Predictive Inference

Predictive Inference
Author: Seymour Geisser
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2017-11-22
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1351422294

The author's research has been directed towards inference involving observables rather than parameters. In this book, he brings together his views on predictive or observable inference and its advantages over parametric inference. While the book discusses a variety of approaches to prediction including those based on parametric, nonparametric, and nonstochastic statistical models, it is devoted mainly to predictive applications of the Bayesian approach. It not only substitutes predictive analyses for parametric analyses, but it also presents predictive analyses that have no real parametric analogues. It demonstrates that predictive inference can be a critical component of even strict parametric inference when dealing with interim analyses. This approach to predictive inference will be of interest to statisticians, psychologists, econometricians, and sociologists.

Predictive Inference

Predictive Inference
Author: Seymour Geisser
Publisher:
Total Pages: 264
Release: 1993
Genre: Analysis of variance
ISBN: 9781489944672

The Elements of Statistical Learning

The Elements of Statistical Learning
Author: Trevor Hastie
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 545
Release: 2013-11-11
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0387216065

During the past decade there has been an explosion in computation and information technology. With it have come vast amounts of data in a variety of fields such as medicine, biology, finance, and marketing. The challenge of understanding these data has led to the development of new tools in the field of statistics, and spawned new areas such as data mining, machine learning, and bioinformatics. Many of these tools have common underpinnings but are often expressed with different terminology. This book describes the important ideas in these areas in a common conceptual framework. While the approach is statistical, the emphasis is on concepts rather than mathematics. Many examples are given, with a liberal use of color graphics. It should be a valuable resource for statisticians and anyone interested in data mining in science or industry. The book’s coverage is broad, from supervised learning (prediction) to unsupervised learning. The many topics include neural networks, support vector machines, classification trees and boosting---the first comprehensive treatment of this topic in any book. This major new edition features many topics not covered in the original, including graphical models, random forests, ensemble methods, least angle regression & path algorithms for the lasso, non-negative matrix factorization, and spectral clustering. There is also a chapter on methods for “wide” data (p bigger than n), including multiple testing and false discovery rates. Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and Jerome Friedman are professors of statistics at Stanford University. They are prominent researchers in this area: Hastie and Tibshirani developed generalized additive models and wrote a popular book of that title. Hastie co-developed much of the statistical modeling software and environment in R/S-PLUS and invented principal curves and surfaces. Tibshirani proposed the lasso and is co-author of the very successful An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Friedman is the co-inventor of many data-mining tools including CART, MARS, projection pursuit and gradient boosting.

Predictive Statistics

Predictive Statistics
Author: Bertrand S. Clarke
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 657
Release: 2018-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1107028280

A bold retooling of statistics to focus directly on predictive performance with traditional and contemporary data types and methodologies.

Probably Not

Probably Not
Author: Lawrence N. Dworsky
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 352
Release: 2019-09-04
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119518105

A revised edition that explores random numbers, probability, and statistical inference at an introductory mathematical level Written in an engaging and entertaining manner, the revised and updated second edition of Probably Not continues to offer an informative guide to probability and prediction. The expanded second edition contains problem and solution sets. In addition, the book’s illustrative examples reveal how we are living in a statistical world, what we can expect, what we really know based upon the information at hand and explains when we only think we know something. The author introduces the principles of probability and explains probability distribution functions. The book covers combined and conditional probabilities and contains a new section on Bayes Theorem and Bayesian Statistics, which features some simple examples including the Presecutor’s Paradox, and Bayesian vs. Frequentist thinking about statistics. New to this edition is a chapter on Benford’s Law that explores measuring the compliance and financial fraud detection using Benford’s Law. This book: Contains relevant mathematics and examples that demonstrate how to use the concepts presented Features a new chapter on Benford’s Law that explains why we find Benford’s law upheld in so many, but not all, natural situations Presents updated Life insurance tables Contains updates on the Gantt Chart example that further develops the discussion of random events Offers a companion site featuring solutions to the problem sets within the book Written for mathematics and statistics students and professionals, the updated edition of Probably Not: Future Prediction Using Probability and Statistical Inference, Second Edition combines the mathematics of probability with real-world examples. LAWRENCE N. DWORSKY, PhD, is a retired Vice President of the Technical Staff and Director of Motorola’s Components Research Laboratory in Schaumburg, Illinois, USA. He is the author of Introduction to Numerical Electrostatics Using MATLAB from Wiley.

Nonparametric Predictive Inference

Nonparametric Predictive Inference
Author: Frank Coolen
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2012-06-15
Genre:
ISBN: 9780470723340

This book will be the first on NPI and will provide an introduction to and overview of, the approach′s current state of the art. It will be a self-contained treatment of the subject, introducing it to readers, and leading them on to a more advanced and specialist understanding. The Author compares and contrasts NPI theory with classical statistical theory, pointing out the ways in which NPI can enhance current research in areas ranging from operations research to engineering and artificial intelligence. After the initial introductory chapter, the book provides a series of chapters outlining the use of NPI in specific settings, e.g. for real-valued random quantities or for multinomial data. This will be followed by chapters detailing further applications in statistics, providing examples such as NPI for statistical quality and process control, reliability and operations research, with a variety of examples such as maintenance and replacement problems, queuing situations and risk reliability inferences. The foundations and ideas behind NPI will be presented along with an examination and comparison of more traditional approaches of classical and Bayesian statistics, providing further insights into the advantages of NPI. Future directions and the accommodation of multivariate data will also be discussed.

Finite Population Sampling and Inference

Finite Population Sampling and Inference
Author: Richard Valliant
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
Total Pages: 546
Release: 2000-09-08
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN:

Complete coverage of the prediction approach to survey sampling in a single resource Prediction theory has been extremely influential in survey sampling for nearly three decades, yet research findings on this model-based approach are scattered in disparate areas of the statistical literature. Finite Population Sampling and Inference: A Prediction Approach presents for the first time a unified treatment of sample design and estimation for finite populations from a prediction point of view, providing readers with access to a wealth of theoretical results, including many new results and, a variety of practical applications. Geared to theoretical statisticians and practitioners alike, the book discusses all topics from the ground up and clearly explains the relation of the prediction approach to the traditional design-based randomization approach. Key features include: * Special emphasis on linking survey sampling to mainstream statistics through extensive use of general linear models * A liberal use of simulation studies, numerical examples, and exercises illustrating theoretical results * Numerous statistical graphics showing simulation results and properties of estimates * A library of S-Plus computer functions plus six real populations, available via ftp * Over 260 references to finite population sampling, linear models, and other relevant literature

Featherlight

Featherlight
Author: Peter Bunzl
Publisher: HarperCollins UK
Total Pages: 80
Release: 2021-04-01
Genre: Juvenile Fiction
ISBN: 1800900414

An unusual visitor brings light to the life of the lighthouse keeper’s daughter in a stunning new adventure from the award-winning author of the Cogheart series.