Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets

Volatility and Predictability in National Stock Markets
Author: Anthony J. Richards
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 52
Release: 1996-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased as a result of the liberalization of markets. A range of measures suggests that there has been no generalized increase in volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper also tests for the predictability of long-horizon returns in emerging markets. While there is evidence for positive autocorrelation in returns at horizons of one or two quarters, the autocorrelations appear to turn negative at horizons of a year or more. However, the magnitude of the apparent return reversals is not that much larger than reversals in some mature markets. One interpretation of the results would be that emerging markets have not consistently been subject to fads or bubbles, or at least no more so than in some industrial countries. In general, the liberalization and broadening of emerging markets should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors.

Stock Market Volatility

Stock Market Volatility
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 654
Release: 2009-04-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1420099558

Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel

Risk and Return in Asian Emerging Markets

Risk and Return in Asian Emerging Markets
Author: N. Cakici
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 347
Release: 2014-08-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137359072

Risk and Return in Asian Emerging Markets offers readers a firm insight into the risk and return characteristics of leading Asian emerging market participants by comparing and contrasting behavioral model variables with predictive forecasting methods.

Emerging Equity Markets

Emerging Equity Markets
Author: Mr.Robert Alan Feldman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 1994-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451971214

Since the mid-1980s, there has been a very substantial increase in stock market activity in many developing countries. This paper first examines the main characteristics of the emerging stock markets, and illustrates the evolution of equity prices in these markets over the last decade. It then discusses the reasons for the markets’ growth and assesses the extent to which domestic policies, as well as external factors, have played a role. This is followed by a discussion of the likely benefits of these markets; the effects which any abrupt correction in stock prices could have for the economy; and the ways in which these markets can be made more efficient.