The emergence of China in nafta: effects on the Intra-industrial trade of Mexico

The emergence of China in nafta: effects on the Intra-industrial trade of Mexico
Author: Jorge Alberto López Arévalo
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release:
Genre:
ISBN:

Una de las tendencias más intensas del proceso de globalización en curso es el desarrollo del comercio intra-industrial, que transcurre ajeno al marco interpretativo tradicional. Este trabajo se centra en el análisis reciente de este fenómeno en el caso particular de México, en el contexto de su incorporación al Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte (tlcan), en donde la estructura productiva de los países involucrados ha cambiado significativamente a partir de la apertura comercial y se ha acomodado según las características o condiciones específicas de cada país. En el caso de México se observa que la importancia del comercio exterior representa cerca de dos tercios del producto (el doble de 1990), cambiando de manera significativa la composición de las exportaciones. En este contexto aparecen fenómenos como el comercio intra-industrial e intra-firma, que revelan la internacionalización de las cadenas productivas. Sin embargo, China se ha convertido en un actor importante en el comercio mundial y la región de América del Norte no ha sido una excepción. De hecho, China ha irrumpido con fuerza en el área del tlcan, aumentando su importancia como proveedor de mercancías, a pesar de no haber firmado ningún tratado comercial con estos países. En este trabajo se analiza el sentido y la profundidad de estas tendencias así como su impacto en la inserción intra-industrial de México

The economic impact of NAFTA on Mexico

The economic impact of NAFTA on Mexico
Author: Dennis Pohlmann
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2007-01-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638586235

Seminar paper from the year 2006 in the subject Economics - International Economic Relations, grade: 1,0, Drury University (Breech School of Business Administration), course: International Economics, language: English, abstract: Many countries are reducing trade barriers and promoting regional economic integration. A result of this is the rising of free-trade areas in which the belonging countries trade freely among themselves without tariffs or trade restrictions. One example for a free-trade area is the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) founded by the U.S., Mexico and Canada. When NAFTA took effect on January 1, 1994, it created the world ́s largest free-trade zone with a combined population of over 416 million and a total GDP of $12 trillion. Of course, the U.S., as the world ́s largest single market, dominates the North American business environment. The goal of NAFTA is to eliminate all the trade barriers between the three countries over a 15-year period, completed in 2009. NAFTA also substantially reduces, but does not completely eliminate, nontariff trade barriers like import quotas, sanitary regulations, and licensing agreements. From the beginning, NAFTA had a lot of opponents in the U.S. as well as in Mexico. For example, U.S. labor unions feared a loss in jobs because of dislocating production from the USA to Mexico by reason of lower wages. In Mexico, farmers opposed and still opposing NAFTA because of the high U.S. subsidies on agricultural products that are imported to Mexico. There were also beliefs from environmental, social justice, and other advocacy organizations stating that NAFTA has unfavorable impacts on non-economic areas like public health or environment. On the other hand, Mexican proponents supporting NAFTA argued that open trade could reduce migration from Mexico into the U.S. in the long run since NAFTA brings an improvement of the Mexican economy relative to the U.S. economy (Acevedo & Espenshade, 1992, p. 742). Between 1994 and 2003 Mexico ́s average annual GDP growth was 2.7 percent (Hufbauer & Schott, p. 2). At the first sight, NAFTA seems to be a benefit for the Mexican economy at the whole. Nevertheless, there are gainers and losers as a result of free trade. The content of this paper is to have a closer look on the Mexican economy and to answer the following three questions: 1. Can the trade pattern between Mexico and the U.S. be determined by using economic models? 2. Can the winners and losers that are resulting from the trade pattern between the U.S. and Mexico be explained with these models? 3. According to the economic models of international trade, does Mexico benefit like predicted?

How Has Nafta Affected the Mexican Economy? Review and Evidence

How Has Nafta Affected the Mexican Economy? Review and Evidence
Author: Mr. M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 50
Release: 2004-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451894813

This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the impact of NAFTA on growth and business cycles in Mexico. The effect of the agreement in spurring a dramatic increase in trade and financial flows between Mexico and its NAFTA partners, and its impact on Mexican economic growth and business cycle dynamics, are documented with reference both to stylized facts and recent empirical research. The paper concludes by drawing lessons from Mexico''s NAFTA experience for policymakers in developing countries. The foremost of these is that in an increasingly globalized trading system, bilateral and regional free trade arrangements should be used to accelerate, rather than postpone, needed structural reform.

NAFTA as a Model of Development

NAFTA as a Model of Development
Author: Richard S. Belous
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : National Planning Association : Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung ; [La Jolla, Ca.] : Institute of the Americas
Total Pages: 200
Release: 1993
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Development Centre Studies The Visible Hand of China in Latin America

Development Centre Studies The Visible Hand of China in Latin America
Author: OECD Development Centre
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Total Pages: 164
Release: 2007-04-18
Genre:
ISBN: 9264028382

Latin America is looking towards China and Asia -- and China and Asia are looking right back. This is a major shift: for the first time in its history, Latin America can benefit from not one but three major engines of world growth. Until the 1980s ...

NAFTA to USMCA: What is Gained?

NAFTA to USMCA: What is Gained?
Author: Mary E. Burfisher
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2019-03-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498303285

The United States – Mexico – Canada Agreement (USMCA) was signed on November 30, 2018 and aims to replace and modernize the North-American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). This paper uses a global, multisector, computable-general-equilibrium model to provide an analytical assessment of five key provisions in the new agreement, including tighter rules of origin in the automotive, textiles and apparel sectors, more liberalized agricultural trade, and other trade facilitation measures. The results show that together these provisions would adversely affect trade in the automotive, textiles and apparel sectors, while generating modest aggregate gains in terms of welfare, mostly driven by improved goods market access, with a negligible effect on real GDP. The welfare benefits from USMCA would be greatly enhanced with the elimination of U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico and the elimination of the Canadian and Mexican import surtaxes imposed after the U.S. tariffs were put in place.

Changing Patterns of Global Trade

Changing Patterns of Global Trade
Author: Nagwa Riad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 87
Release: 2012-01-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463973101

Changing Patterns of Global Trade outlines the factors underlying important shifts in global trade that have occurred in recent decades. The emergence of global supply chains and their increasing role in trade patterns allowed emerging market economies to boost their inputs in high-technology exports and is associated with increased trade interconnectedness.The analysis points to one important trend taking place over the last decade: the emergence of China as a major systemically important trading hub, reflecting not only the size of trade but also the increase in number of its significant trading partners.

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
Author: M. Villarreal
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2017-02-28
Genre:
ISBN: 9781544194172

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into force on January 1, 1994. The agreement was signed by President George H. W. Bush on December 17, 1992, and approved by Congress on November 20, 1993. The NAFTA Implementation Act was signed into law by President William J. Clinton on December 8, 1993 (P.L. 103-182). The overall economic impact of NAFTA is difficult to measure since trade and investment trends are influenced by numerous other economic variables, such as economic growth, inflation, and currency fluctuations. The agreement likely accelerated and also locked in trade liberalization that was already taking place in Mexico, but many of these changes may have taken place without an agreement. Nevertheless, NAFTA is significant, because it was the most comprehensive free trade agreement (FTA) negotiated at the time and contained several groundbreaking provisions. A legacy of the agreement is that it has served as a template or model for the new generation of FTAs that the United States later negotiated, and it also served as a template for certain provisions in multilateral trade negotiations as part of the Uruguay Round. The 115th Congress faces numerous issues related to NAFTA and international trade. President Donald J. Trump has proposed renegotiating NAFTA, or possibly withdrawing from it. Congress may wish to consider the ramifications of renegotiating or withdrawing from NAFTA and how it may affect the U.S. economy and foreign relations with Mexico and Canada. It may also wish to examine the congressional role in a possible renegotiation, as well as the negotiating positions of Canada and Mexico. Mexico has stated that, if NAFTA is reopened, it may seek to broaden negotiations to include security, counter-narcotics, and transmigration issues. Mexico has also indicated that it may choose to withdraw from the agreement if the negotiations are not favorable to the country. Congress may also wish to address issues related to the U.S. withdrawal from the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) free trade agreement among the United States, Canada, Mexico, and 9 other countries. Some observers contend that the withdrawal from TPP could damage U.S. competitiveness and economic leadership in the region, while others see the withdrawal as a way to prevent lower cost imports and potential job losses. Key provisions in TPP may also be addressed in 'modernizing' or renegotiating NAFTA, a more than two decade-old FTA. NAFTA was controversial when first proposed, mostly because it was the first FTA involving two wealthy, developed countries and a developing country. The political debate surrounding the agreement was divisive with proponents arguing that the agreement would help generate thousands of jobs and reduce income disparity in the region, while opponents warned that the agreement would cause huge job losses in the United States as companies moved production to Mexico to lower costs. In reality, NAFTA did not cause the huge job losses feared by the critics or the large economic gains predicted by supporters. The net overall effect of NAFTA on the U.S. economy appears to have been relatively modest, primarily because trade with Canada and Mexico accounts for a small percentage of U.S. GDP. However, there were worker and firm adjustment costs as the three countries adjusted to more open trade and investment. The rising number of bilateral and regional trade agreements throughout the world and the rising presence of China in Latin America could have implications for U.S. trade policy with its NAFTA partners. Some proponents of open and rules-based trade contend that maintaining NAFTA or deepening economic relations with Canada and Mexico will help promote a common trade agenda with shared values and generate economic growth. Some opponents argue that the agreement has caused worker displacement.