The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries

The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries
Author: Mr.Ales Bulir
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2011-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455293717

The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show that excessive debt accumulation is consistent with an anticipation of a future debt relief. Simulations of the calibrated model using 1982-2006 Ugandan data suggest that debt-relief episodes are likely to have only a temporary impact on the level of debt in low-income countries, while being associated with more consumption and less invesment. The long-run debt-to-GDP ratio is estimated to be about twice as high with debt relief than without it.

Further Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries - Key Issues and Preliminary Considerations

Further Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries - Key Issues and Preliminary Considerations
Author: International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2005-10-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498331718

The International Monetary and Finance Committee at its 2004 Annual Meetings called on the international community to provide assistance including “further debt relief” to low-income countries for achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). It reaffirmed the Fund’s “important role” in supporting lowincome countries and called on the Fund to consider “further debt relief and its financing.” More impetus for this request was provided by various recent proposals (summarized in Annex I). At their meeting in London in February, G7 Finance Ministers expressed their willingness to provide as much as 100 percent multilateral debt relief.

Debt Relief, Additionality, and Aid Allocation in Low Income Countries

Debt Relief, Additionality, and Aid Allocation in Low Income Countries
Author: Mr.Robert Powell
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 22
Release: 2003-09-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451858779

This paper models the resource implications of debt relief provided to low-income countries (LICs). Obtaining debt relief does not necessarily lead to individual aid-dependent countries receiving more overall resources from the donor community. Preliminary cross-section estimates suggest that debt relief provided to low-income countries in the period 1996 2000 neither crowded out other non-debt relief-related aid flows to the debtors concerned nor created significant extra net resources for those countries. While it is too early to fully assess the resource implications of the enhanced HIPC Initiative, this paper provides a possible approach to such an evaluation.

Debt Relief and Beyond

Debt Relief and Beyond
Author: Carlos A. Primo Braga
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 478
Release: 2009-10-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821378759

The history of debt relief goes back several decades. It reveals that a country s accumulation of unsustainable debt stems from such factors as deficiencies in macroeconomic management, adverse terms-of-trade shocks, and poor governance. Debt-relief initiatives have provided debt-burdened countries with the opportunity for a fresh start, but whether the benefits of debt relief can be preserved depends on transformations in a country s policies and institutions. In 1996, the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative was launched as the first comprehensive, multilateral, debt-relief framework for low-income countries. In 2005, the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative was established, which increased the level of debt relief provided to HIPCs. As of early 2009, assistance through these two initiatives had been committed to 35 countries and amounted to US$117 billion in nominal terms, or half of the 2007 GDP of these countries. 'Debt Relief and Beyond' assesses the implications of debt relief for low-income countries and how its benefits can be preserved and used to fight poverty. The chapter authors bring unique operational experience to their examination of debt relief, debt sustainability, and debt management. Several key questions are addressed, including, what consequences does debt relief have for poverty-reducing expenditures, growth, and access to finance? Can debt relief guarantee debt sustainability? How can debt management at all levels of government be improved? What lessons can be learned from countries that have experienced debt restructuring? Finally, this book provides sound empirical evidence using current econometric techniques.

A Debt Overhang Model for Low-Income Countries

A Debt Overhang Model for Low-Income Countries
Author: Junko Koeda
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 28
Release: 2006-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

The paper presents a theoretical model to explain how debt overhang is generated in low-income countries and discusses its implications for debt relief. The paper indicates that the extent of debt overhang, and the effectiveness of debt relief, would depend on a recipient country's initial economic conditions and level of total factor productivity.

Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief

Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief
Author: World Bank
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2006-06-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498332064

In April 2006, the Executive Boards of the Bank and the Fund reviewed the debt sustainability framework (DSF) for low-income countries and the implications of the multilateral debt relief initiative. Directors thought that the DSF was broadly appropriate and that no major changes were warranted, but saw scope for additional guidance on the application of the framework in a context where the apparent borrowing space created by debt relief raises new challenges in terms of policy advice. Most Directors supported a case-by-case approach for assessing the appropriate pace of debt accumulation in countries with debt below the DSF thresholds, but requested the development of specific recommendations on the implementation of such a case-by-case approach.

Review of Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework and Implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI)

Review of Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework and Implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI)
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2006-03-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149833282X

This paper reviews the experience with the joint IMF-World Bank Debt Sustainability Framework for low-income countries, including cooperation between the staffs, and highlights the implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative.

Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries and the HIPC Initiative

Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries and the HIPC Initiative
Author: Mr.Anthony R. Boote
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 1997-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451844107

The paper describes the debt burden of low-income countries and the traditional mechanisms that have been implemented by the international community to alleviate this burden. While these mechanisms are sufficient to reduce the external debts of many heavily indebted poor countries (HIPCs) to sustainable levels provided these countries implement sound economic policies, they are likely insufficient for a number of countries. To deal with these cases, the World Bank and the IMF have jointly proposed and implemented the HIPC Initiative. The paper describes this Initiative and suggests that it should enable HIPCs to exit from the debt rescheduling process.

From Toronto Terms to the HIPC Initiative

From Toronto Terms to the HIPC Initiative
Author: Ms.Christina Daseking
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 1999-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451856237

The low-income country debt crisis had its origins in weak macroeconomic policies, and official creditors’ willingness to take risks unacceptable to private lenders. Payments problems were initially addressed through nonconcessional reschedulings and new lending that maximized financing while containing the budgetary costs for creditors. This led to an unsustainable buildup in debt stocks. More recently, debt ratios have improved, reflecting both adjustment and substantial debt relief. The paper estimates debt relief initiatives since 1988 have cost creditors at least $30 billion, and possibly much more. This compares with the estimated costs of about $27 billion under the enhanced HIPC Initiative.

Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries

Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries
Author: Anthony R. Boote
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 1997
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This paper describes the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative and suggests that it should enable HIPCs to exit from the debt-rescheduling process. It argues that implementation of the Initiative should eliminate debt as an impediment to economic development and growth and enable HIPC governments to focus on the difficult policies and reforms required to remove the remaining impediments to achieving sustainable development. The paper describes the implementation of the Initiative through the end of September 1998.