Fiscal and Social Impact of a Nominal Exchange Rate Devaluation in Djibouti

Fiscal and Social Impact of a Nominal Exchange Rate Devaluation in Djibouti
Author: Paloma AnĂ³s Casero
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2006
Genre: Accounting
ISBN:

Limited fiscal space limits Djibouti's ability to meet the Millennium Development Goals and improve the living conditions of its population. Djibouti's fiscal structure is unique in that almost 70 percent of government revenue is denominated in foreign currency (import taxes, foreign aid grants, and military revenue) while over 50 percent of government expenditure is denominated in local currency (wages, salaries, and social transfers). Djibouti's economic structure is also unusual in that merchandise exports of local origin are insignificant, and the country relies heavily on imported goods (food, medicines, consumer and capital goods). A currency devaluation, by reducing real wages, could potentially generate additional fiscal space that would help meet Djibouti's fundamental development goals. Using macroeconomic and household level data, the authors quantify the impact of a devaluation of the nominal exchange rate on fiscal savings, real public sector wages, real income, and poverty under various hypothetical scenarios of exchange-rate pass-through and magnitude of devaluation. They find that a currency devaluation could generate fiscal savings in the short-term, but it would have an adverse effect on poverty and income distribution. A 30 percent nominal exchange rate devaluation could generate fiscal savings amounting between 3 and 7 percent of GDP. At the same time, a 30 percent nominal devaluation could cause nearly a fifth of the poorest households to fall below the extreme poverty line and pull the same fraction of upper middle-income households below the national poverty line. The authors also find that currency devaluation could generate net fiscal savings even after accounting for the additional social transfers needed to compensate the poor for their real income loss. However, the absence of formal social safety nets limits the government's readiness to provide well-targeted and timely social transfers to the poor.

Debt, Adjustment, and Poverty in Developing Countries: The impact of debt and adjustment at the household level in developing countries

Debt, Adjustment, and Poverty in Developing Countries: The impact of debt and adjustment at the household level in developing countries
Author: David Woodward
Publisher: Burns & Oates
Total Pages: 360
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Commissioned by the internationally acclaimed Save the Children Fund, this is a study of debt crisis and economic adjustment, and of their implications for poverty in developing countries. It is divided into two volumes. The first volume considers the issues at the national and international levels, covering: problems in the adjustment process; the effectiveness of the current approach to adjustment; and the links between debt, adjustment and the international economic and financial system.

Pro-Poor Macroeconomics

Pro-Poor Macroeconomics
Author: G. Cornia
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 373
Release: 2006-09-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0230627900

This book tackles the disagreements that affect those looking to establish the macroeconomic policies needed to halve poverty over the next ten years. It presents a pro-poor macroeconomic policy allowing countries to recapture policy space, help promote growth, reduce inequality and diminish poverty in a sustainable way.

Fiscal and Social Impact of a Nominal Exchange Rate Devaluation in Djibouti

Fiscal and Social Impact of a Nominal Exchange Rate Devaluation in Djibouti
Author: Paloma Anos Casero
Publisher:
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

Limited fiscal space limits Djibouti's ability to meet the Millennium Development Goals and improve the living conditions of its population. Djibouti's fiscal structure is unique in that almost 70 percent of government revenue is denominated in foreign currency (import taxes, foreign aid grants, and military revenue) while over 50 percent of government expenditure is denominated in local currency (wages, salaries, and social transfers). Djibouti's economic structure is also unusual in that merchandise exports of local origin are insignificant, and the country relies heavily on imported goods (food, medicines, consumer and capital goods). A currency devaluation, by reducing real wages, could potentially generate additional fiscal space that would help meet Djibouti's fundamental development goals. Using macroeconomic and household level data, the authors quantify the impact of a devaluation of the nominal exchange rate on fiscal savings, real public sector wages, real income, and poverty under various hypothetical scenarios of exchange-rate pass-through and magnitude of devaluation. They find that a currency devaluation could generate fiscal savings in the short-term, but it would have an adverse effect on poverty and income distribution. A 30 percent nominal exchange rate devaluation could generate fiscal savings amounting between 3 and 7 percent of GDP. At the same time, a 30 percent nominal devaluation could cause nearly a fifth of the poorest households to fall below the extreme poverty line and pull the same fraction of upper middle-income households below the national poverty line. The authors also find that currency devaluation could generate net fiscal savings even after accounting for the additional social transfers needed to compensate the poor for their real income loss. However, the absence of formal social safety nets limits the government's readiness to provide well-targeted and timely social transfers to the poor.

Fiscal and Social Impact of a Nominal Exchange Rate Devaluation in Djibouti

Fiscal and Social Impact of a Nominal Exchange Rate Devaluation in Djibouti
Author: Paloma An??s Casero
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2012
Genre:
ISBN:

Limited fiscal space limits Djibouti's ability to meet the Millennium Development Goals and improve the living conditions of its population. Djibouti's fiscal structure is unique in that almost 70 percent of government revenue is denominated in foreign currency (import taxes, foreign aid grants, and military revenue) while over 50 percent of government expenditure is denominated in local currency (wages, salaries, and social transfers). Djibouti's economic structure is also unusual in that merchandise exports of local origin are insignificant, and the country relies heavily on imported goods (food, medicines, consumer and capital goods). A currency devaluation, by reducing real wages, could potentially generate additional fiscal space that would help meet Djibouti's fundamental development goals. Using macroeconomic and household level data, the authors quantify the impact of a devaluation of the nominal exchange rate on fiscal savings, real public sector wages, real income, and poverty under various hypothetical scenarios of exchange-rate pass-through and magnitude of devaluation. They find that a currency devaluation could generate fiscal savings in the short-term, but it would have an adverse effect on poverty and income distribution. A 30 percent nominal exchange rate devaluation could generate fiscal savings amounting between 3 and 7 percent of GDP. At the same time, a 30 percent nominal devaluation could cause nearly a fifth of the poorest households to fall below the extreme poverty line and pull the same fraction of upper middle-income households below the national poverty line. The authors also find that currency devaluation could generate net fiscal savings even after accounting for the additional social transfers needed to compensate the poor for their real income loss. However, the absence of formal social safety nets limits the government's readiness to provide well-targeted and timely social transfers to the poor.

The Globalisation of Poverty

The Globalisation of Poverty
Author: Michel Chossudovsky
Publisher: London, England ; Atlantic Highlands, NJ : Zed Books
Total Pages: 292
Release: 1997
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Overview of macroeconomic disaster in the making