine your own experiences, learn to recognize behavior patterns, and make better choices so that you can create better futures. You’ll learn how to: Define leadership for yourself and move beyond stereotypes Distinguish between leadership and management and when to use each skill Recognize the gist of a situation and effectively communicate it with others Learn from the experience of others as well as your own Identify your “default settings” and become your own coach And much more Dr. Linda Ginzel is a clinical professor of managerial psychology at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business and the founder of its customized executive education program. For three decades, she has developed and taught MBA and executive education courses in negotiation, leadership capital, managerial psychology, and more. She has also taught MBA and PhD students at Northwestern and Stanford, as well as designed customized educational programs for a number of Fortune 500 companies. Ginzel has received numerous teaching awards for excellence in MBA education, as well as the President’s Service Award for her work with the nonprofit Kids In Danger. She lives in Chicago with her family.