The Effectiveness of Job-Retention Schemes: COVID-19 Evidence From the German States

The Effectiveness of Job-Retention Schemes: COVID-19 Evidence From the German States
Author: Mr. Shekhar Aiyar
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2021-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513596179

Kurzarbeit (KA), Germany’s short-time work program, is widely credited with saving jobs and supporting domestic demand during the COVID-19 recession. We quantify the impact by exploiting state-level variation in exposure to the pandemic shock and KA take-up. We construct a shift-share measure of the labor demand shock and instrument KA take-up using the pre-existing, state-specific share of workers eligible for KA. We find, first, that KA was crucial in mitigating unemployment: absent its expansion the unemployment rate would have increased by an additional 3 pp on average at the trough of the recession. Second, KA also bolstered domestic demand: the contraction in consumption could have been 2 to 3 times larger absent the program. Finally, we provide preliminary evidence on the sensitivity of the medium-run reallocation of resources to the prevalence of jobretention schemes during the Global Financial Crisis.

How Effective Were Job-Retention Schemes During the COVID-19 Pandemic? A Microsimulation Approach for European Countries

How Effective Were Job-Retention Schemes During the COVID-19 Pandemic? A Microsimulation Approach for European Countries
Author: W. Raphael Lam
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2023-01-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

The COVID-19 pandemic had posed a dramatic impact on labor markets across Europe. Forceful fiscal responses have prevented an otherwise sharper contraction. Many countries introduced or expanded job-retention schemes to preserve jobs and support households. This paper uses a microsimulation approach (EUROMOD) and household data to assess the effectiveness of those schemes in stabilizing household income during the pandemic across European countries. Empirical evidence shows that job-retention schemes were effective in stabilizing income and, along with other measures, absorbed nearly 80 percent of market income shocks—almost doubling the extent of the automatic stabilization of the pre-pandemic tax and benefit systems. The large effects are related to the widespread use and scaling up of those schemes and a deep but short-lived disruption to labor markets during the pandemic. Along with other fiscal support measures, job-retention schemes helped mitigate the rise in the unemployment rate, by about 3 percentage points, and income inequality during the pandemic. Our results show that job-retention schemes were largely targeted, in which households more vulnerable to income losses, such as lower-income families, youth, and low-skilled workers, are able to stabilize their income.

Germany: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Germany

Germany: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Germany
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 78
Release: 2021-07-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513594435

Germany’s economy contracted by just under 5 percent in 2020, outperforming most European peers. But renewed waves of infections and associated lockdowns caused economic activity to plunge again in the first quarter of this year. While the pace of mass vaccination has picked up and the economy has started to reopen, the recovery path is beset with risks, particularly with respect to the progress of the pandemic and supply shortages in major industries. The authorities have maintained appropriately accommodative fiscal and financial policies, and most measures supporting households and firms have been extended through 2021.

Preparing ERTE for the Future An Evaluation of Job Retention Support in Spain During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Preparing ERTE for the Future An Evaluation of Job Retention Support in Spain During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Total Pages: 103
Release: 2024-10-30
Genre:
ISBN: 9264527117

This report provides a detailed assessment of job retention support (ERTE) in Spain during the COVID-19 crisis. It provides three major insights. First, job retention support in Spain has been transformed from a little used and difficult to access scheme before the COVID-19 crisis to a scheme that can be scaled up quickly in response to a major economic downturn and be phased out easily as economic conditions recover. Second, the use of ERTE was stronger in regions, industries and occupations most affected by the COVID-19 crisis, suggesting support was effectively targeted to firms and workers that needed it most. Third, job retention was highly effective in supporting employment during the COVID-19 crisis. It not only prevented a major surge in unemployment but also avoided that the labour market became congested with too many job seekers competing for too few job vacancies. The labour market reform of December 2021 consolidated many of the important changes that made job retention support so successful during the COVID-19 crisis and in addition introduced a specific mechanism that allows scaling up support in the case of large adverse shocks.

Is the German Middle Class Crumbling? Risks and Opportunities

Is the German Middle Class Crumbling? Risks and Opportunities
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Total Pages: 142
Release: 2021-12-21
Genre:
ISBN: 9264475893

Thriving middle classes are the backbone of democratic societies and strong economies, but in many countries, they face mounting pressure as their economic strength is eroding relative to higher-income households. Real wages and incomes for most middle-class households have grown only very slowly, and rising expenditures have been putting further pressure on living standards.

European Labor Markets and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Fallout and the Path Ahead

European Labor Markets and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Fallout and the Path Ahead
Author: Mr. Sakai Ando
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 96
Release: 2022-03-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused by far the largest shock to European economies since World War II. Yet, astonishingly, the EU unemployment rate had already declined to its pre-crisis level by 2021Q3, and in some countries the labor force participation rate is at a record high. This paper documents that the widespread use of job retention schemes has played an essential role in mitigating the pandemic’s impact on labor markets and thereby facilitating the restart of European economies after the initial lockdowns.

Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies

Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies
Author: Mr.Christian H Ebeke
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2021-03-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513570919

The spread of COVID-19, containment measures, and general uncertainty led to a sharp reduction in activity in the first half of 2020. Europe was hit particularly hard—the economic contraction in 2020 is estimated to have been among the largest in the world—with potentially severe repercussions on its nonfinancial corporations. A wave of corporate bankruptcies would generate mass unemployment, and a loss of productive capacity and firm-specific human capital. With many SMEs in Europe relying primarily on the banking sector for external finance, stress in the corporate sector could easily translate into pressures in the banking system (Aiyar et al., forthcoming).

PROCEEDINGS OF ACADEMICS WORLD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

PROCEEDINGS OF ACADEMICS WORLD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE
Author: Miss. Madhusmita Satapathy
Publisher: Institute for Technology and Research (ITRESEARCH) Bhubaneswar, India
Total Pages: 63
Release: 2022-05-05
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 9390150329

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