Recent Developments In Foresight Methodologies
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Author | : Maria Giaoutzi |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 314 |
Release | : 2012-11-28 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1461452155 |
Foresight is an area within Futures Studies that focuses on critical thinking concerning long term developments, whether within the public sector or in industry and management, and is something of a sub-section of complexity and network science. This book examines developments in foresight methodologies and relates in its greater part to the work done in the context of the COSTA22 network of the EU on Foresight Methodologies. Foresight is a professional practice that supports significant decisions, and as such it needs to be more assured of its claims to knowledge (methodology). Foresight is practiced across many domains and is not the preserve of specialized ‘futurists’, or indeed of foresight specialists. However, the disciplines of foresight are not well articulated or disseminated across domains, leading to re-inventions and practice that does not make best use of experience in other domains. The methodological development of foresight is an important task that aims at strengthening the pool of the tools available for application, thereby empowering the actors involved in foresight practice. Elaborating further on methodological issues, such as those presented in the present book, enables the actors involved in foresight to begin to critique current practice from this perspective and, thirdly, to begin to design foresight practice. The present trends towards methodological concerns indicates a move from ‘given’ expert-predicted futures to one in which futures are nurtured through a dialogue among “stakeholders.” The book has four parts, each elaborating on a set of aspects of foresight methodologies. After an introductory section, Part II considers theorizing about foresight methodologies. Part III covers system content issues, and Part IV presents foresight tools and approaches.
Author | : Patrick van der Duin |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 355 |
Release | : 2016-01-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1317543149 |
Foresight for Organizations will acquaint the reader with various foresight methods and tools, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each other. This innovative volume offers the reader the ability to carry out a study of the future by him- or herself and apply the results in a decision-making strategy process. The author addresses the following methods: scenarios, trend analysis, the Delphi method, quantitative trend extrapolation, technology assessment, backcasting and roadmapping; the most relevant and popular methods that also cover the range of approaches from predictive, via normative to explorative. Every chapter also contains references to additional literature about the methods being discussed. This book is essential reading for researchers, academics and students in the areas of Community Development, Sociology of organizations, Change management, Social entrepreneurship, Sustainable development and participative planning.
Author | : Luke Georghiou |
Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
Total Pages | : 455 |
Release | : 2008-03-31 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 1781008760 |
Cross-cutting analytical chapters explore the emergence and positioning of foresight, approaches and methods, organisational issues, policy transfer and evaluation.
Author | : Wang, Victor C. X. |
Publisher | : IGI Global |
Total Pages | : 501 |
Release | : 2014-03-31 |
Genre | : Education |
ISBN | : 1466658738 |
Todays ever-changing learning environment is characterized by the fast pace of technology that drives our society to move forward, and causes our knowledge to increase at an exponential rate. The need for in-depth research that is bound to generate new knowledge about curriculum and program development is becoming ever more relevant. Andragogical and Pedagogical Methods for Curriculum and Program Development offers an in-depth description of key terms and concepts related to curriculum and program development for both faculty and students, as well as program designers, instructional program developers, trainers, and librarians.
Author | : Deborah A. Schreiber |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 435 |
Release | : 2018-12-19 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3319949233 |
This book proposes that organizational policies are what ensure the institutionalization and sustainability of futures thinking in organizations. It presents several case studies from corporations and other institutions that describe effective use of foresight methods and internal policies to respond to rapid change. The case studies address changing trends in technology, globalization and/or workforce diversity, and the impact on the economic and political well-being of the organization. The editors also develop an organizational capability maturity model for futures thinking as well as providing questions for discussion that promote critical review of each case chapter. This book will inform scholars and organizational leaders how best to utilize foresight methodologies and organizational policies to sustain successful management strategies within futures thinking organizations. Chapter 9 is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.
Author | : Kerstin Cuhls |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 292 |
Release | : 2001-10-09 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9783790814347 |
Foresight has experienced a great upswing in the last few years, partly in view of the Millenium. Innovations for our Future describes not only the big development trends of the future in research and technology, but also the re-discovery of the Delphi method. The Delphi method is not new, but with further developed methodology it is being used increasingly to take stock of innovative future developments. The book describes results of the widespread national survey of 1998, a German-Japanese comparison, another comparison with the preceding Delphi study as well as its utilization and implementation.
Author | : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 393 |
Release | : 2020-05-01 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0309495679 |
Research and innovation in the life sciences is driving rapid growth in agriculture, biomedical science, information science and computing, energy, and other sectors of the U.S. economy. This economic activity, conceptually referred to as the bioeconomy, presents many opportunities to create jobs, improve the quality of life, and continue to drive economic growth. While the United States has been a leader in advancements in the biological sciences, other countries are also actively investing in and expanding their capabilities in this area. Maintaining competitiveness in the bioeconomy is key to maintaining the economic health and security of the United States and other nations. Safeguarding the Bioeconomy evaluates preexisting and potential approaches for assessing the value of the bioeconomy and identifies intangible assets not sufficiently captured or that are missing from U.S. assessments. This study considers strategies for safeguarding and sustaining the economic activity driven by research and innovation in the life sciences. It also presents ideas for horizon scanning mechanisms to identify new technologies, markets, and data sources that have the potential to drive future development of the bioeconomy.
Author | : Natalie Wippel |
Publisher | : LIT Verlag Münster |
Total Pages | : 360 |
Release | : 2014 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3643905408 |
With a focus on the automobile industry, this study provides an overview of the basics of strategic foresight and the differences that multinational enterprises (MNEs) have to deal with while working in an international context. The book also looks at the interrelation of strategic foresight and environmental trends. The results of the study indicate that it is advantageous for MNEs to use their internal resources worldwide for strategic foresight during the first three phases of the strategic foresight process (SFP), while also being aware of the possible barriers. (Series: Writings on the Automotive Industry / Schriften zur Automobilwirtschaft - Vol. 9) [Subject: Business, Automotive Industry]
Author | : Liam Fahey |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 478 |
Release | : 1997-11-10 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780471303527 |
Unter Szenarioplanung versteht man eine spezielle Methode der Vorhersage zukünftiger politischer, ökonomischer und demographischer Entwicklungen, die das Funktionieren eines Unternehmens beeinflussen können. Diese Technik wird hier von renommierten Vorreitern auf diesem Gebiet ausführlich beleuchtet - so lernt der Manager, verschiedene Implikationen plausibler Ereignisse und Einflüsse systematisch zu durchdenken. (11/97)
Author | : Khosrow-Pour, D.B.A., Mehdi |
Publisher | : IGI Global |
Total Pages | : 8356 |
Release | : 2017-06-20 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 1522522565 |
In recent years, our world has experienced a profound shift and progression in available computing and knowledge sharing innovations. These emerging advancements have developed at a rapid pace, disseminating into and affecting numerous aspects of contemporary society. This has created a pivotal need for an innovative compendium encompassing the latest trends, concepts, and issues surrounding this relevant discipline area. During the past 15 years, the Encyclopedia of Information Science and Technology has become recognized as one of the landmark sources of the latest knowledge and discoveries in this discipline. The Encyclopedia of Information Science and Technology, Fourth Edition is a 10-volume set which includes 705 original and previously unpublished research articles covering a full range of perspectives, applications, and techniques contributed by thousands of experts and researchers from around the globe. This authoritative encyclopedia is an all-encompassing, well-established reference source that is ideally designed to disseminate the most forward-thinking and diverse research findings. With critical perspectives on the impact of information science management and new technologies in modern settings, including but not limited to computer science, education, healthcare, government, engineering, business, and natural and physical sciences, it is a pivotal and relevant source of knowledge that will benefit every professional within the field of information science and technology and is an invaluable addition to every academic and corporate library.