Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice
Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
Total Pages: 335
Release: 1988
Genre:
ISBN: 1452908281

Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, second edition

Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, second edition
Author: Jeffrey M. Wooldridge
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 1095
Release: 2010-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262232588

The second edition of a comprehensive state-of-the-art graduate level text on microeconometric methods, substantially revised and updated. The second edition of this acclaimed graduate text provides a unified treatment of two methods used in contemporary econometric research, cross section and data panel methods. By focusing on assumptions that can be given behavioral content, the book maintains an appropriate level of rigor while emphasizing intuitive thinking. The analysis covers both linear and nonlinear models, including models with dynamics and/or individual heterogeneity. In addition to general estimation frameworks (particular methods of moments and maximum likelihood), specific linear and nonlinear methods are covered in detail, including probit and logit models and their multivariate, Tobit models, models for count data, censored and missing data schemes, causal (or treatment) effects, and duration analysis. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data was the first graduate econometrics text to focus on microeconomic data structures, allowing assumptions to be separated into population and sampling assumptions. This second edition has been substantially updated and revised. Improvements include a broader class of models for missing data problems; more detailed treatment of cluster problems, an important topic for empirical researchers; expanded discussion of "generalized instrumental variables" (GIV) estimation; new coverage (based on the author's own recent research) of inverse probability weighting; a more complete framework for estimating treatment effects with panel data, and a firmly established link between econometric approaches to nonlinear panel data and the "generalized estimating equation" literature popular in statistics and other fields. New attention is given to explaining when particular econometric methods can be applied; the goal is not only to tell readers what does work, but why certain "obvious" procedures do not. The numerous included exercises, both theoretical and computer-based, allow the reader to extend methods covered in the text and discover new insights.

Principles of Macroeconometric Modeling

Principles of Macroeconometric Modeling
Author: L.R. Klein
Publisher: North Holland
Total Pages: 376
Release: 1999-09-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

At a level suitable for graduate or advanced undergraduates in economics, explains the principles of constructing dynamic macroeconometric models and their use in economic analyses and forecasting. The econometric methodology described is limited to specific applications of time series analysis. The treatment is updated from the 1983 Lectures in Econometrics to account for the end of the Cold War, which raises questions of economic transition in eastern Europe, and the emergence of information technology that has qualitatively changed the speed and breadth of data flows. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics
Author: Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 184
Release: 2007-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226531929

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice
Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
Total Pages: 734
Release: 1981
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0816610711

Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

Rational Expectations and Economic Policy

Rational Expectations and Economic Policy
Author: Stanley Fischer
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 306
Release: 2008-04-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226251330

"Several areas in economics today have unprecedented significance and vitality. Most people would agree that stabilization policy ranks with the highest of these. Continuing inflation and periodic serious acceleration of inflation combined with high and secularly rising unemployment combine to give the area high priority. This book brings us up to date on an extremely lively discussion involving the role of expectations, and more particularly rational expectations, in the conduct of stabilization policy. . . . Anyone interested in the role of government in economics should read this important book."—C. Glyn Williams, The Wall Street Review of Books "This is a most timely and valuable contribution. . . . The contributors and commentators are highly distinguished and the editor has usefully collated comments and the ensuing discussion. Unusually for a conference proceedings the book is well indexed and it is also replete with numerous and up-to-date references. . . . This is the first serious book to examine the rational expectations thesis in any depth, and it will prove invaluable to anyone involved with macroeconomic policy generally and with monetary economics in particular."—G. K. Shaw, The Economic Journal

Evaluation of Econometric Models

Evaluation of Econometric Models
Author: Jan Kmenta
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 425
Release: 2014-05-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1483267342

Evaluation of Econometric Models presents approaches to assessing and enhancing the progress of applied economic research. This book discusses the problems and issues in evaluating econometric models, use of exploratory methods in economic analysis, and model construction and evaluation when theoretical knowledge is scarce. The data analysis by partial least squares, prediction analysis of economic models, and aggregation and disaggregation of nonlinear equations are also elaborated. This text likewise covers the comparison of econometric models by optimal control techniques, role of time series analysis in econometric model evaluation, and hypothesis testing in spectral regression. Other topics include the relevance of laboratory experiments to testing resource allocation theory and token economy and animal models for the experimental analysis of economic behavior. This publication is intended for students and researchers interested in evaluating econometric models.

A Prescription for Monetary Policy

A Prescription for Monetary Policy
Author: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Publisher: The Minerva Group, Inc.
Total Pages: 113
Release: 2001
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0894990683

"A Prescription for Monetary Policy," originally published in 1976, contains the proceedings from a series of seminars. The seminars addressed the question, "How should the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) make monetary policy?" The need to carefully reexamine this question gained in urgency as the economic distress story of the mid-1970s unfolded. In recognition of the unsatisfactory state of the economy, a major Federal Reserve System research program was launched under the auspices of the FOMC?s Committee on the Directive. The study?s objective was to produce for the FOMC?s consideration a set of recommendations on how to improve the execution of monetary stabilization policy.

Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of Macroeconometric Models

Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of Macroeconometric Models
Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 504
Release: 1984
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780674831803

This book gives a practical, applications-oriented account of the latest techniques for estimating and analyzing large, nonlinear macroeconomic models. Ray Fair demonstrates the application of these techniques in a detailed presentation of several actual models, including his United States model, his multicountry model, Sargent's classical macroeconomic model, autoregressive and vector autoregressive models, and a small (twelve equation) linear structural model. He devotes a good deal of attention to the difficult and often neglected problem of moving from theoretical to econometric models. In addition, he provides an extensive discussion of optimal control techniques and methods for estimating and analyzing rational expectations models. A computer program that handles all the techniques in the book is available from the author, making it possible to use the techniques with little additional programming. The book presents the logic of this program. A smaller program for personal microcomputers for analysis of Fair's United States model is available from Urban Systems Research & Engineering, Inc. Anyone wanting to learn how to use large macroeconomic models, including researchers, graduate students, economic forecasters, and people in business and government both in the United States and abroad, will find this an essential guidebook.