Predictive Simplicity

Predictive Simplicity
Author: George J. Klir
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 210
Release: 2013-10-22
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 1483287025

The book attempts to develop an account of simplicity in terms of testability, and to use this account to provide an adequate characterization of induction, one immune to the class of problems suggested by Nelson Goodman. It is then shown that the past success of induction, thus characterized, constitutes evidence for its future success. A qualitative measure of confirmation is developed, and this measure - along with the considerations of simplicity - is used to provide an account of the consilience of inductions, and also an inductivist account of the structure and progress of scientific theory. An appendix extends the treatment of simplicity to statistical distributions and provides a reasonable interpretation of the maximum entropy principle. Thus, this book is an attempt to characterize induction in terms of a well-defined notion of simplicity and to use that characterization as a basis of an account of empirical, and in particular, scientific reasoning.

Simplicity, Inference and Modelling

Simplicity, Inference and Modelling
Author: Arnold Zellner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 314
Release: 2002-02-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139432389

The idea that simplicity matters in science is as old as science itself, with the much cited example of Ockham's Razor, 'entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem': entities are not to be multiplied beyond necessity. A problem with Ockham's razor is that nearly everybody seems to accept it, but few are able to define its exact meaning and to make it operational in a non-arbitrary way. Using a multidisciplinary perspective including philosophers, mathematicians, econometricians and economists, this 2002 monograph examines simplicity by asking six questions: what is meant by simplicity? How is simplicity measured? Is there an optimum trade-off between simplicity and goodness-of-fit? What is the relation between simplicity and empirical modelling? What is the relation between simplicity and prediction? What is the connection between simplicity and convenience? The book concludes with reflections on simplicity by Nobel Laureates in Economics.

Data Science and Predictive Analytics

Data Science and Predictive Analytics
Author: Ivo D. Dinov
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 940
Release: 2023-02-16
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 3031174836

This textbook integrates important mathematical foundations, efficient computational algorithms, applied statistical inference techniques, and cutting-edge machine learning approaches to address a wide range of crucial biomedical informatics, health analytics applications, and decision science challenges. Each concept in the book includes a rigorous symbolic formulation coupled with computational algorithms and complete end-to-end pipeline protocols implemented as functional R electronic markdown notebooks. These workflows support active learning and demonstrate comprehensive data manipulations, interactive visualizations, and sophisticated analytics. The content includes open problems, state-of-the-art scientific knowledge, ethical integration of heterogeneous scientific tools, and procedures for systematic validation and dissemination of reproducible research findings. Complementary to the enormous challenges related to handling, interrogating, and understanding massive amounts of complex structured and unstructured data, there are unique opportunities that come with access to a wealth of feature-rich, high-dimensional, and time-varying information. The topics covered in Data Science and Predictive Analytics address specific knowledge gaps, resolve educational barriers, and mitigate workforce information-readiness and data science deficiencies. Specifically, it provides a transdisciplinary curriculum integrating core mathematical principles, modern computational methods, advanced data science techniques, model-based machine learning, model-free artificial intelligence, and innovative biomedical applications. The book’s fourteen chapters start with an introduction and progressively build foundational skills from visualization to linear modeling, dimensionality reduction, supervised classification, black-box machine learning techniques, qualitative learning methods, unsupervised clustering, model performance assessment, feature selection strategies, longitudinal data analytics, optimization, neural networks, and deep learning. The second edition of the book includes additional learning-based strategies utilizing generative adversarial networks, transfer learning, and synthetic data generation, as well as eight complementary electronic appendices. This textbook is suitable for formal didactic instructor-guided course education, as well as for individual or team-supported self-learning. The material is presented at the upper-division and graduate-level college courses and covers applied and interdisciplinary mathematics, contemporary learning-based data science techniques, computational algorithm development, optimization theory, statistical computing, and biomedical sciences. The analytical techniques and predictive scientific methods described in the book may be useful to a wide range of readers, formal and informal learners, college instructors, researchers, and engineers throughout the academy, industry, government, regulatory, funding, and policy agencies. The supporting book website provides many examples, datasets, functional scripts, complete electronic notebooks, extensive appendices, and additional materials.

Predictive Analytics for Toxicology

Predictive Analytics for Toxicology
Author: Luis G. Valerio, Jr.
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 253
Release: 2024-08-13
Genre: Science
ISBN: 1040101836

Predictive data science is already in use in many fields, but its application in toxicology is new and sought after by non-animal alternative testing initiatives. Predictive Analytics for Toxicology: Applications in Discovery Science provides a comprehensive overview of the application of predictive analytics in the field of toxicology, highlighting its role and applications in discovery science. This book addresses the challenges of accurately predicting high-level endpoints of toxicity and explores the use of computational and artificial intelligence research to automate predictive toxicology. It underscores the importance of predictive toxicology in proposing and explaining adverse outcomes resulting from human exposures to specific toxicants, especially when experimental and observational data on the toxicant are incomplete or unavailable. Key features: Includes a plain language description of predictive analytics in toxicology adding an overview of the wide range of applications Examines the science of prediction, computational models as an automated science and comprehensive discussions on concepts of machine learning Opens the hood on AI and its applications in toxicology Features coverage on how in silico toxicity predictions are translational science tools The book integrates strategies and practices of predictive toxicology and offers practical information that students and professionals of the toxicology, chemical, and pharmaceutical industries will find essential. It fulfills the expectations of student researchers seeking to learn predictive analytics in toxicology. This book will energize scientists to conduct predictive toxicology modeling using artificial intelligence and machine learning, and inspire students and seasoned scientists interested in automated science to pick up new research using predictive in silico models to evaluate chemical-induced toxicity. With its focus on practical applications and real-world examples, this book serves as a guide for navigating the complex issues and practices of discovery toxicology. It is an essential resource for those interested in computer-based methods in toxicology, providing valuable insights into the use of predictive analytics.

Research Methods for Criminology and Criminal Justice

Research Methods for Criminology and Criminal Justice
Author: Richard D. Hartley
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Total Pages: 379
Release: 2020-07-28
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1538129523

The second edition of Research Methods for Criminology and Criminal Justice is a core text for criminology and criminal justice research methods courses. This text offers a general foundation of knowledge that transcends particular topics or subject areas, allowing students to apply the methods and concepts discussed to a multitude of scenarios. Within the first five chapters, students learn (a) the philosophy behind scientific research, (b) the role of theory and hypotheses in the research process, (c) ethical issues in conducting research in our field, and (d) how research reports are structured. Thereafter, each new chapter will add information and examples that help students move toward a further understanding of research design and methodology that can be applied across the social and behavioral sciences to better understand social phenomena.

God in the Age of Science?

God in the Age of Science?
Author: Herman Philipse
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Total Pages: 391
Release: 2012-02-23
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 0191505056

God in the Age of Science? is a critical examination of strategies for the philosophical defence of religious belief. The main options may be presented as the end nodes of a decision tree for religious believers. The faithful can interpret a creedal statement (e.g. 'God exists') either as a truth claim, or otherwise. If it is a truth claim, they can either be warranted to endorse it without evidence, or not. Finally, if evidence is needed, should its evidential support be assessed by the same logical criteria that we use in evaluating evidence in science, or not? Each of these options has been defended by prominent analytic philosophers of religion. In part I Herman Philipse assesses these options and argues that the most promising for believers who want to be justified in accepting their creed in our scientific age is the Bayesian cumulative case strategy developed by Richard Swinburne. Parts II and III are devoted to an in-depth analysis of this case for theism. Using a 'strategy of subsidiary arguments', Philipse concludes (1) that theism cannot be stated meaningfully; (2) that if theism were meaningful, it would have no predictive power concerning existing evidence, so that Bayesian arguments cannot get started; and (3) that if the Bayesian cumulative case strategy did work, one should conclude that atheism is more probable than theism. Philipse provides a careful, rigorous, and original critique of theism in the world today.

Predictive Astrology

Predictive Astrology
Author: Bernadette Brady
Publisher: Weiser Books
Total Pages: 370
Release: 2022-06-01
Genre: Body, Mind & Spirit
ISBN: 1633412490

A groundbreaking work that offers deep insights and astrological techniques for bringing the future to light. "Predictive Astrology is one of the first astrology books that opened my eyes to the idea that astrology is about cycles of time. And that you can predict when certain things will happen based on where the planets are in the sky now compared to where they were when you were born."—Katie Sweetman, from O Magazine's "15 Best Astrology Books for Anyone Who Can't Get Enough of the Zodiac" Predictive Astrology shows the reader how to use Time Maps to approach to the fate of the transits, and includes new methods for calibrating and filtering progressions, returns of all kinds, eclipses, and planetary areas. By combining these techniques, you can reveal the future and put various aspects of your life into perspective. Offering many new techniques and concepts, this classic groundbreaking work (first published in 1976) is finding a new and growing audience. The book brings predictive astrology into a world of its own. This new Weiser Classics edition includes a new foreword by Theresa Reed, author of Astrology for Real Life.

The Scientific Method

The Scientific Method
Author: J. Scott Armstrong
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 241
Release: 2022-06-30
Genre: Reference
ISBN: 1009090313

The scientific method delivers prosperity, yet scientific practice has become subject to corrupting influences from within and without the scientific community. This essential reference is intended to help remedy those threats. The authors identify eight essential criteria for the practice of science and provide checklists to help avoid costly failures in scientific practice. Not only for scientists, this book is for all stakeholders of the broad enterprise of science. Science administrators, research funders, journal editors, and policymakers alike will find practical guidance on how they can encourage scientific research that produces useful discoveries. Journalists, commentators, and lawyers can turn to this text for help with assessing the validity and usefulness of scientific claims. The book provides practical guidance and makes important recommendations for reforms in science policy and science administration. The message of the book is complemented by Nobel Laureate Vernon L. Smith's foreword, and an afterword by Terence Kealey.

Bayesian Philosophy of Science

Bayesian Philosophy of Science
Author: Jan Sprenger
Publisher:
Total Pages: 414
Release: 2019
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0199672113

Jan Sprenger and Stephan Hartmann offer a fresh approach to central topics in philosophy of science, including causation, explanation, evidence, and scientific models. Their Bayesian approach uses the concept of degrees of belief to explain and to elucidate manifold aspects of scientific reasoning.

Predictive Analytics

Predictive Analytics
Author: Dursun Delen
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 374
Release: 2020-12-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0135946433

Use Predictive Analytics to Uncover Hidden Patterns and Correlations and Improve Decision-Making Using predictive analytics techniques, decision-makers can uncover hidden patterns and correlations in their data and leverage these insights to improve many key business decisions. In this thoroughly updated guide, Dr. Dursun Delen illuminates state-of-the-art best practices for predictive analytics for both business professionals and students. Delen's holistic approach covers key data mining processes and methods, relevant data management techniques, tools and metrics, advanced text and web mining, big data integration, and much more. Balancing theory and practice, Delen presents intuitive conceptual illustrations, realistic example problems, and real-world case studies—including lessons from failed projects. It's all designed to help you gain a practical understanding you can apply for profit. * Leverage knowledge extracted via data mining to make smarter decisions * Use standardized processes and workflows to make more trustworthy predictions * Predict discrete outcomes (via classification), numeric values (via regression), and changes over time (via time-series forecasting) * Understand predictive algorithms drawn from traditional statistics and advanced machine learning * Discover cutting-edge techniques, and explore advanced applications ranging from sentiment analysis to fraud detection