Storm Surge Forecasting
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| Author | : J. W. Nickerson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 114 |
| Release | : 1971 |
| Genre | : Hurricanes |
| ISBN | : |
The report contains an adaptation of a unique storm-surge forecasting technique developed by Dr. C.P. Jelesnianski. This technique results in a computed storm surge profile at the inner boundary of an artificial standard basin seaward of the coast. The profile is derived from nomograms based upon a standard storm passing over a standard basin. Thumb rules and guidelines are presented in the publication for subjectively modifying the computer storm surge height as it moves shoreward of the artificial basin boundary, to fit the natural conditions of a particular coastline. Major advantages of this system are its applicability to almost any locale, its adaptability to data normally available to the field forecaster and the speed with which the forecast may be modified to remain current with natural fluctuations of the storm.
| Author | : Adam Sobel |
| Publisher | : Harper Collins |
| Total Pages | : 316 |
| Release | : 2014-10-14 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 006230478X |
Was Sandy a freak of nature, or the new normal? On October 29, 2012, Hurricane Sandy reached the shores of the northeastern United States to become one of the most destructive storms in history. But was Sandy a freak event, or should we have been better prepared for it? Was it a harbinger of things to come as the climate warms? In this fascinating and accessible work of popular science, atmospheric scientist and Columbia University professor Adam Sobel addresses these questions, combining his deep knowledge of the climate with his firsthand experience of the event itself. Sobel explains the remarkable atmospheric conditions that gave birth to Sandy and determined its path. He gives us insight into the science that led to the accurate forecasts of the storm from genesis to landfall, as well as an understanding of why our meteorological vocabulary failed our leaders in warning us about this unprecedented weather system—part hurricane, part winter-type nor'easter, fully deserving of the title "Superstorm." Storm Surge brings together the melting glaciers, the warming oceans, and a broad historical perspective to explain how our changing climate and developing coastlines are making New York and other cities more vulnerable. Engaging, informative, and timely, Sobel's book provokes us to think differently about how we can better prepare for the storms in our future.
| Author | : Masaya Toyoda |
| Publisher | : CRC Press |
| Total Pages | : 105 |
| Release | : 2024-10-08 |
| Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
| ISBN | : 1040148042 |
This accessible shortform book describes storm surge forecasting to enable port managers and practitioners to forecast these and mitigate their effects. This is particularly useful as global warming increases the severity of typhoons, particularly windstorms and storm surge disasters, globally. The authors first summarize the current status of typhoons and storm surges in practice. They also present a combination of the latest findings at the research level and at the practical level. Throughout the book, the authors carefully explain the use and limitations of empirical typhoon models that practitioners should learn from, including statistical, numerical, probabilistic, data-driven and coastal vulnerability models. They also explore artificial neural networks and convolutional neural networks and their use in such models. Finally, the book describes the potential for further development of empirical typhoon models (such as future climate experiments). This book is a vital resource that enables port managers to make effective and informed decisions when conducting storm surge forecasting in practice. It also contains useful insights for civil engineering students, especially those studying coastal engineering.
| Author | : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine |
| Publisher | : National Academies Press |
| Total Pages | : 351 |
| Release | : 2016-08-22 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 0309388805 |
As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically increase the value and benefit of environmental predictions, saving lives, protecting property, increasing economic vitality, protecting the environment, and informing policy choices. Over the past decade, the ability to forecast weather and climate conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales, i.e., two to fifty-two weeks in advance, has improved substantially. Although significant progress has been made, much work remains to make S2S predictions skillful enough, as well as optimally tailored and communicated, to enable widespread use. Next Generation Earth System Predictions presents a ten-year U.S. research agenda that increases the nation's S2S research and modeling capability, advances S2S forecasting, and aids in decision making at medium and extended lead times.
| Author | : D. Lee Harris |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 156 |
| Release | : 1963 |
| Genre | : Hurricanes |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Chester P. Jelesnianski |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 82 |
| Release | : 1992 |
| Genre | : Hurricane forecasting |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Prashant K. Srivastava |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 372 |
| Release | : 2020-05-27 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 111935918X |
A comprehensive guide to managing and mitigating natural disasters Recent years have seen a surge in the number, frequency, and severity of natural disasters, with further increases expected as the climate continues to change. However, advanced computational and geospatial technologies have enabled the development of sophisticated early warning systems and techniques to predict, manage, and mitigate disasters.Techniques for Disaster Risk Management and Mitigation explores different approaches to forecasting disasters and provides guidance on mitigation and adaptation strategies. Volume highlights include: Review of current and emerging technologies for disaster prediction Different approaches to risk management and mitigation Strategies for implementing disaster plans and infrastructure improvements Guidance on integrating artificial intelligence with GIS and earth observation data Examination of the regional and global impacts of disasters under climate variability
| Author | : Clint Dawson |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 176 |
| Release | : 2013-09-17 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 1461474345 |
Computational Challenges in the Geosciences addresses a cross-section of grand challenge problems arising in geoscience applications, including groundwater and petroleum reservoir simulation, hurricane storm surge, oceanography, volcanic eruptions and landslides, and tsunamis. Each of these applications gives rise to complex physical and mathematical models spanning multiple space-time scales, which can only be studied through computer simulation. The data required by the models is often highly uncertain, and the numerical solution of the models requires sophisticated algorithms which are mathematically accurate, computationally efficient and yet must preserve basic physical properties of the models. This volume summarizes current methodologies and future research challenges in this broad and important field.
| Author | : Geir Evensen |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 285 |
| Release | : 2006-12-22 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 3540383018 |
This book reviews popular data-assimilation methods, such as weak and strong constraint variational methods, ensemble filters and smoothers. The author shows how different methods can be derived from a common theoretical basis, as well as how they differ or are related to each other, and which properties characterize them, using several examples. Readers will appreciate the included introductory material and detailed derivations in the text, and a supplemental web site.
| Author | : Johnny C L Chan |
| Publisher | : World Scientific |
| Total Pages | : 445 |
| Release | : 2010-04-30 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 9814465828 |
This book is a completely rewritten, updated and expanded new edition of the original Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones published in 1995. It presents a comprehensive review of the state of science and forecasting of tropical cyclones together with the application of this science to disaster mitigation, hence the tag: From Science to Mitigation.Since the previous volume, enormous progress in understanding tropical cyclones has been achieved. These advances range from the theoretical through to ever more sophisticated computer modeling, all underpinned by a vast and growing range of observations from airborne, space and ocean observation platforms. The growth in observational capability is reflected by the inclusion of three new chapters on this topic. The chapter on the effects of climate change on tropical cyclone activity is also new, and appropriate given the recent intense debate on this issue. The advances in the understanding of tropical cyclones which have led to significant improvements in forecasting track, intensity, rainfall and storm surge, are reviewed in detail over three chapters. For the first time, a chapter on seasonal prediction is included. The book concludes with an important chapter on disaster mitigation, which is timely given the enormous loss of life in recent tropical cyclone disasters.World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate is indexed in SCOPUS.
