Probabilistic Post-earthquake Restoration Process with Repair Prioritization of Highway Network System for Disaster Resilience Enhancement

Probabilistic Post-earthquake Restoration Process with Repair Prioritization of Highway Network System for Disaster Resilience Enhancement
Author: Tsutomu Nifuku
Publisher:
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN: 9781321646344

Comprehensive realization of post-earthquake restoration process for highway network considering repair prioritization are necessary for preparing effective countermeasures to restore transportation service and social activity in seismically active and automobile dependent regions like broader Los Angeles area quickly. Since the progress and the time to achieve full-recovery realistically change depending on repair orders and reconstruction works, restoration strategies without taking into account actual restoration phenomena negatively affect decision-making, efficient recovery, damage mitigation effort and network resilience enhancement. For dealing with these concerns, a probabilistic model to simulate post-earthquake restoration process of highway network is developed with consideration of repair prioritization and reconstruction constraint in this research. Analytic Hierarchy Process, prioritizing algorithm, is used to decide bridge repair orders based on initial damage state due to earthquake and priority weight of four criteria; difficulty, importance, urgency and cost. Numbers of available construction labor around the target region is applied for constraint of repair work progress. The recovery passage of bridge, the critical component of highway restoration process, is modeled probabilistically based on Markov Chain process, Uniform distribution and Normal distribution. As performance of highway network, drivers' delay and trip opportunity loss over entire recovery period are estimated by conducting traffic network analysis through origin-destination matrix, gravity model and user equilibrium model considering the models of trip reduction and traffic demand recovery. The adequacy of developed model is then verified by the documented recovery records and loss estimations of Northridge earthquake. As an application study, a regional possible scenario earthquake is applied to the established methodology implemented in the highway network system of Los Angeles and Orange counties. A number of simulations through Monte Carlo technique to express restoration processes corresponding to several repair prioritizations are presented by restoration curves and loss estimations. The analyzed results show that the developed procedure can simulate numerous thinkable recovery scenarios according to repair orders and contribute to decision-making for choosing the best suited repair prioritization for minimizing loss and maximizing resilience. Moreover, the basic scheme of this innovative technique can be applied to evaluation of restoration process of other infrastructure network systems and other disasters.

Post-Earthquake Rehabilitation and Reconstruction

Post-Earthquake Rehabilitation and Reconstruction
Author: F.Y. Cheng
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 507
Release: 1996-10-14
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0080539300

Damage assessment, rehabilitation, decision-making, social consequences, repair and reconstruction; these are all critical factors for considerations following natural disasters such as earthquakes. In order to address these issues, the United States of America and the Peoples Republic of China regularly organize bilateral symposia/workshops to investigate multiple hazard mitigation, particularly with respect to earthquake engineering. This book contains state-of-the-art reports presented by world-renowned researchers at the US/PRC Sympsosium Workshop on Post-Earthquake Rehabilitation and Reconstruction held in Kunming, Yunnan, China, May 1995. The following key areas are addressed: damage assessment of structures after earthquakes; lessons of post-earthquake recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction, including public policy, land use options, urban planning, and design; issues in and examples of decision-making, and implementation of rehabilitation and reconstruction plans and policies; repair, strengthening, retrofit and control of structures and lifeline systems, post-earthquake socio-economic problems covering issues of relief and recovery; human and organizational behavior during emergency response, and strategies for improvement; real-time monitoring of earthquake response and damage.

Modeling Post-earthquake Restoration of the Los Angeles Water Supply System

Modeling Post-earthquake Restoration of the Los Angeles Water Supply System
Author: Taronne Harris Pearson Tabucchi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 254
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

The purpose of this thesis is to develop a discrete event simulation model of post-earthquake restoration for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) water supply system. Discrete event simulation, a new approach to modeling post-disaster lifeline restoration, offers many benefits for restoration modeling compared to alternative methods. The water supply system and restoration process are represented in great detail with few simplifications. The utility company's decision variables (e.g., number of repair crews, repair prioritization rules) are included explicitly, allowing exploration of their effects on the speed of the restoration. Restoration times are estimated separately for each region within the service area, and uncertainty in the process is modeled explicitly. With a service area of more than 1,200 km2 and 12,000 km of pipelines, the LADWP water supply system is the largest municipal system in the United States. Extensive review of the LADWP water organization, water supply system, and postearthquake restoration process was conducted. This review provided the basis for the restoration model. Crews, tasks, and the different phases in the restoration process came directly from discussions with LADWP personnel and the water organization's emergency response plans. For a particular earthquake, the restoration model takes as input information about damage to the system and the resulting hydraulic flow, both of which are provided by the Graphical Iterative Response Analysis for Flow Following Earthquakes (GIRAFFE) model that was developed for the LADWP system (Shi 2006, Wang 2006). Throughout the restoration simulation, the model interacts with GIRAFFE periodically in order to receive updates of the system functionality at specific times as the restoration process proceeds and damage is repaired. The restoration model provides several different types of output including system and subregion restoration curves; spatial distribution of restoration; material usage; crew usage; average time each customer is without water; and time to restore the system and subregions to 90%, 98%, and 100%. It can also include damage uncertainty by combining the output from runs for multiple realizations of damage associated with a single earthquake. The model can be used to help estimate economic and societal losses due to water supply system outages, and to evaluate the effectiveness of possible restoration improvement strategies. Ten simulations of the restoration model were run using real damage data from the 1994 Northridge earthquake as input, and the results were compared to the actual restoration that took place following Northridge. The average spatial distribution of restoration roughly matches what occurred in 1994. As in real life, the areas experiencing longer outages in the model are mainly in the north of the system service area or around the San Fernando Valley. The system restoration curves did not match exactly, as the range of outputs from all 10 runs of the restoration model shows that the restoration occurs too quickly, especially during the first day after the earthquake. Possible future model modifications that may improve the calibration are discussed. (Abstract).

Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges

Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges
Author: Nigel Powers
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 5447
Release: 2018-07-04
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1351745964

Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges contains lectures and papers presented at the Ninth International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management (IABMAS 2018), held in Melbourne, Australia, 9-13 July 2018. This volume consists of a book of extended abstracts and a USB card containing the full papers of 393 contributions presented at IABMAS 2018, including the T.Y. Lin Lecture, 10 Keynote Lectures, and 382 technical papers from 40 countries. The contributions presented at IABMAS 2018 deal with the state of the art as well as emerging concepts and innovative applications related to the main aspects of bridge maintenance, safety, risk, management and life-cycle performance. Major topics include: new design methods, bridge codes, heavy vehicle and load models, bridge management systems, prediction of future traffic models, service life prediction, residual service life, sustainability and life-cycle assessments, maintenance strategies, bridge diagnostics, health monitoring, non-destructive testing, field testing, safety and serviceability, assessment and evaluation, damage identification, deterioration modelling, repair and retrofitting strategies, bridge reliability, fatigue and corrosion, extreme loads, advanced experimental simulations, and advanced computer simulations, among others. This volume provides both an up-to-date overview of the field of bridge engineering and significant contributions to the process of more rational decision-making on bridge maintenance, safety, risk, management and life-cycle performance of bridges for the purpose of enhancing the welfare of society. The Editors hope that these Proceedings will serve as a valuable reference to all concerned with bridge structure and infrastructure systems, including students, researchers and engineers from all areas of bridge engineering.

Urban Resilience for Emergency Response and Recovery

Urban Resilience for Emergency Response and Recovery
Author: Gian Paolo Cimellaro
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 535
Release: 2016-06-04
Genre: Science
ISBN: 3319306561

This book introduces the concepts of Resilience-Based Design (RBD) as an extension of Performance-Based Design. It provides readers with a range of cutting-edge methodologies for evaluating resilience and clarifies the difference between resilience, vulnerability and sustainability. Initially, the book focuses on describing the different types of uncertainty that arise in the context of resilience evaluation. This is followed by an entire chapter dedicated to the analytical and experimental recovery functions. Then, starting from the definition of resilience provided by MCEER, an extension of the methodology is provided that introduces the seven dimensions of Community Resilience, summarized in the acronym PEOPLES. They are: Population and Demographics, Environmental/Ecosystem, Organized Governmental Services, Physical infrastructures, Lifestyle and Community Competence, Economic Development, and Socio-Cultural Capital. For each dimension, components and subcomponents are defined and the related indices are provided. Underlining the importance of the physical infrastructure dimension, the book provides several examples of applications for transportation, hydraulic, gas and power networks. The problem of interdependencies and the domino effect is also taken into account during the analysis. One of the book’s closing chapters focuses on different methodologies for improving disaster preparedness and engineering mitigation strategies, while the last chapter describes the different computer platforms available on the market for evaluating Community Resilience. The book offers readers an extensive introduction to the concept of Resilience-Based Design, together with selected advanced applications for specialists. No prerequisite knowledge is needed in order to understand the book, and the Appendix offers valuable supplemental information on e.g. the probabilistic concepts. As such, the book offers a valuable resource for graduate students, young engineers and researchers who are interested in the topic, and can also be used as a supplementary text in graduate level Disaster Resilience courses.

Seismic Risk Mitigation Strategies for Complex Regional Transport Networks

Seismic Risk Mitigation Strategies for Complex Regional Transport Networks
Author: Gitanjali Bhattacharjee
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2021
Genre:
ISBN:

Like the systems that supply residents of an area with power, water, sanitation, and communication services, road networks, which provide transport, are lifelines (Chang, 2016). Earthquakes can result in extensive damage to road networks and, in California, have historically caused significant damage to bridges (Mitchell et al., 1995). The immediate goal of seismically retrofitting a bridge is to mitigate the risk of the bridge experiencing structural damage during an earthquake (e.g., Buckle et al., 2006). Seismically retrofitting a bridge reduces the probability that it will be damaged by ground shaking in an earthquake -- and, consequently, the probability that it will incur repair costs or contribute to the indirect costs associated with road network disruptions. Retrofitting bridges has been shown to be a cost-effective method of mitigating the risk of bridge damage (e.g., Giovinazzi et al., 2011). Given budget constraints, retrofitting every bridge in a regional road network subject to seismic hazard is infeasible. How to decide which bridges within such a network to retrofit has therefore proven to be a problem of enduring interest. Complicating factors include the scale of the real-world problem, which precludes exhaustive searches, uncertainty in the seismic hazard and associated bridge damage, the link between bridges' states and the performance of the road network, and the computational cost of simulating road network performance. This dissertation proposes probabilistic and computationally tractable methods for performance-based seismic risk mitigation of complex regional road networks. First, this dissertation proposes a method for prioritizing bridge retrofits within a regional road network subject to uncertain seismic hazard, using a technique that accounts for network performance while avoiding the combinatoric costs of exhaustive searches. Using global variance-based sensitivity analysis (SA), bridges are ranked according to how much their retrofit statuses influence the expected cost of road network disruption, as measured by their total-order sensitivity (Sobol') indices. In a case study of 71 bridges in San Francisco, the proposed method identifies more effective retrofits than other heuristic retrofit prioritization strategies. The proposed method also remains computationally tractable while accounting for uncertainty in the seismic hazard, the stochastic nature of bridge damage, the uniqueness of individual bridges, network effects, and decision-makers' priorities, including budget considerations (but not constraints). As this method leverages existing risk assessment tools and models without imposing further assumptions, it should be extensible to other types of networks, hazards, and decision variables. Second, this dissertation proposes a method with which to increase the computational tractability of the SA-based bridge retrofit prioritization method when the decision variable of interest requires traffic simulation. To more efficiently compute bridges' Sobol' indices, a neural network is trained to serve as a surrogate model for a traffic simulator. For the same set of 71 bridges in San Francisco previously studied, a retrofit strategy based on bridges' total-order Sobol' indices computed using the surrogate model agrees closely with a strategy based on indices computed using only the traffic simulator while reducing the computational time required by as much as 99%. A surrogate model-based approach is also effective at prioritizing bridge retrofits for a set of 141 highway bridges in two Bay Area counties. Leveraging the power of surrogate models to reduce the computational burden of estimating bridges' total-order Sobol' indices will allow application of the SA-based retrofit prioritization method to larger numbers of bridges and larger sets of earthquake scenarios. It will also enable the use of more sophisticated traffic models to characterize network performance. Third, this dissertation integrates two measures of how post-earthquake road network disruption impacts individuals with a probabilistic seismic risk assessment framework in a computationally tractable way. Impacts on individual commuters are characterized using welfare loss, which is a measure of individual well-being and was previously formulated by Mackie et al. (2001), and the number of jobs affected by road network disruption, a novel measure. A case study of the San Francisco Bay Area shows that while all commuters have a similar risk of increased travel time due to post-earthquake road network disruption, commuters with low incomes have substantially higher risk of welfare loss than commuters with high incomes. Traditional metrics of road network disruption like travel time delay, infeasible trips, or combinations thereof obscure these disparate impacts. Quantitative risk metrics that account for variations in individuals' experiences without becoming computationally impracticable should prove useful in reducing risk to regional infrastructure networks in more equitable ways. A novel method for modifying post-earthquake commute demand to account for business interruptions is also presented. This method allows us to better distinguish between the impacts of road network disruption and the impacts of building damage on workers in a region, which is necessary to design effective risk reduction policies. Lastly, this dissertation includes a study of earthquake responders' building damage information needs and use. Although many responders need to understand the scale and distribution of building damage to react effectively, their building damage information needs and information use remain poorly understood, limiting the efficacy of information production, sharing, and research. Based on interview data and questionnaire responses gathered from experienced responders, six post-disaster tasks that rely on building damage information are characterized by their timing and by the necessary qualities of the information they require. Through inductive analysis of the interview data, responders' use of building damage information is also found to depend on factors beyond the building damage information itself -- namely, trust, impediments to information sharing, their varying understandings of disaster, and their attitudes toward emerging technologies. These factors must be considered in the design of any effort to create and/or disseminate post-disaster building damage information.

National Earthquake Resilience

National Earthquake Resilience
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2011-09-09
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0309186773

The United States will certainly be subject to damaging earthquakes in the future. Some of these earthquakes will occur in highly populated and vulnerable areas. Coping with moderate earthquakes is not a reliable indicator of preparedness for a major earthquake in a populated area. The recent, disastrous, magnitude-9 earthquake that struck northern Japan demonstrates the threat that earthquakes pose. Moreover, the cascading nature of impacts-the earthquake causing a tsunami, cutting electrical power supplies, and stopping the pumps needed to cool nuclear reactors-demonstrates the potential complexity of an earthquake disaster. Such compound disasters can strike any earthquake-prone populated area. National Earthquake Resilience presents a roadmap for increasing our national resilience to earthquakes. The National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) is the multi-agency program mandated by Congress to undertake activities to reduce the effects of future earthquakes in the United States. The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)-the lead NEHRP agency-commissioned the National Research Council (NRC) to develop a roadmap for earthquake hazard and risk reduction in the United States that would be based on the goals and objectives for achieving national earthquake resilience described in the 2008 NEHRP Strategic Plan. National Earthquake Resilience does this by assessing the activities and costs that would be required for the nation to achieve earthquake resilience in 20 years. National Earthquake Resilience interprets resilience broadly to incorporate engineering/science (physical), social/economic (behavioral), and institutional (governing) dimensions. Resilience encompasses both pre-disaster preparedness activities and post-disaster response. In combination, these will enhance the robustness of communities in all earthquake-vulnerable regions of our nation so that they can function adequately following damaging earthquakes. While National Earthquake Resilience is written primarily for the NEHRP, it also speaks to a broader audience of policy makers, earth scientists, and emergency managers.

Earthquake Disasters

Earthquake Disasters
Author: Jiuping Xu
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 208
Release: 2021-09-26
Genre: Nature
ISBN: 1000462471

This book explores practices and approaches on pre-disaster prevention and post-disaster reconstruction for vulnerable countries and areas enhancing earthquake disaster resilience. Destructive earthquakes have frequently occurred in urban or rural areas around the world, causing severe damage on human societies. Pre-earthquake prevention and post-earthquake reconstruction effect the disaster resilience building and long-term development of the affected communities and areas. In recent years, researchers from around the world have made a lot of efforts to study on the theme ‘earthquake disaster prevention and reconstruction’. The chapters in this edited volume contribute to the literature of earthquake disaster research from scientific, social and institutional aspects. These interdisciplinary studies mainly focus on human and policy dimensions of earthquake disaster, such as earthquake risk mitigation, social-physical resilience building, resilience capability assessment, healthcare surge capacity, house reconstruction, the roles of schools, households, civil societies and public participation in earthquake disaster prevention and reconstruction. The authors come from several counties, including China, Bangladesh, Iran, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, Denmark, and Indonesia, covering the cases from those countries prone to earthquakes. These nine distinctive chapters have been elaborately selected and integrated from the international, ranked, peer-reviewed journal, Environmental Hazards.

Repair of Earthquake Damaged Concrete and Masonry Wall Buildings

Repair of Earthquake Damaged Concrete and Masonry Wall Buildings
Author: Federal Emergency Agency
Publisher: FEMA
Total Pages: 72
Release: 2013-04-13
Genre:
ISBN:

Following the two damaging California earthquakes in1989 (Loma Prieta) and 1994 (Northridge), many concrete wall and masonry wall buildings were repaired using federal disaster assistance funding. The repairs were based on inconsistent criteria, giving rise to controversy regarding criteria for the repair of cracked concrete and masonry wall buildings. To help resolve this controversy, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) initiated a project on evaluation and repair of earthquake-damaged concrete and masonry wall buildings in 1996. The ATC-43 project addresses the investigation and evaluation of earthquake damage and discusses policy issues related to the repair and upgrade of earthquake-damaged buildings. The project deals with buildings whose primary lateral-force-resisting systems consist of concrete or masonry bearing walls with flexible or rigid diaphragms, or whose vertical-load-bearing systems consist of concrete or steel frames with concrete or masonry infill panels. The intended audience is design engineers, building owners, building regulatory officials, and government agencies. The project results are reported in three documents. TheFEMA306report, Evaluation of Earthquake Damaged Concrete and Masonry Wall Buildings, Basic Procedures Manual, provides guidance on evaluating damage and analyzing future performance. Included in the document are component damage classification guides, and test and inspection guides. FEMA 307, Evaluation of Earthquake Damaged Concrete and Masonry Wall Buildings, Technical Resources, contains supplemental information including results from a theoretical analysis of the effects of prior damage on single-degree-of-freedom mathematical models, additional background information on the component guides, and an example of the application of the basic procedures. FEMA 308, The Repair of Earthquake Damaged Concrete and Masonry Wall Buildings ,discusses the policy issues pertaining to the repair of earthquake-damaged buildings and illustrates how the procedures developed for the project can be used to provide a technically sound basis for policy decisions. It also provides guidance for the repair of damaged components.

Post-Disaster Reconstruction and Change

Post-Disaster Reconstruction and Change
Author: Jennifer E. Duyne Barenstein
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 371
Release: 2012-10-29
Genre: Law
ISBN: 1466588993

Successful recovery following a disaster depends upon transcending the disciplinary divides of architecture, engineering, and planning and emphasizing the importance of community perspectives in the post-disaster reconstruction process. Effective results in community recovery mandate that we holistically examine the complex interrelationship betwee