Near-real-time welfare and livelihood impacts of an active civil war: Evidence from Ethiopia

Near-real-time welfare and livelihood impacts of an active civil war: Evidence from Ethiopia
Author: Abay, Kibrom A.
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 57
Release: 2022-03-01
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

Ethiopia is currently embroiled in a large-scale civil war that has continued for more than a year. Using unique High-Frequency Phone Survey (HFPS) data, which spans several months before and after the outbreak of the war, this paper provides fresh evidence on the ex durante impacts of the conflict on the food security and livelihood activities of affected households. We use difference-in-differences estimation to compare trends in the outcomes of interest across affected and unaffected regions (households) and before and after the outbreak of the civil war. Seven months into the conflict, we find that the outbreak of the civil war increased the probability of moderate to severe food insecurity by 38 percentage points. Using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) on households’ exposure to violent conflict, we show that exposure to one additional battle leads to 1 percentage point increase in the probability of moderate to severe food insecurity. The conflict has reduced households’ access to food through supply chain disruptions while also curtailing non-farm livelihood activities. Non-farm and wage related activities were the most affected by the conflict while farming activities were relatively more resilient. Similarly, economic activities in urban areas were much more affected than those in rural areas. These substantial impact estimates, which are likely to be underestimates of the true average effects on the population, constitute novel evidence on the near-real-time impacts of an on-going civil conflict, providing direct evidence on how violent conflict disrupts the functioning of market supply chains and livelihoods activities. Our work highlights the potential of HFPS to monitor active and large-scale conflicts, especially in contexts where conventional data sources are not immediately available.

Successful Rural Finance Institutions

Successful Rural Finance Institutions
Author: Jacob Yaron
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 148
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This paper provides a synthesis of notable success stories of demand-driven production, processing, and marketing of high-value foods (HVF) among developing countries. It examines in comparative perspective, the development, organization, and performance of entire commodity systems rather than the experience of individual projects or companies. It focuses on cross-cutting issues and common patterns rather than elaborating on the microeconomic and historical details of individual cases. By identifying common technical, institutional, policy, and other factors which have contributed to commodity system development and international competitiveness, the paper seeks to contribute to the design of improved strategies for supporting food market development and export diversification in developing countries and in the formerly centrally-planned economies. It identifies a series of intrinsic technical and economic characteristics of food commodities/raw materials, food production, and marketing infrastructure and ser.

Agricultural Value Chain Finance

Agricultural Value Chain Finance
Author: Calvin Miller
Publisher: Practical Action Publishing
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781853397028

`This is a "must read" for anyone interested in value chain finance.---Kenneth Shwedel, Agricultural Economist --Book Jacket.

Improving Access to Finance for India's Rural Poor

Improving Access to Finance for India's Rural Poor
Author: Priya Basu
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 152
Release: 2006-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821361473

Annotation This book examines the current level and pattern of access to finance for India's rural households, evaluates various approaches for delivering financial services, analyzes what lies behind the lack of adequate financial access, and identifies what it would take to improve access to finance.

Rural Financial Markets in Developing Countries

Rural Financial Markets in Developing Countries
Author: Von Pischke, J. D.
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Total Pages: 464
Release: 1983
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Until recently the use of agricultural credit as a developmental tool seemed clear and straightforward. Most concerned people believed that increases in the volume of cheap credit were necessary to boost agricultural production, and that the rural poor could be brought into the mainstream of development through supervised credit programs. It seemed that certain ideal types of rural credit institutions offered the promise of meeting farmers' credit needs, and that experience in the industrialized countries with cooperatives and specialized agricultural finance institutions could be effectively transplanted to low-income countries. This collection of readings highlights facets of rural financial markets that have often been neglected in discussions of agricultural credit in developing countries. It moves beyond a narrow concern with the simple provision of credit to a broad consideration of the performance of rural financial markets and of ways to improve the quality and range of financial services for low-income farmers. It reflects new thinking on the design, administration, evaluation and policy framework of rural finance and credit programs in developing countries.

Institutional versus noninstitutional credit to agricultural households in India: Evidence on impact from a national farmers’ survey

Institutional versus noninstitutional credit to agricultural households in India: Evidence on impact from a national farmers’ survey
Author: Kumar, Anjani
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2017-03-02
Genre: Political Science
ISBN:

A goal of agricultural policy in India has been to reduce farmers’ dependence on informal credit. To that end, recent initiatives have been focused explicitly on rural areas and have had a positive impact on the flow of agricultural credit. But despite the significance of these initiatives in enhancing the flow of institutional credit to agriculture, the links between institutional credit and net farm income and consumption expenditures in India are not very well documented. Using a large national farm household–level dataset and instrumental variables two-stage least squares estimation methods, we investigate the impact of institutional farm credit on farm income and farm household consumption expenditures. Our findings show that in India, formal credit is indeed playing a critical role in increasing both the net farm income and per capita monthly household expenditures of Indian farm families. We also find that, in the presence of formal credit, social safety net programs such as the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) may have unintended consequences. In particular, MGNREGA reduces both net farm income and per capita monthly household consumption expenditures. In contrast, in the presence of formal credit, the Public Distribution System may increase both net farm income and per capita monthly household consumption expenditures.

Innovations in rural and agriculture finance

Innovations in rural and agriculture finance
Author: Kloeppinger-Todd, Renate
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2010-07-21
Genre: Social Science
ISBN:

Everywhere in the world, small agricultural producers are entrepreneurs, traders, investors, and consumers, all rolled into one. In all these roles, small agricultural households constantly seek to use available financial instruments to improve their productivity and secure the best possible consumption and investment choices for their families. But the package of financial services available to small farmers in developing countries is severely limited, especially for those living in remote areas with no access to basic market infrastructure. When poor people have limited saving or borrowing options, their investment plans are stifled and it becomes harder for them to break out of poverty. If households have no access to insurance and are unable to accumulate small savings that enable them to pay for household and business expenses, especially during lean seasons, they are forced to limit their exposure to risk, even if high returns are expected, once again making the pathway out of poverty more arduous than necessary. Inadequate access to financial services is thus part of what is often called the “poverty trap.”

Microfinance in Developing Countries

Microfinance in Developing Countries
Author: J. Gueyie
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 259
Release: 2013-01-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137301929

Microfinance in developing countries is a collection of studies by leading researchers in the field of microfinance. It discusses key issues that the rapidly growing microfinance industry currently faces, and offers interesting views and analysis of topical matters concerning the microfinance realm.

World Development Report 2008

World Development Report 2008
Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2007-10-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0821368095

The world's demand for food is expected to double within the next 50 years, while the natural resources that sustain agriculture will become increasingly scarce, degraded, and vulnerable to the effects of climate change. In many poor countries, agriculture accounts for at least 40 percent of GDP and 80 percent of employment. At the same time, about 70 percent of the world's poor live in rural areas and most depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. 'World Development Report 2008' seeks to assess where, when, and how agriculture can be an effective instrument for economic development, especially development that favors the poor. It examines several broad questions: How has agriculture changed in developing countries in the past 20 years? What are the important new challenges and opportunities for agriculture? Which new sources of agricultural growth can be captured cost effectively in particular in poor countries with large agricultural sectors as in Africa? How can agricultural growth be made more effective for poverty reduction? How can governments facilitate the transition of large populations out of agriculture, without simply transferring the burden of rural poverty to urban areas? How can the natural resource endowment for agriculture be protected? How can agriculture's negative environmental effects be contained? This year's report marks the 30th year the World Bank has been publishing the 'World Development Report'.