Testing Linear Asset Pricing Models

Testing Linear Asset Pricing Models
Author: Imane Munzer Dabbous
Publisher:
Total Pages: 122
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

All asset pricing models are necessarily error-ridden. While most of them have f ound supporting evidence, all have inevitably been proven inadequate at some emp irical front. It is from this perspective that all asset pricing models must be considered. The present project attempts an exhaustive comparison of a number of linear asse t pricing models. These will be compared based on their ability to price the ass ets available in the US financial market. In particular, the Hansen-Jagannathan (1997) distance measure test will be the criterion by which models will be compa red and contrasted. It will be used repeatedly to draw conclusions as far as the performance of these models across variations involving the frequency of the da ta, and the conditional information. These sensitivity tests will allow for a ra ther comprehensive evaluation of some of the most popular models, also known as the variants of CAPM. The project is organized as follows. Chapter 1 introduces the topic. The next ch apter provides a discussion of the theoretical aspects of the paper including th e stochastic discount factor concept and the derivation of HJ-distance. Chapter 3 describes the asset pricing models to be evaluated and the parameterization of the different models. Chapter 4 discusses the data and documents the empirical results. The last chapter provides the interpretation of the results as well as concluding remarks.

Testing Linear Factor Models on Individual Stocks Using the Average F Test

Testing Linear Factor Models on Individual Stocks Using the Average F Test
Author: Soosung Hwang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

We propose the average F statistic for testing linear asset pricing models. The average pricing error, captured in the the statistic, is of more interest than the ex post maximum pricing error of the multivariate F statistic that is associated with extreme long and short positions and excessively sensitive to small perturbations in the estimates of asset means and covariances. The average F test can be applied to thousands of individual stocks and thus is free from the information loss or the data snooping biases from grouping. This test is robust to ellipticity, and more importantly, our simulation and bootstrapping results show that the power of average F test continues to increase as the number of stocks increases. Empirical tests using individual stocks from 1967 to 2006 demonstrate that the popular four factor model (i.e. Fama-French three factors and momentum) is rejected two sub-periods from from 1967 to 1971 and from 1982 to 1986.

Testing Linear Factor Pricing Models with Individual Securities in Japan

Testing Linear Factor Pricing Models with Individual Securities in Japan
Author: Ryohei Oishi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

This study proposes a multivariate test for linear factor asset pricing models when the number of assets, N, is larger than the time dimension of returns, T. We extend the exact test proposed by Gibbons et al. (1989) to obtain a nonsingular covariance matrix with fewer estimation errors in the case of T

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 497
Release: 2019-03-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262039370

An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

What to Do About a Latent Factor

What to Do About a Latent Factor
Author: Todd Prono
Publisher:
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

A new model misspecification measure for linear asset pricing models is proposed. The origins of this measure are in Shanken (1987) and Kandel and Stambaugh (1985, 1995), where it is argued that the true market return is inherently latent and, as a consequence, only ever partially observed. Tests of asset pricing models that rely on the market return as a risk factor and are based, by necessity, on an observable proxy to this factor are then misspecified. The proposed misspecification measure, which assigns an upper bound to the correlation between the true market return and the observable proxy return used to conduct the test, can be estimated entirely and directly from observable data. This measure is suited both for testing models that include the market return as a pricing factor in a traditional sense (i.e., determining whether the given model does or does not price a collection of risky assets) and ranking those models (i.e., gauging which model performs the best). The measure is used to price portfolios reflecting the size, value, and momentum premiums. While neither the conditional CAPM nor the ICAPM is shown to offer any improvement over the simple CAPM, all three models are shown to perform materially better under the proposed measure, with improvements in model fit of as much as 45%. Also, it is discovered that winner stocks in a momentum portfolio may have higher market betas than loser stocks.

Encyclopedia of Finance

Encyclopedia of Finance
Author: Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 861
Release: 2006-07-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0387262849

This is a major new reference work covering all aspects of finance. Coverage includes finance (financial management, security analysis, portfolio management, financial markets and instruments, insurance, real estate, options and futures, international finance) and statistical applications in finance (applications in portfolio analysis, option pricing models and financial research). The project is designed to attract both an academic and professional market. It also has an international approach to ensure its maximum appeal. The Editors' wish is that the readers will find the encyclopedia to be an invaluable resource.

A Dynamic Test of Conditional Asset Pricing Models

A Dynamic Test of Conditional Asset Pricing Models
Author: Daniele Bianchi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

I use Bayesian tools to develop a dynamic testing methodology for conditional factor pricing models, in which time-varying betas, idiosyncratic risks, and factors risk premia are jointly estimated in a single step. Based on this framework, I test over fifty years of post-war monthly data some of the most common factor pricing models on size, book-to-market, and momentum deciles portfolios, both in the time series and in the cross section. The empirical results show that, a conditional specification of the recent five-factor model of Fama and French (2015) outperforms a set of theory-based competing linear pricing models along several dimensions.

Testing the Linear Relationship of the Capital Asset Pricing Model

Testing the Linear Relationship of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Author: Jad Zouheir Nohra
Publisher:
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

The main purpose of the project is to relate the risk of assets to their expecte d returns (mainly assets that are traded on a handful of developed markets, incl uding US, Japanese, French, and German exchanges). In order to do so, we refer t o the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) which consists of relating the risk of an asset to its expected return by comparing it to the overall stock market. Thi s model is based on the existence of a linear relationship between the expected return of a given asset, and the market rate of return. Consequently, any return that is not explained by this linear relationship (abnormal return) will lead u s to reject the theoretical linear relationship stated and formulated in the CAP M. The first chapter will introduce the topic. The second chapter consists of prese nting the CAPM, its critiques and extensions. In the third chapter, a literature review will be conducted. Then, in the fourth chapter I will undertake time ser ies/cross-sectional analyses of the aforementioned equity markets in order to te st the CAPM model itself. The same stocks will be tested using the international version of the model. Finally, in the fifth chapter I will conclude with the im plications of my findings for asset pricing and investment.