The impact of government expenditure on non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia

The impact of government expenditure on non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia
Author: Gabby Ian
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2022-06-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3346665976

Academic Paper from the year 2022 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: A, The Florida State University, language: English, abstract: Government expenditure refers to the money the public sector or the government spends on providing services such as education and the acquisition of essential goods and services. It entails interest payments, transfer payments, and government consumption categories. In this connection, the government has been developing policies that will make the economy more diversified and thus more stable. The policies aim to strengthen other sectors of the economy to make them profitable enough to contribute to its exports. The government of Saudi Arabia has been formulating and implementing favorable policies that will attract investors and create manufacturing firms in the country. The non-oil industry has not been taking part in developing the country's economy. The impact of other industries on the economy has not been felt as it should have. According to World Bank statistics from 2011 to 2013, the country's economic performance has been going down to fluctuating prices for oil in the world market. Other sectors in the industry have not been active enough to protect the nation's Gross Domestic Product from going down, as they are not well established. According to World Bank Information, the growth rate of Saudi Arabia from 2002 to 2013 has not been steady. The economy's stability depends on the value of products from Saudi Arabia in the international market. The country has had to invest more in its local manufacturing industries to guarantee stable economic growth. One sector the country has invested in to ensure the non-oil industry makes a significant contribution to the growth and development of the economy is encouraging entrepreneurs to set up non-oil commercial activities. Industrialists will help diversify the industry; in the process, more revenue will be generated, which will be used to develop the economy. The value of non-oil products has been increasing as entrepreneurs invest more in the industry, intending to produce high-quality goods that can compete with goods from other countries in the world market. Entrepreneurs are drivers of innovation, which will transform the economy, making it more vibrant, just like developed nations' economies. In this regard, this paper examines the impact of government expenditure on non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia.

Economic Growth and Government Spending in Saudi Arabia

Economic Growth and Government Spending in Saudi Arabia
Author: Mr.Saad A. Alshahrani
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2014-01-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484348796

This paper empirically examines the effects of different types of government expenditures, on economic growth in Saudi Arabia. We use different econometric techniques to estimate the short- and long-run effects of these expenditures on growth and employ annual data over the period 1969-2010. Our findings indicate that while private domestic and public investments, as well as healthcare expenditure, stimulate growth in the long-run, openness to trade and spending in the housing sector can also boost short-run production. These findings draw some policy implications for Saudi policymakers on maximizing the returns of the government spending on economic growth.

Saudi Government Revenues and Expenditures

Saudi Government Revenues and Expenditures
Author: A. Aldukheil
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 246
Release: 2013-11-11
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1137342927

Will history repeat itself, leaving Saudi Arabia to face another financial crisis due to drastic overspending and/or a dramatic drop in oil revenue? If the situation remains on its current trajectory, by 2030 government debt due to rising expenditures over revenues will be too overwhelming for the government to cope with.

Modelling Government Expenditures and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia, 1968-2010

Modelling Government Expenditures and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia, 1968-2010
Author: Mohammed Moosa O. Ageli
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2012
Genre: Economic development
ISBN:

Economic growth and development remains an important policy issue for most of the states in the world, which is a particular issue for late developing countries, as they have very much relied on 'state' for economic growth and development. As a result, the experience in the 20th century demonstrates a secular increase in the growth of government expenditures all over the world. Hence, the role of government expenditures in contributing to long run economic growth continues to be an important topic and the subject of much debate. Saudi Arabia economy is one of late developing countries. While its economy is characterised by an open and private economy, the government remains to have a large role in the economy through its expenditures financed largely by revenues generated from oil. While the Saudi economy has grown and developed, the government has also responded to the increased demand for social services such as education and healthcare in addition to other infrastructure investments for development purpose. Therefore, the process of economic growth and development has resulted in growth of government expenditures. This research, thus, aims at modelling of government expenditures and economic growth nexus in the case o Saudi Arabia for the period of 1968-2010 by testing a number of models developed in the literature: Wagner's Law, Keynesian Relations and Peacock and Wiseman's Displacement Effect. The analysis modelled within the time series econometric techniques including co-integration test, Granger causality test and the error correction model (ECM). The findings obtained from the analyses find that the Wagnerian proposition can explain the growth of government in Saudi Arabia, which holds for both the oil and non-oil income cases. The result indicates the existence of strong feedback causality for all the versions of Wagner's law in the long run. The findings also note that the three versions of Keynesian Relations found to be held for both general income and non-oil income in the case of Saudi Arabia. In addition, the findings also support for the Displacement Effect mainly due to international political developments and trends in oil prices, as such events resulted deviation from the linear growth in the government expenditures over the average growth and it is observed that government expenditure growth continued its gradual growth from the new level. This study, thus, concludes that growing economic activity of the state has marked the Saudi Arabian economy over the period in question. While this partly can be explained due to economic reasons such as the need for economic development and responding to the demands of a growing population, but also the rentier economy nature of the Saudi political economy necessitates increasing government expenditures for political stability.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia
Author: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2018-08-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484374398

This Selected Issues paper suggests that while the government should continue to work on clearly defining its fiscal policy objectives, at this stage the focus of reforms should be to continue to strengthen the fiscal framework rather than on introducing a formal fiscal rule. A fiscal rule is only as good as the institutions that support it. Moreover, resource rich countries’ experiences with fiscal rules have been mixed as it has proven difficult to formulate rules which are simple, flexible, and robust that can withstand large commodity prices swings. One key question before the government is to define its long-term fiscal policy objectives beyond 2023. This will help determine how it may want to anchor fiscal policy. While a target for the overall balance, as announced in the Fiscal Balance Program, is a reasonable objective for the next 5 years, such a target may not deliver the longer-term fiscal goals of the government. It is also subject to swings in oil prices—it may not be achievable if oil prices decline significantly, but if oil prices were to increase substantially, the target could be achieved even if spending were to increase to such a level that increases future fiscal vulnerabilities. Therefore, it would be better to formulate fiscal policy objectives in terms of the primary non-oil balance rather than the overall balance.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia
Author: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 31
Release: 2017-10-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484323254

This Selected Issues paper looks at the appropriate scope and pace of fiscal adjustment in Saudi Arabia. The economy of Saudi Arabia has started to feel the impact of the fiscal adjustment. The fiscal space analysis suggests that the authorities have some space in the next few years to undertake a more gradual fiscal adjustment than set out in the IMF staff’s baseline. Although faster fiscal adjustment may have advantages in terms of limiting the rundown in net assets and taking full advantage of the current pro-reform climate, it has disadvantages when it comes to the larger impact on growth and employment in the near term, which may ultimately undermine the sustainability of the reforms.