Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets

Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets
Author: Robert J. Hodrick
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 190
Release: 2023-08-18
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1000943380

This book presents a critical review of the empirical literature that studies the efficiency of the forward and futures markets for foreign exchange. It provides a useful foundation for research in developing quantitative measures of risk and expected return in international finance.

Establishing a Foreign Exchange Futures Market in China

Establishing a Foreign Exchange Futures Market in China
Author: Mr. Zhongxia Jin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 22
Release: 2021-11-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513584847

During China’s transition toward a more flexible exchange rate, it is essential to further develop its foreign exchange (FX) derivatives markets to meet the growing hedging needs associated with greater exchange rate fluctuations. Although over-the-counter (OTC) FX derivatives markets already exist in China, it lacks a FX futures market that offers critical complementarities. With standardized products, greater transparency and centralized oversight, a FX futures market can better satisfy the hedging needs of small and medium-sized enterprises and enhance regulatory efficiency. To address concerns regarding whether FX futures market will amplify the volatility of spot exchange rates, this paper analyzes the impact of establishing FX futures markets on spot market volatility using data from major emerging market economies. The result shows that FX futures market is not empirically associated with an increase in spot market volatility; in some cases, it is even associated with a decrease in spot market volatility. This paper further suggests that for a well-functioning FX futures market to be established, it is essential for China to substitute the inefficient documentation requirement of underlying exposures with a new set of market-oriented measures for the purpose of prudent regulation.

The Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets

The Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets
Author: Robert J. Hodrick
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2018
Genre: MATHEMATICS
ISBN: 9781003420385

This book presents a critical review of the empirical literature that studies the efficiency of the forward and futures markets for foreign exchange. It provides a useful foundation for research in developing quantitative measures of risk and expected return in international finance.

Efficiency in Commodity Futures Markets

Efficiency in Commodity Futures Markets
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 1989-12-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451946961

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.

Rational Expectations and Efficiency in Futures Markets

Rational Expectations and Efficiency in Futures Markets
Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 252
Release: 2005-10-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 113497521X

Do traders in futures markets make use of all relevant information and is this reflected in prices? This collection of original essays by a team of international economists considers these and other questions central to futures markets.