Real Exchange Rate Appreciation In Emerging Markets
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| Author | : Marialuz Moreno Badia |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 23 |
| Release | : 2014-01-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1475525052 |
A number of emerging markets have experienced substantial real exchange rate appreciation in recent years, generating concerns about competitiveness and prompting policymakers to respond with a combination of mitigating policies. This paper shows that fiscal policy can play a role in alleviating these pressures. Using a sample of 28 emerging market economies over 1983-2011, we estimate a dynamic model of the real exchange rate and find that a permanent fiscal adjustment may reduce appreciation pressures over the long term. Furthermore, the composition of public spending matters, with reductions in current spending playing a key role. To illustrate the importance of these findings, the paper focuses on the case of Brazil. Our results suggest that maintaining fiscal discipline while increasing public investment in Brazil is likely to ease real appreciation pressures, highlighting the importance of tackling long-standing budget rigidities.
| Author | : Steve Brito |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 21 |
| Release | : 2018-05-10 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1484356349 |
We show that the response of firm-level investment to real exchange rate movements varies depending on the production structure of the economy. Firms in advanced economies and in emerging Asia increase investment when the domestic currency weakens, in line with the traditional Mundell-Fleming model. However, in other emerging market and developing economies, as well as some advanced economies with a low degree of structural economic complexity, corporate investment increases when the domestic currency strengthens. This result is consistent with Diaz Alejandro (1963)—in economies where capital goods are mostly imported, a stronger real exchange rate reduces investment costs for domestic firms.
| Author | : Marek Dabrowski |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 328 |
| Release | : 2003-03-31 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9781402071508 |
Dabrowski (Center for Social and Economic Research, Warsaw, Poland) presents eight comparative papers from a research project carried by his organization between October 1999 and September 2001. The papers examine theoretical models and causes of currency crises; discuss issues of crisis management and the contagion effect; and explore social and political consequences of currency crises. Also included are case studies of 1990s currency crises in Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Russia, Ukraine, and Moldova. Annotation 2004 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com).
| Author | : Mahmood Pradhan |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 45 |
| Release | : 2011-04-20 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1463935129 |
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
| Author | : Guillermo A. Calvo |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 70 |
| Release | : 1992 |
| Genre | : Capital movements |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Sebastian Edwards |
| Publisher | : Johns Hopkins University Press |
| Total Pages | : 110 |
| Release | : 1988 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : |
This article analyzes the theory of equilibrium real exchange rates and defines misalignment as a deviation of the real exchange rate (RER) from its equilibrium level. The role of macroeconomic policies is then analyzed under three alternative nominal exchange rate regimes: predetermined nominal exchange rates; floating nominal rates; and dual or black market nominal exchange rates. This discussion points out how inconsistent macroeconomic policies often lead to real exchange rate misalignment. Corrective measures, including nominal devaluation and several alternative approaches, are then evaluated.
| Author | : Takatoshi Ito |
| Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
| Total Pages | : 466 |
| Release | : 2007-12-01 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0226386937 |
The exchange rate is a crucial variable linking a nation's domestic economy to the international market. Thus choice of an exchange rate regime is a central component in the economic policy of developing countries and a key factor affecting economic growth. Historically, most developing nations have employed strict exchange rate controls and heavy protection of domestic industry-policies now thought to be at odds with sustainable and desirable rates of economic growth. By contrast, many East Asian nations maintained exchange rate regimes designed to achieve an attractive climate for exports and an "outer-oriented" development strategy. The result has been rapid and consistent economic growth over the past few decades. Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries explores the impact of such diverse exchange control regimes in both historical and regional contexts, focusing particular attention on East Asia. This comprehensive, carefully researched volume will surely become a standard reference for scholars and policymakers.
| Author | : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2013 |
| Genre | : Banks and banking, Central |
| ISBN | : 9789291319626 |
| Author | : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques |
| Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
| Total Pages | : 54 |
| Release | : 2020-02-21 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1513529730 |
Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.
| Author | : Sebastian Edwards |
| Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
| Total Pages | : 782 |
| Release | : 2002-11-15 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780226184944 |
Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.
