The Effects of the Bank of Japan's Zero Interest Rate Commitment and Quantitative Monetary Easing on the Yield Curve

The Effects of the Bank of Japan's Zero Interest Rate Commitment and Quantitative Monetary Easing on the Yield Curve
Author: Nobuyuki Oda
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2005
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper provides an empirical investigation of monetary policy in Japan in the zero interest rate environment that has held sway since 1999. In particular, we focus on the effects of the zero interest rate commitment and of quantitative monetary easing on medium- to long-term interest rates in Japan. In the study we apply a version of the macro-finance approach, involving a combination of estimation of a structural macro-model and calibration of time-variant parameters to the yield curve observed in the market. This enables us to decompose interest rates into expectations and risk premium components and simultaneously to extract the market's perception of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ's) willingness to carry on its zero interest rate policy. In the analysis we make clear the counterfactual policy that would have been practiced in the absence of the actual policies followed by the BOJ since 1999. From this analysis, we tentatively conclude that the BOJ's monetary policy since 1999 has functioned mainly through the zero interest rate commitment, which has led to declines in medium- to long-term interest rates. We also find some evidence that, up until the end of 2003, raising the reserve target may have been perceived as a signal indicating the BOJ's accommodative policy stance although the size of the effect is not large. The portfolio rebalancing effect - either by the BOJ's supplying ample liquidity or by its purchases of long-term government bonds - has not been found to be significant.

Comments on "Price Stability and Japanese Monetary Policy"

Comments on
Author: Hiroshi Fujiki
Publisher:
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2004
Genre: Deflation (Finance)
ISBN:

This commentary summarizes the authors main points of agreement and disagreement with respect to the proposal written by Dr. Hetzel. The authors agree with Dr. Hetzel's proposal on four points: after a central bank has lowered the interest rate to zero, (i) a central bank is not in fact powerless to stop deflation, (ii) it does not make sense to focus on the quantity of the monetary base per se, (iii) it is important to influence market expectations if monetary policy is to be effective, and (iv) central bank solvency holds some importance. The authors disagree with Dr. Hetzel's proposal on three points: (i) transmission channels of quantitative easing, (ii) potential costs and benefits of his proposal, and (iii) the timing of introduction of an explicit nominal anchor.

Bank of Japan's Quantitative and Credit Easing

Bank of Japan's Quantitative and Credit Easing
Author: Mr.Ugo Fasano-Filho
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 17
Release: 2012-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475502478

This paper asks whether the BoJ's recent experience with unconventional monetary easing has been effective in supporting economic activity and inflation. Using a structural VAR model, the paper finds some evidence that BoJ's monetary policy measures during 1998-2010 have had an impact on economic activity but less so on inflation. These results are stronger than those in earlier studies looking at the quantitative easing period up to 2006 and may reflect more effective credit channel as a result of improvements in the banking and corporate sectors. Nevertheless, the relative contribution of monetary policy measures to the variation in output and inflation is rather small.

Financial Market Functioning and Monetary Policy

Financial Market Functioning and Monetary Policy
Author: Naohiko Baba
Publisher:
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2006
Genre: Capital market
ISBN:

This paper reviews the financial market functioning under the zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) and the subsequent quantitative monetary easing policy (QMEP) conducted by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). First, the estimation results of the JGB yield curve using the Black-Gorovoi-Linetsky (BGL) model show that (i) the shadow interest rate has been negative since the late 1990s, turned around upward in 2003, and has been on an uptrend since then, and (ii) the first-hitting time until the negative shadow interest rate hits zero again under the risk-neutral probability is estimated to be about 3 months as of the end of February 2006. Second, under the ZIRP and QMEP, the risk premiums for Japanese banks have almost disappeared in the short-term money markets like the market for negotiable certificates of deposits, while they have remained in the credit default swap market and the stock market. This result supports the view that the market participants have positively perceived the BOJ's ample liquidity provisions in containing the near-term defaults of banks caused by the liquidity shortage.--Author's description.

Size and Composition of the Central Bank Balance Sheet

Size and Composition of the Central Bank Balance Sheet
Author: Shigenori Shiratsuka
Publisher:
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2009
Genre: Banks and banking, Central
ISBN:

"This paper re-examines Japan's experience of the quantitative easing policy in light of the policy responses against the current financial and economic crisis. Central banks use various unconventional measures in the range of financial assets being purchased and in the scale of such purchases. As the scope of such unconventional measures expands, it is often emphasized that the U.S. Federal Reserve policy reactions focus more on the asset side of its balance sheet, the so-called credit easing . By contrast, the Bank of Japan's quantitative easing policy from 2001 to 2006 set a target for the current account balances, the liability side of its balance sheet. It is crucial to understand that central banks combine the two elements of their balance sheets, size and composition, to enhance the overall effects of unconventional policy measures, given constraints on policy implementation.--Author's abstract.

Bank of Japan'S Monetary Easing Measures

Bank of Japan'S Monetary Easing Measures
Author: Mr.Waikei W. Lam
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2011-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463924631

With policy rates near the zero bound, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has introduced a series of unconventional monetary easing measures since late 2009 in response to lingering deflation and a weakening economy. These measures culminated in a new Asset Purchase Program under the Comprehensive Monetary Easing (CME) which differs from typical quantitative easing in other central banks by including purchases of risky asset in an effort to reduce term and risk premia. This note assesses the impact of monetary easing measures on financial markets using an event study approach. It finds that the BoJ's monetary easing measures has had a statistically significant impact on lowering bond yields and improving equity prices, but no notable impact on inflation expectations.

Monetary Policies in the Age of Uncertainty

Monetary Policies in the Age of Uncertainty
Author: Yoichi Matsubayashi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 70
Release: 2021-08-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811641463

This book provides an interesting review of Japanese monetary policies after the bubble economy. The Bank of Japan was the first central bank in advanced economies to implement the unconventional monetary policies during the period. After the Lehman shock, most advanced economies also carried out similar monetary policies to boost their own economies. The Japanese experience in the 1990s and 2000s no doubt played a key role during the period. Although various aspects of the experiences have been examined, not many books have been published based on intensive discussions between the macro and monetary theorists who have been active in academics and the practitioners who have actually been involved in monetary policy. This small but important book has focused on the Japanese experience. Evaluation of that experience found that three solid pillars are of crucial importance: theory, institution, and experience. Those form the basis of the book, without theory, no policies will be formulated and implemented, and implementation depends crucially on institution. Chapter 1 provides a clear theoretical background for the unconventional monetary policies and inflation targeting. Chapter 2 intensively explores the meaning and desirability of the independence of central banks. Chapter 3 reviews the consequences of the Japanese monetary policies in recent decades in comparison with those in other advanced economies.