Real Exchange Rate Targeting Under Imperfect Asset Substitutability
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Author | : Mr.José Saúl Lizondo |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 30 |
Release | : 1993-04-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451845626 |
This paper presents a model of an economy that uses nominal exchange rate policy to keep the real exchange rate constant at a certain target level, under imperfect asset substitutability. The paper discusses the determinants of inflation under such a policy, and examines the consequences of exogenous and policy-induced shocks on inflation, the external accounts, and the fiscal accounts. The shocks considered include changes in the real exchange rate target, changes in fiscal policy, changes in foreign interest rates, and open market sales of public sector domestic bonds.
Author | : J. Saul Lizondo |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 30 |
Release | : 2006 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
This paper presents a model of an economy that uses nominal exchange rate policy to keep the real exchange rate constant at a certain target level, under imperfect asset substitutability. The paper discusses the determinants of inflation under such a policy, and examines the consequences of exogenous and policy-induced shocks on inflation, the external accounts, and the fiscal accounts. The shocks considered include changes in the real exchange rate target, changes in fiscal policy, changes in foreign interest rates, and open market sales of public sector domestic bonds.
Author | : Fondo Monetario Internacional |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 20 |
Release | : 1993 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Mr.Marco Airaudo |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 65 |
Release | : 2016-03-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475523165 |
We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.
Author | : Guillermo Calvo |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 58 |
Release | : 1994-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : |
This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of policies aimed at setting a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate. An intertemporal optimizing model suggests that, in the absence of changes in fiscal policy, a more depreciated level of the real exchange can only be attained temporarily. This can be achieved by means of higher inflation and/or higher real interest rates, depending on the degree of capital mobility. Evidence for Brazil, Chile, and Colombia supports the model’s prediction that undervalued real exchange rates are associated with higher inflation.
Author | : Gustavo Adler |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 37 |
Release | : 2016-04-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 148433230X |
The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.
Author | : Mr.Peter Montiel |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 25 |
Release | : 1991-07-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451961014 |
This paper examines the issue of whether the money supply can serve as a nominal anchor for the domestic price level under real exchange rate targeting. When capital controls are perfect so that there is complete separation between official and unofficial markets for foreign exchange, the domestic inflation rate can be stabilized, but only at the expense of a widening gap between official and parallel market exchange rates. When cross - transactions between the two markets are permitted, the steady state of the model is identical to that of a model without capital controls and, hence, the money supply cannot serve as a nominal anchor for the price level in the long run. If capital controls are nevertheless maintained temporarily, and are known to be temporary, targeting the money supply fails to stabilize the rate of inflation even in the short run.
Author | : Mr.Thomas Helbling |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 38 |
Release | : 1995-12-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451934734 |
This paper analyzes the recent behavior of real exchange rates, the trade balance and the net foreign asset position of the United States in an intertemporal optimizing model of the world economy that incorporates heterogeneity across countries and imperfect international capital and good markets. While the model successfully tracks the dynamics of trade balances and net foreign assets it generates too much consumption smoothing and excessively volatile relative prices. Resolving these inadequacies simultaneously is difficult as the elasticity of substitution between tradables and nontradables affects in opposite ways the degree of consumption smoothing and the volatility of relative prices.
Author | : Jane Chuang Yao |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 386 |
Release | : 1983 |
Genre | : Foreign exchange |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Saziye Gazioglu |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 28 |
Release | : 1990 |
Genre | : Foreign exchange |
ISBN | : |