Predictive Accident Modeling for Highway Transportation System Using Bayesian Networks

Predictive Accident Modeling for Highway Transportation System Using Bayesian Networks
Author: Dan Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

The highway network, as a critical infrastructure in our daily life, is an important component of the public transportation system. In the face of a continuously increasing highway accident rate, highway safety is certainly one of the greatest concerns for transportation departments worldwide. To better improve the current situation, several studies have been carried out on preventing the occurrence of highway accidents or reducing the severity level of highway accidents. The principal causes of highway accidents can be summarized into four categories: external environment conditions, operational environment conditions, driver conditions and vehicle conditions. This research proposes a representational Bayesian Networks (BNs) model which can predict and continuously update the likelihood of highway accidents, by considering a set of well-defined variables belonging to these principal causes, also named risk factors, which directly or indirectly contribute to the frequency and severity of highway accidents. This accident predictive BNs model is developed using accidents data from Transport Canada's National Collision Database (NCDB) during the period of 1999 to 2010. Model testing is provided with a case study of Highway #63 site, which is from 6 km southwest of Radway to 16 km north of Fort Mackay in north Alberta, Canada. The validity of this BNs model is established by comparing prediction results with relevant historical records. The positive outcome of this exercise presents great potential of the proposed model to real life applications. Furthermore, this predictive BNs accident model can be integrated with a Safety Instrumented System (SIS). This integration would assist in predicting the real-time probability of accident and would also help activating risk management actions in a timely fashion. This research also simulates 10 scenarios with different specific states of variables to predict the probability of fatal accident occurrence, which demonstrates how the BNs model is integrated with SIS. The major objective of this research is to introduce the predictive accident BNs model with the capabilities of inferring the dependent causal relations and predicting the probability of highway accidents. It is also believed that this BNs model would help developing efficient and effective transportation risk management strategies.

12th International Symposium on Process Systems Engineering and 25th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering

12th International Symposium on Process Systems Engineering and 25th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering
Author:
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 2667
Release: 2015-07-14
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0444634452

25th European Symposium on Computer-Aided Process Engineering contains the papers presented at the 12th Process Systems Engineering (PSE) and 25th European Society of Computer Aided Process Engineering (ESCAPE) Joint Event held in Copenhagen, Denmark, 31 May - 4 June 2015. The purpose of these series is to bring together the international community of researchers and engineers who are interested in computing-based methods in process engineering. This conference highlights the contributions of the PSE/CAPE community towards the sustainability of modern society. Contributors from academia and industry establish the core products of PSE/CAPE, define the new and changing scope of our results, and future challenges. Plenary and keynote lectures discuss real-world challenges (globalization, energy, environment, and health) and contribute to discussions on the widening scope of PSE/CAPE versus the consolidation of the core topics of PSE/CAPE. - Highlights how the Process Systems Engineering/Computer-Aided Process Engineering community contributes to the sustainability of modern society - Presents findings and discussions from both the 12th Process Systems Engineering (PSE) and 25th European Society of Computer-Aided Process Engineering (ESCAPE) Events - Establishes the core products of Process Systems Engineering/Computer Aided Process Engineering - Defines the future challenges of the Process Systems Engineering/Computer Aided Process Engineering community

Engineering Risk and Hazard Assessment

Engineering Risk and Hazard Assessment
Author: Abraham Kandel
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 202
Release: 2018-01-31
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1351088610

The volumes deal with the newly emerging field ofRisk and Hazard Assessment and its application to science and engineering. These volumes deal with issues such as short-and long-term hazards, setting priorities in safety, fault analysis for process plants, hazard identification and safety assessment of human- robot systems, plant fault diagnoses expert systems, knowledge based diagnostic systems, fault tree analysis, modelling of computer security systems for risk and reliability analysis, risk analysis of fatigue failure, fault evaluation of complex system, probabilistic risk analysis, and expert systems for fault detection. This volume will provide the reader not only with valuable conceptual and technical information but also with a better view of the field, its problems, accomplishments, and future potentials

Environmental Pollution and Natural Resource Management

Environmental Pollution and Natural Resource Management
Author: Kanchan Deoli Bahukhandi
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 420
Release: 2022-07-21
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3031053354

This book presents conference articles related to environmental pollution and natural resource management, and environmentally friendly technologies that lead to sustainable development presented in the Conference "Sustainable Management of Environment & Natural Resource Through Innovation in Science and Technology". The book highlights the latest development and innovation in environmental science, technology, and interdisciplinary research to improve the environment and health safety. It includes innovations and improvisations in the broad area of science and technology, natural resource, and environment management. It deliberates on the current burning issues of environment protection management and sustainable development, environmental pollution, global warming, and climate change. The development strategies must therefore be shaped by the following components: The satisfaction of basic human requirements The eradication of poverty Self-reliant and participatory development Environmental consciousness Technology has to play a critical role in the process of changing industrial society. But innovation has to be embedded in social and organizational innovation. This book provides a wide range of research articles in the area of science and technology, sustainability, natural resource management, ecology and its environmental fields, geosciences and geology, atmospheric sciences, sustainability, climate change, and extreme weather, global warming, and environmental change, the effect of climate change on the ecosystem, environment, and pollution.

A Predictive Safety Management System Software Package Based on the Continuous Hazard Tracking and Failure Prediction Methodology

A Predictive Safety Management System Software Package Based on the Continuous Hazard Tracking and Failure Prediction Methodology
Author: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Total Pages: 218
Release: 2018-06-27
Genre:
ISBN: 9781721943418

The goal of this research was to integrate a previously validated and reliable safety model, called Continuous Hazard Tracking and Failure Prediction Methodology (CHTFPM), into a software application. This led to the development of a safety management information system (PSMIS). This means that the theory or principles of the CHTFPM were incorporated in a software package; hence, the PSMIS is referred to as CHTFPM management information system (CHTFPM MIS). The purpose of the PSMIS is to reduce the time and manpower required to perform predictive studies as well as to facilitate the handling of enormous quantities of information in this type of studies. The CHTFPM theory encompasses the philosophy of looking at the concept of safety engineering from a new perspective: from a proactive, than a reactive, viewpoint. That is, corrective measures are taken before a problem instead of after it happened. That is why the CHTFPM is a predictive safety because it foresees or anticipates accidents, system failures and unacceptable risks; therefore, corrective action can be taken in order to prevent all these unwanted issues. Consequently, safety and reliability of systems or processes can be further improved by taking proactive and timely corrective actions. Quintana, Rolando Kennedy Space Center NAG10-331

Safety Is Easy As Pi

Safety Is Easy As Pi
Author: Vince Somody
Publisher:
Total Pages: 200
Release: 2012-03
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 9781583742600

Safety Is Easy As Pi includes the basis and background for a statistically-based mathematical modeling process for the prediction and prevention of accidents. Using the methods of his system, Vince's eight-technician team, working in an industrial plant, achieved an accident-free work record that passed the ten-year mark.

Applications of Nuclear and Radioisotope Technology

Applications of Nuclear and Radioisotope Technology
Author: Khalid Alnabhani
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 521
Release: 2021-09-17
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0128232269

Applications of Nuclear and Radioisotope Technology: For Peace and Sustainable Development presents the latest technology and research on nuclear energy with a practical focus on a variety of applications. Author Dr. Khalid Al-Nabhani provides a thorough and well-rounded view of the status of nuclear power generation in order to promote its benefits towards a sustainable, clean and secure future. This book offers innovative theoretical, analytical, methodological and technological approaches, encourages a positive societal and political uptake.This book enhances awareness of peaceful nuclear applications across a broad spectrum of industries, including power generation, agriculture, and medicine. It presents successful examples and lessons learned across many countries that are working towards their sustainability goals in cooperation with the IAEA and AAEA, to benefit researchers, professionals and decision-makers implementing and developing their own nuclear strategies for the future. - Presents theoretical and scientific knowledge which is supported with real examples and successful experiences - Provides prevailing perceptions of nuclear safety and security concerns by presenting the most advanced safety and security systems - Applies technologies to a variety of applications to guide the reader to make informed decisions to help meet sustainability goals