Prospect Theory Multi Agent Based Simulations For Non Rational Route Choice Decision Making Modelling
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Modelling Public Transport Passenger Flows in the Era of Intelligent Transport Systems
Author | : Guido Gentile |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 671 |
Release | : 2016-02-03 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 3319250825 |
This book shows how transit assignment models can be used to describe and predict the patterns of network patronage in public transport systems. It provides a fundamental technical tool that can be employed in the process of designing, implementing and evaluating measures and/or policies to improve the current state of transport systems within given financial, technical and social constraints. The book offers a unique methodological contribution to the field of transit assignment because, moving beyond “traditional” models, it describes more evolved variants that can reproduce:• intermodal networks with high- and low-frequency services;• realistic behavioural hypotheses underpinning route choice;• time dependency in frequency-based models; and• assumptions about the knowledge that users have of network conditionsthat are consistent with the present and future level of information that intelligent transport systems (ITS) can provide. The book also considers the practical perspective of practitioners and public transport operators who need to model and manage transit systems; for example, the role of ITS is explained with regard to their potential in data collection for modelling purposes and validation techniques, as well as with regard to the additional data on network patronage and passengers’ preferences that influences the network-management and control strategies implemented. In addition, it explains how the different aspects of network operations can be incorporated in traditional models and identifies the advantages and disadvantages of doing so. Lastly, the book provides practical information on state-of-the-art implementations of the different models and the commercial packages that are currently available for transit modelling. Showcasing original work done under the aegis of the COST Action TU1004 (TransITS), the book provides a broad readership, ranging from Master and PhD students to researchers and from policy makers to practitioners, with a comprehensive tool for understanding transit assignment models.
Agent-Based Simulation: From Modeling Methodologies to Real-World Applications
Author | : Takao Terano |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 270 |
Release | : 2005-08-03 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9784431265924 |
Agent-based modeling/simulation is an emerging field that uses bottom-up and experimental analysis in the social sciences. Selected research from that presented at the Third International Workshop on Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems 2004, held in May 2004 in Kyoto, Japan, is included in this book. The aim of the workshop was to employ the bottom-up approach to social and economic problems by modeling, simulation, and analysis using a software agent. This research area is an emerging interdisciplinary field among the social sciences and computer science, attracting broad attention because it introduces a simulation-based experimental approach to problems that are becoming increasingly complex in an era of globalization and innovation in information technology. The state-of-the-art research and findings presented in this book will be indispensable tools for anyone involved in this rapidly growing discipline.
Bounded Rational Choice Behaviour
Author | : Soora Rasouli |
Publisher | : Emerald Group Publishing |
Total Pages | : 289 |
Release | : 2015-01-30 |
Genre | : Transportation |
ISBN | : 1784410713 |
The book is an attempt to stimulate development in travel behaviour analysis and provide a basic source of reference to the transportation research community. The aim of the book is to give centre stage to some recent innovative approaches to models of bounded rationality, both under conditions of certainty and uncertainty.
Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Author | : Mykel J. Kochenderfer |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 350 |
Release | : 2015-07-24 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 0262331713 |
An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.
Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior
Author | : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations |
Publisher | : National Academies Press |
Total Pages | : 433 |
Release | : 1998-08-14 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0309523893 |
Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.
Handbook of Choice Modelling
Author | : Stephane Hess |
Publisher | : Edward Elgar Publishing |
Total Pages | : 721 |
Release | : 2014-08-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1781003157 |
The Handbook of Choice Modelling, composed of contributions from senior figures in the field, summarizes the essential analytical techniques and discusses the key current research issues. The book opens with Nobel Laureate Daniel McFadden calling for d
Applications of Agent Technology in Traffic and Transportation
Author | : Franziska Klügl |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 211 |
Release | : 2006-03-30 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 3764373636 |
Building effective and user-friendly transportation systems is one of the big challenges for engineers in the 21st century. There is an increasing need to understand, model, and govern such systems at both, the individual and the society level. Traffic and transportation scenarios are extraordinarily appealing for Distributed Artificial Intelligence, and (multi-)agent technology in particular. This book gives an overview of recent advances in agent-based transportation systems.
Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography
Author | : Jakub Bijak |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 277 |
Release | : 2021-12-09 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 303083039X |
This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology for creating empirically grounded agent-based models of international migration – one of the most uncertain population processes and a top-priority policy area. The book discusses in detail the process of building a simulation model of migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. The proposed model-based approach integrates behavioural and social theory with formal modelling, by embedding the interdisciplinary modelling process within a wider inductive framework based on the Bayesian statistical reasoning. Principles of uncertainty quantification are used to devise innovative computer-based simulations, and to learn about modelling the simulated individuals and the way they make decisions. The identified knowledge gaps are subsequently filled with information from dedicated laboratory experiments on cognitive aspects of human decision-making under uncertainty. In this way, the models are built iteratively, from the bottom up, filling an important epistemological gap in migration studies, and social sciences more broadly.
Agent-Based Models of Geographical Systems
Author | : Alison J. Heppenstall |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 747 |
Release | : 2011-11-24 |
Genre | : Social Science |
ISBN | : 9048189276 |
This unique book brings together a comprehensive set of papers on the background, theory, technical issues and applications of agent-based modelling (ABM) within geographical systems. This collection of papers is an invaluable reference point for the experienced agent-based modeller as well those new to the area. Specific geographical issues such as handling scale and space are dealt with as well as practical advice from leading experts about designing and creating ABMs, handling complexity, visualising and validating model outputs. With contributions from many of the world’s leading research institutions, the latest applied research (micro and macro applications) from around the globe exemplify what can be achieved in geographical context. This book is relevant to researchers, postgraduate and advanced undergraduate students, and professionals in the areas of quantitative geography, spatial analysis, spatial modelling, social simulation modelling and geographical information sciences.