Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks

Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks
Author: Tiziano Bellini
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 318
Release: 2016-11-26
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0128036117

Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks provides a comprehensive view of the risk management activity by means of the stress testing process. An introduction to multivariate time series modeling paves the way to scenario analysis in order to assess a bank resilience against adverse macroeconomic conditions. Assets and liabilities are jointly studied to highlight the key issues that a risk manager needs to face. A multi-national bank prototype is used all over the book for diving into market, credit, and operational stress testing. Interest rate, liquidity and other major risks are also studied together with the former to outline how to implement a fully integrated risk management toolkit. Examples, business cases, and exercises worked in Matlab and R facilitate readers to develop their own models and methodologies. Provides a rigorous statistical framework for modeling stress test in line with U.S. Federal Reserve FRB CCAR (Comprehensive Capital Analysis Review), U.K. PRA (Prudential Regulatory Authority), EBA (European Baning Authorithy) and comply with Basel Accord requirements Follows an integrated bottom-up approach central in the most advanced risk modelling practice Provides numerous sample codes in Matlab and R

An Introduction to Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks Academic Press (an Imprint of Elsevier).

An Introduction to Stress Testing and Risk Integration in Banks Academic Press (an Imprint of Elsevier).
Author: Tiziano Bellini
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

Since the 2007-09 crisis, increasing attention has been devoted to capital adequacy and balance sheet integrity. Banks have been required to improve the quality of their own funds, strengthen their liquidity structure, and enforce their risk management processes. This paper serves the purpose of introducing the book Stress testing and risk integration in banks. The latter outlines the regulatory response to the recent financial crunch. On this subject, stress tests and risk integration are useful tools to enhance bank resilience against adverse conditions. The illustrative example of Bank Alpha points out how an international bank runs its business. It is used throughout the book to point out all complex challenges one needs to face when modelling risks. As in an executive summary, this introduction highlights some of Bank Alphas main stress testing and risk integration results. Finally, a practical guide to explore the text is provided. It serves as a map for the reader looking for orientation during the deep-dive journey.

Reverse Stress Testing in Banking

Reverse Stress Testing in Banking
Author: Michael Eichhorn
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Total Pages: 483
Release: 2021-05-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3110644959

Reverse stress testing was introduced in risk management as a regulatory tool for financial institutions more than a decade ago. The recent Covid-19 crisis illustrates its relevance and highlights the need for a systematic re-thinking of tail risks in the banking sector. This book addresses the need for practical guidance describing the entire reverse stress testing process. Reverse Stress Testing in Banking features contributions from a diverse range of established practitioners and academics. Organized in six parts, the book presents a series of contributions providing an in-depth understanding of: Regulatory requirements and ways to address them Quantitative and qualitative approaches to apply reverse stress testing at different levels – from investment portfolios and individual banks to the entire banking system The use of artificial intelligence, machine learning and quantum computing to gain insights into and address banks’ structural weaknesses Opportunities to co-integrate reverse stress testing with recovery and resolution planning Governance and processes for board members and C-suite executives Readers will benefit from the case studies, use cases from practitioners, discussion questions, recommendations and innovative practices provided in this insightful and pioneering book.

IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation

IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation
Author: Tiziano Bellini
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 316
Release: 2019-02-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 012814940X

IFRS 9 and CECL Credit Risk Modelling and Validation covers a hot topic in risk management. Both IFRS 9 and CECL accounting standards require Banks to adopt a new perspective in assessing Expected Credit Losses. The book explores a wide range of models and corresponding validation procedures. The most traditional regression analyses pave the way to more innovative methods like machine learning, survival analysis, and competing risk modelling. Special attention is then devoted to scarce data and low default portfolios. A practical approach inspires the learning journey. In each section the theoretical dissertation is accompanied by Examples and Case Studies worked in R and SAS, the most widely used software packages used by practitioners in Credit Risk Management. Offers a broad survey that explains which models work best for mortgage, small business, cards, commercial real estate, commercial loans and other credit products Concentrates on specific aspects of the modelling process by focusing on lifetime estimates Provides an hands-on approach to enable readers to perform model development, validation and audit of credit risk models

Stress Testing at the IMF

Stress Testing at the IMF
Author: Mr.Tobias Adrian
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 73
Release: 2020-02-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513520741

This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff stress test. They are followed by a discussion on how IMF staff uses stress tests results for policy advice. The paper concludes by identifying remaining challenges to make stress tests more useful for the monitoring of financial stability and an overview of IMF staff work program in that direction. Stress tests help assess the resilience of financial systems in IMF member countries and underpin policy advice to preserve or restore financial stability. This assessment and advice are mainly provided through the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). IMF staff also provide technical assistance in stress testing to many its member countries. An IMF macroprudential stress test is a methodology to assess financial vulnerabilities that can trigger systemic risk and the need of systemwide mitigating measures. The definition of systemic risk as used by the IMF is relevant to understanding the role of its stress tests as tools for financial surveillance and the IMF’s current work program. IMF stress tests primarily apply to depository intermediaries, and, systemically important banks.

Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System

Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System
Author: Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2013-04-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484306317

Despite increased need for top-down stress tests of financial institutions, performing them is challenging owing to the absence of granular information on banks’ trading and loan portfolios. To deal with these data shortcomings, this paper presents a market-based structural top-down stress testing methodology that relies in market-based measures of a bank's probability of default and structural models of default risk to infer the capital losses they could experience in stress scenarios. As an illustration, the methodology is applied to a set of banks in an advanced emerging market economy.

From Stress to Costress

From Stress to Costress
Author: Mr.Rodolfo Maino
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 61
Release: 2012-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475576560

This paper presents an integrated framework for assessing systemic risk. The framework models banks’ capital asset ratios as a function of future losses and credit growth using a generalized method of moments to calibrate shocks to credit quality and credit growth. The analysis is complemented by a simple measure of systemic risk, which captures tail risk comovement among banks in the system. The main contribution of this paper is to advance a simple framework to integrate systemic risk scenarios that assess the impact of aggregate and idiosyncratic factors. The analysis is based on CreditRisk+, which uses analytical techniques—similar to those applied in the insurance industry - to estimate banks’ credit portfolio loss distributions, making no assumptions about the cause of default.

Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector

Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing of the Insurance Sector
Author: Mr.Andreas A. Jobst
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 84
Release: 2014-07-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 149832455X

Over the last decade, stress testing has become a central aspect of the Fund’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance work. Recently, more emphasis has also been placed on the role of insurance for financial stability analysis. This paper reviews the current state of system-wide solvency stress tests for insurance based on a comparative review of national practices and the experiences from Fund’s FSAP program with the aim of providing practical guidelines for the coherent and consistent implementation of such exercises. The paper also offers recommendations on improving the current insurance stress testing approaches and presentation of results.

Stress Testing Financial Systems

Stress Testing Financial Systems
Author: Mr.Matthew T Jones
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 18
Release: 2004-09-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781589064027

Stress testing is becoming a widely used tool to assess potential vulnerabilities in a financial system. This booklet is intended to answer some of the basic questions that may arise as part of the process of stress testing. The pamphlet begins with a discussion of stress testing in a financial system context, highlighting some of the differences between stress tests of systems and of individual portfolios. The booklet provides an overview of the process itself, from identifying vulnerabilities, to constructing scenarios, to interpreting the results. The experience of the IMF in conducting stress testing as part of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is also discussed.

Stress-testing the Banking System

Stress-testing the Banking System
Author: Mario Quagliariello
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 355
Release: 2009-10-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139482831

Stress tests are used in risk management by banks in order to determine how certain crisis scenarios would affect the value of their portfolios, and by public authorities for financial stability purposes. Until the first half of 2007, interest in stress-testing was largely restricted to practitioners. Since then, the global financial system has been hit by deep turbulences, including the fallout from sub-prime mortgage lending. Many observers have pointed out that the severity of the crisis has been largely due to its unexpected nature and have claimed that a more extensive use of stress-testing methodologies would have helped to alleviate the repercussions of the crisis. This book analyses the theoretical underpinnings, as well as the practical aspects, of applying such methodologies. Building on the experience gained by the economists of many national and international financial authorities, it provides an updated toolkit for both practitioners and academics.