Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models

Reduced Forms of Rational Expectations Models
Author: L. Broze
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2013-06-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1136457801

A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.

Rational Expectations Econometrics

Rational Expectations Econometrics
Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2019-09-05
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1000308960

At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.

The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models

The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models
Author: L. Broze
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2014-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1483296288

This book is devoted to the econometric analysis of linear multivariate rational expectation models. It shows that the interpretation of multiplicity in terms of "new degrees of freedom" is consistent with a rigorous econometric reasoning. Non-uniqueness is the central theme of this book. Each chapter is concerned with a specific econometric aspect of rational expectations equilibria. The most constructive result lies in the possibility of an empirical determination of the equilibrium followed by the economy.

Time Series and Dynamic Models

Time Series and Dynamic Models
Author: Christian Gourieroux
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 692
Release: 1997
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521411462

In this book Christian Gourieroux and Alain Monfort provide an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis of modern time series econometrics. They have succeeded in synthesising in an organised and integrated way a broad and diverse literature. While the book does not assume a deep knowledge of economics, one of its most attractive features is the close attention it pays to economic models and phenomena throughout. The coverage represents a major reference tool for graduate students, researchers and applied economists. The book is divided into four sections. Section one gives a detailed treatment of classical seasonal adjustment or smoothing methods. Section two provides a thorough coverage of various mathematical tools. Section three is the heart of the book, and is devoted to a range of important topics including causality, exogeneity shocks, multipliers, cointegration and fractionally integrated models. The final section describes the main contribution of filtering and smoothing theory to time series econometric problems.

Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models

Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models
Author: P. Fisher
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 215
Release: 2013-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9401580022

It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance
Author: John Eatwell
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 869
Release: 1992-10-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1349117218

The first reference work ever to be awarded the Eccles Prize for Excellence in Economic Writing from Columbia Business School. Continuing in the tradition of The New Palgrave , this 3-volume set provides an unparalleled guide to modern money, banking and finance. In over 1,000 substantial essays by leading academic and professional authorities, it provides the most comprehensive analysis available of contemporary theory and the fast-evolving global monetary and financial framework. In its scope and depth of coverage, it is indispensable for the academic and practitioner alike.

An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls

An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 1990-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451925867

A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogeneity under the assumption of rational expectations. The estimates and the test statistics suggest that the model could serve well as a framework for developing-country macroeconomic analysis. An interesting feature of the specification of the model is that it allows the hypothesis of capital mobility to be explicitly tested. The empirical analysis suggests that on average developing countries tend to exhibit a high degree of capital mobility.

Advances in Econometrics: Volume 1

Advances in Econometrics: Volume 1
Author: Truman F. Bewley
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 332
Release: 1994-06-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521467261

With its focus on econometrics, this volume contains key papers delivered at the Fifth World Congress in 1985.