Searching For The Right Market Risk Premium
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Author | : Steffi M. Braun |
Publisher | : VDM Publishing |
Total Pages | : 100 |
Release | : 2008-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9783836454995 |
The cost of equity is complex to estimate as investors require a premium for bearing risk. Finance experts have for years been dealing with a precise and practice-orientated model to estimate the cost of equity. In 1964/65, Sharpe and Lintner developed the Capital Asset Pricing Model, which is now widely accepted and used in finance practice. According to the CAPM, the cost of equity is calculated by adding a risk premium to the risk free rate. This risk premium includes the market risk premium. There exist several approaches how to estimate the market risk premium. They can be roughly categorized into historical approaches and forward-looking models. This book endeavours to summarize and classify existing models as well as to evaluate their theoretical background, accuracy, and practicability. It will present a clear understanding of the market risk premium and the pros and cons of the different calculation methods to conclude on the most appropriate approach to determine the market risk premium. The calculation models are evaluated according to predefined criteria and the most suitable from each category is chosen to be applied to Austria, Germany, and the United Kingdom.
Author | : Stephen D. Hassett |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 210 |
Release | : 2011-08-31 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1118118618 |
A radical, definitive explanation of the link between loss aversion theory, the equity risk premium and stock price, and how to profit from it The Risk Premium Factor presents and proves a radical new theory that explains the stock market, offering a quantitative explanation for all the booms, busts, bubbles, and multiple expansions and contractions of the market we have experienced over the past half-century. Written by Stephen D. Hassett, a corporate development executive, author and specialist in value management, mergers and acquisitions, new venture strategy, development, and execution for high technology, SaaS, web, and mobile businesses, the book convincingly demonstrates that the equity risk premium is proportional to long-term Treasury yields, establishing a connection to loss aversion theory. Explains stock prices from 1960 through the present including the 2008/09 "market meltdown" Shows how the S&P 500 has consistently reverted to values predicted by the model Solves the equity premium puzzle by showing that it is consistent with findings on loss aversion Demonstrates that three factors drive valuation and stock price: earnings, long term growth, and interest rates Understanding the stock market is simple. By grasping the simplicity, business leaders, corporate decision makers, private equity, venture capital, professional, and individual investors will fully understand the system under which they operate, and find themselves empowered to make better decisions managing their businesses and investment portfolios.
Author | : Laurence B. Siegel |
Publisher | : CFA Institute Research Foundation |
Total Pages | : 69 |
Release | : 2017-12-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1944960325 |
Research into the equity risk premium, often considered the most important number in finance, falls into three broad groupings. First, researchers have measured the margin by which equity total returns have exceeded fixed-income or cash returns over long historical periods and have projected this measure of the equity risk premium into the future. Second, the dividend discount model—or a variant of it, such as an earnings discount model—is used to estimate the future return on an equity index, and the fixed-income or cash yield is then subtracted to arrive at an equity risk premium expectation or forecast. Third, academics have used macroeconomic techniques to estimate what premium investors might rationally require for taking the risk of equities. Current thinking emphasizes the second, or dividend discount, approach and projects an equity risk premium centered on 3½% to 4%.
Author | : Rajnish Mehra |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 635 |
Release | : 2011-08-11 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0080555853 |
Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.
Author | : William N. Goetzmann |
Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
Total Pages | : 568 |
Release | : 2006-11-16 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0199881979 |
What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.
Author | : Aswath Damodaran |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 269 |
Release | : 2011-03-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1118064143 |
An accessible, and intuitive, guide to stock valuation Valuation is at the heart of any investment decision, whether that decision is to buy, sell, or hold. In The Little Book of Valuation, expert Aswath Damodaran explains the techniques in language that any investors can understand, so you can make better investment decisions when reviewing stock research reports and engaging in independent efforts to value and pick stocks. Page by page, Damodaran distills the fundamentals of valuation, without glossing over or ignoring key concepts, and develops models that you can easily understand and use. Along the way, he covers various valuation approaches from intrinsic or discounted cash flow valuation and multiples or relative valuation to some elements of real option valuation. Includes case studies and examples that will help build your valuation skills Written by Aswath Damodaran, one of today's most respected valuation experts Includes an accompanying iPhone application (iVal) that makes the lessons of the book immediately useable Written with the individual investor in mind, this reliable guide will not only help you value a company quickly, but will also help you make sense of valuations done by others or found in comprehensive equity research reports.
Author | : Pablo Fernandez |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 27 |
Release | : 2004 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
The market risk premium is one of the most important but elusive parameters in finance. It is also called equity premium, market premium and risk premium. The term market risk premium is difficult to understand because it is used to designate three different concepts:1. Required market risk premium. It is the incremental return of a diversified portfolio (the market) over the risk-free rate (return of treasury bonds) required by an investor. It is needed for calculating the required return to equity (cost of equity).2. Historical market risk premium. It is the historical differential return of the stock market over treasury bonds.3. Expected market risk premium. It is the expected differential return of the stock market over treasury bonds.Many authors and finance practitioners assume that expected market risk premium is equal to the historical market risk premium and to the required market risk premium. The CAPM assumes that the required market risk premium is equal to the expected market risk premium. The three concepts are different. The historical market risk premium is equal for all investors, but the required and the expected market risk premium are different for different investors. We also claim that there is no required market risk premium for the market as a whole: different investors use different required market risk premiums.
Author | : Bente Villadsen |
Publisher | : Academic Press |
Total Pages | : 362 |
Release | : 2017-04-27 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0128125888 |
Risk and Return for Regulated Industries provides a much-needed, comprehensive review of how cost of capital risk arises and can be measured, how the special risks regulated industries face affect fair return, and the challenges that regulated industries are likely to face in the future. Rather than following the trend of broad industry introductions or textbook style reviews of utility finance, it covers the topics of most interest to regulators, regulated companies, regulatory lawyers, and rate-of-return analysts in all countries. Accordingly, the book also includes case studies about various countries and discussions of the lessons international regulatory procedures can offer. - Presents a unified treatment of the regulatory principles and practices used to assess the required return on capital - Addresses current practices before exploring the ways methods play out in practice, including irregularities, shortcomings, and concerns for the future - Focuses on developed economies instead of providing a comprehensive global reviews - Foreword by Stewart C. Myers
Author | : Roger G. Ibbotson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 202 |
Release | : 1989 |
Genre | : Actions (Titres de société) - Prix - Prévision |
ISBN | : 9781556232312 |
Author | : Aswath Damodaran |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 663 |
Release | : 2014-10-27 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1118808932 |
Aswath Damodaran, distinguished author, Professor of Finance, and David Margolis, Teaching Fellow at the NYU Stern School of Business, has delivered the newest edition of Applied Corporate Finance. This readable text provides the practical advice students and practitioners need rather than a sole concentration on debate theory, assumptions, or models. Like no other text of its kind, Applied Corporate Finance, 4th Edition applies corporate finance to real companies. It now contains six real-world core companies to study and follow. Business decisions are classified for students into three groups: investment, financing, and dividend decisions.