Stress Testing at the IMF

Stress Testing at the IMF
Author: Mr.Tobias Adrian
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 73
Release: 2020-02-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513520741

This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector

Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector
Author: Mr.Andreas A. Jobst
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 84
Release: 2014-07-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149832455X

Over the last decade, stress testing has become a central aspect of the Fund’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance work. Recently, more emphasis has also been placed on the role of insurance for financial stability analysis. This paper reviews the current state of system-wide solvency stress tests for insurance based on a comparative review of national practices and the experiences from Fund’s FSAP program with the aim of providing practical guidelines for the coherent and consistent implementation of such exercises. The paper also offers recommendations on improving the current insurance stress testing approaches and presentation of results.

Credibility and Crisis Stress Testing

Credibility and Crisis Stress Testing
Author: Ms.Li L. Ong
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 64
Release: 2013-08-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475527063

Credibility is the bedrock of any crisis stress test. The use of stress tests to manage systemic risk was introduced by the U.S. authorities in 2009 in the form of the Supervisory Capital Assessment Program. Since then, supervisory authorities in other jurisdictions have also conducted similar exercises. In some of those cases, the design and implementation of certainelements of the framework have been criticized for their lack of credibility. This paper proposes a set of guidelines for constructing an effective crisis stress test. It combines financial markets impact studies of previous exercises with relevant case study information gleaned from those experiences to identify the key elements and to formulate their appropriate design. Pertinent concepts, issues and nuances particular to crisis stress testing are also discussed. The findings may be useful for country authorities seeking to include stress tests in their crisis management arsenal, as well as for the design of crisis programs.

Preparing for the Next Financial Crisis

Preparing for the Next Financial Crisis
Author: Esa Jokivuolle
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 205
Release: 2017-11-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1107185599

This book uses perspectives of finance and banking to offer predictions on future financial crises, and how we can prepare for them.

Stress-testing the Banking System

Stress-testing the Banking System
Author: Mario Quagliariello
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 355
Release: 2009-10-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139482831

Stress tests are used in risk management by banks in order to determine how certain crisis scenarios would affect the value of their portfolios, and by public authorities for financial stability purposes. Until the first half of 2007, interest in stress-testing was largely restricted to practitioners. Since then, the global financial system has been hit by deep turbulences, including the fallout from sub-prime mortgage lending. Many observers have pointed out that the severity of the crisis has been largely due to its unexpected nature and have claimed that a more extensive use of stress-testing methodologies would have helped to alleviate the repercussions of the crisis. This book analyses the theoretical underpinnings, as well as the practical aspects, of applying such methodologies. Building on the experience gained by the economists of many national and international financial authorities, it provides an updated toolkit for both practitioners and academics.

Stress Testing of Financial Systems: An Overview of Issues, Methodologies, and FSAP Experiences

Stress Testing of Financial Systems: An Overview of Issues, Methodologies, and FSAP Experiences
Author: Giovanni Majnoni
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 56
Release: 2001-06-01
Genre:
ISBN: 9781451851168

The paper has three objectives. After a general introduction to some of the concepts and basic techniques of stress testing, the paper gives an overview of some of the conceptual issues involved in evaluating risks at the aggregated level of financial systems. Second, this study provides a basic framework and toolkit for conducting stress tests. Finally, the paper reviews some of the stress-testing analyses conducted in the context of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) and suggests simplified approaches to deal with situations where the quantity and quality of the data is less than ideal.

Financial Sector Assessment

Financial Sector Assessment
Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 494
Release: 2005-09-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780821364321

In the wake of the financial crises of the late 1990s, there was a surge of interest in the systematic assessment of financial sectors, with a view to identifying vulnerabilities and evaluating the sector's developmental needs. Consequently, there has been an increased demand from financial sector authorities in many countries for information on key issues and sound practices in the assessment of financial systems and the appropriate design of policy responses. In response, Financial Sector Assessmsnet presents a general analytical framework and broad guidance on approaches, methodologies and key techniques for assessing the stability and development needs of financial systems. It synthesizes current global sound practices in financial sector assessment.

Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests

Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests
Author: Mr.Dimitri G. Demekas
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2015-06-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513501534

Giving stress tests a macroprudential perspective requires (i) incorporating general equilibrium dimensions, so that the outcome of the test depends not only on the size of the shock and the buffers of individual institutions but also on their behavioral responses and their interactions with each other and with other economic agents; and (ii) focusing on the resilience of the system as a whole. Progress has been made toward the first goal: several models are now available that attempt to integrate solvency, liquidity, and other sources of risk and to capture some behavioral responses and feedback effects. But building models that measure correctly systemic risk and the contribution of individual institutions to it while, at the same time, relating the results to the established regulatory framework has proved more difficult. Looking forward, making macroprudential stress tests more effective would entail using a variety of analytical approaches and scenarios, integrating non-bank financial entities, and exploring the use of agent-based models. As well, macroprudential stress tests should not be used in isolation but be treated as complements to other tools and—crucially—be combined with microprudential perspectives.

Stress Testing of Financial Systems

Stress Testing of Financial Systems
Author: Winfrid Blaschke
Publisher:
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

The paper has three objectives. After a general introduction to some of the concepts and basic techniques of stress testing, the paper gives an overview of some of the conceptual issues involved in evaluating risks at the aggregated level of financial systems. Second, this study provides a basic framework and toolkit for conducting stress tests. Finally, the paper reviews some of the stress-testing analyses conducted in the context of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) and suggests simplified approaches to deal with situations where the quantity and quality of the data is less than ideal.

Stress Testing Financial Systems

Stress Testing Financial Systems
Author: Mr.Paul Louis Ceriel Hilbers
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2004-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 145185501X

Stress testing is becoming a widely used tool to assess potential vulnerabilities in a financial system. This paper is intended to answer some of the basic questions that may arise as part of the process of stress testing. The paper begins with a discussion of stress testing in a financial system context, highlighting some of the differences between stress tests of systems and of individual portfolios. The paper provides an overview of the process itself, from identifying vulnerabilities, to constructing scenarios, to interpreting the results. The experience of the IMF in conducting stress testing as part of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is also discussed.