Risk and Return Trade-Off in the U.S. Treasury Market

Risk and Return Trade-Off in the U.S. Treasury Market
Author: Eric Ghysels
Publisher:
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper characterizes the risk-return trade-off in the U.S. Treasury market. We propose a discrete-time no-arbitrage term structure model, in which bond prices are solved in closed form and the conditional variances of bond yields are decomposed into a short-run component and a long-run component, each of which follows a GARCH-type process. Estimated using Treasury yields data from January 1962 to August 2007, our model simultaneously matches the conditional volatility dynamics and the deviation from the expectations hypothesis in the data. We find that a higher short-run volatility component of bond yields significantly predicts a higher future excess return, above and beyond the predictive power of the yields. The long-run volatility component does not predict bond excess returns.

Risks and Risk Premia in the US Treasury Market

Risks and Risk Premia in the US Treasury Market
Author: Junye Li
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2023
Genre: Assets (Accounting)
ISBN:

We analyze the risk-return trade-off in the US Treasury market using a term structure model that features volatility-in-mean effects of multiple sources, and yet preserves tractable bond prices. We find a strong positive relation between risks and risk premia over the 1966-2018 period. While interest-rate risk is the main driver of such positive relation, macro risk plays a non-trivial role, and its omission leads to unstable estimates of the trade-off. Notably, macro risk contributes to the surge and consequent fall of risk premia around the 1980s, whereas it moves inversely with risk premia during the recent 'low yield' period.

The Money Market

The Money Market
Author: Marcia L. Stigum
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Professional Publishing
Total Pages: 764
Release: 1983
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

**** The first edition (1978) is cited in BCL3 (the 1983 edition was not noticed by the editors?). This is the standard reference on the subject, updated to cover developments since 1983. New or substantially revised chapters cover interest-rate swaps, medium-term notes (including bank deposit notes) futures (Treasury and Euro), options, loan-participation sales, banking (domestic and Euro), and the commercial paper market. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

When Genius Failed

When Genius Failed
Author: Roger Lowenstein
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks
Total Pages: 290
Release: 2001-10-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0375758259

“A riveting account that reaches beyond the market landscape to say something universal about risk and triumph, about hubris and failure.”—The New York Times NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY BUSINESSWEEK In this business classic—now with a new Afterword in which the author draws parallels to the recent financial crisis—Roger Lowenstein captures the gripping roller-coaster ride of Long-Term Capital Management. Drawing on confidential internal memos and interviews with dozens of key players, Lowenstein explains not just how the fund made and lost its money but also how the personalities of Long-Term’s partners, the arrogance of their mathematical certainties, and the culture of Wall Street itself contributed to both their rise and their fall. When it was founded in 1993, Long-Term was hailed as the most impressive hedge fund in history. But after four years in which the firm dazzled Wall Street as a $100 billion moneymaking juggernaut, it suddenly suffered catastrophic losses that jeopardized not only the biggest banks on Wall Street but the stability of the financial system itself. The dramatic story of Long-Term’s fall is now a chilling harbinger of the crisis that would strike all of Wall Street, from Lehman Brothers to AIG, a decade later. In his new Afterword, Lowenstein shows that LTCM’s implosion should be seen not as a one-off drama but as a template for market meltdowns in an age of instability—and as a wake-up call that Wall Street and government alike tragically ignored. Praise for When Genius Failed “[Roger] Lowenstein has written a squalid and fascinating tale of world-class greed and, above all, hubris.”—BusinessWeek “Compelling . . . The fund was long cloaked in secrecy, making the story of its rise . . . and its ultimate destruction that much more fascinating.”—The Washington Post “Story-telling journalism at its best.”—The Economist

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

Financial Markets and the Real Economy
Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 117
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1933019158

Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Fragilities in the U.S. Treasury Market

Fragilities in the U.S. Treasury Market
Author: Antoine Bouveret
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2015-10-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513576224

Changes in the structure of the U.S. Treasury market over recent years may have increased risks to financial stability. Traditional market makers have changed their liquidity provision by increasingly switching from risk warehousing to risk distribution, and a new breed of market maker has emerged with the rise of electronic trading. The “flash rally” of October 15, 2014 provides a clear example of how those risks can materialize. Based on an in-depth analysis of the event—complementing the authorities’ work—we suggest i) providing incentives for liquidity provision, ii) improving market safeguards, and iii) enhancing the regulation of the Treasury market.

Introduction to Business

Introduction to Business
Author: Lawrence J. Gitman
Publisher:
Total Pages: 1455
Release: 2024-09-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Introduction to Business covers the scope and sequence of most introductory business courses. The book provides detailed explanations in the context of core themes such as customer satisfaction, ethics, entrepreneurship, global business, and managing change. Introduction to Business includes hundreds of current business examples from a range of industries and geographic locations, which feature a variety of individuals. The outcome is a balanced approach to the theory and application of business concepts, with attention to the knowledge and skills necessary for student success in this course and beyond. This is an adaptation of Introduction to Business by OpenStax. You can access the textbook as pdf for free at openstax.org. Minor editorial changes were made to ensure a better ebook reading experience. Textbook content produced by OpenStax is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Booms, Bubbles, and Busts in US Stock Markets

Booms, Bubbles, and Busts in US Stock Markets
Author: David L. Western
Publisher: Psychology Press
Total Pages: 264
Release: 2004
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780415369688

An extremely user-friendly overview of the inner workings of the US stock market. Things have changed a great deal since the heady days of the 1980s and we are now entering an era of profound uncertainty, with most analysts predicting trouble ahead. Indeed, the alarming decline of the NASDAQ shows no sign of abating and the fear is that traditional industries will be the next to bite the dust. September 11th has only added to the gloomy mood. This book examines the current conditions before looking back to the events of the past century - The Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980s and the emergence of the new economy.