Portfolio Selection Under Partial Observation and Constant Relative Risk Aversion

Portfolio Selection Under Partial Observation and Constant Relative Risk Aversion
Author: Simon Brendle
Publisher:
Total Pages: 58
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper is concerned with an optimal investment problem under incomplete information for an investor with constant relative risk aversion. We assume that the investor can only observe the asset prices, but not their instantaneous returns. The instantaneous returns are modeled by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We first assume that the initial distribution is Gaussian. In this case, we analytically solve the Bellman equation, and identify the optimal investment strategy under incomplete information. We study the relationship between the value function under partial observation and the value function under full observation, and derive a formula for the economic value of information. Furthermore, we outline how the optimal strategy under partial observation can be computed from the optimal strategy for an investor with full observation.In market with only one risky asset, we are able to derive closed form expressions for the value functions under both partial and full observation. We also provide an explicit formula for the economic value of information.Finally, we point out how our results in the Gaussian case can be extended to general non-Gaussian initial distributions.

Portfolio Selection Under Partial Observation and Constant Absolute Risk Aversion

Portfolio Selection Under Partial Observation and Constant Absolute Risk Aversion
Author: Simon Brendle
Publisher:
Total Pages: 51
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we study an optimal investment problem under incomplete information for an investor with constant absolute risk aversion. We assume that the investor can only observe the asset prices, but not the instantaneous returns. We further assume that the instantaneous returns follow an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Gaussian initial distribution. We analytically solve the Bellman equation for this problem, and identify the optimal portfolio strategy under incomplete information. We explore the link between the value function under partial observation and the value function under full observation, and calculate the economic value of information. Furthermore, we discuss how the optimal strategy under partial observation is related to the optimal strategy for an investor with full observation. In the framework of a two asset model, we derive explicit formulas for the value functions under both partial and full observation. We also provide an explicit formula for the economic value of information. Finally, we compute the value function and the optimal portfolio strategy for general non-Gaussian prior distributions.

Optimal Control of Credit Risk

Optimal Control of Credit Risk
Author: Didier Cossin
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 105
Release: 2012-11-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1461513936

Optimal Control of Credit Risk presents an alternative methodology to deal with a financial problem that has not been well analyzed yet: the control of credit risk. Credit risk has become recently the center of interest of the financial community, with new instruments (such as Credit Risk Derivatives) and new methodologies (such as Credit Metrics) being developed. The recent literature has focused on the pricing of credit risk. On the other hand, practitioners tend to eliminate credit risk rather than price it. They do so via collateralization. The authors propose here a methodological basis for an optimal collateralization. The monograph is organized as follows: Chapter 1 reviews the main avenues of literature related to our problem; Chapter 2 provides a brief overview of the main optimal control principles; and Chapter 3 presents the models and their setting. In the remaining chapters, the authors propose two sets of programs. One set of programs will apply in cases where the information on the assets=value is readily available (full observation case), while the other applies when costly audits are needed in order to assess this value (partial observation case). In either case, the modeling stage leads to a set of quasi-variational inequalities which the authors attempt to solve numerically in the simpler case of full observations. This is done in Chapter 6. Finally a simulation analysis is carried out in Chapter 7, in which the authors study the influence on the control process of changes in the different model parameters. This precedes a discussion on possible extensions in Chapter 8 and some concluding remarks in Section 9.

Some Contributions of Bayesian and Computational Learning Methods to Portfolio Selection Problems

Some Contributions of Bayesian and Computational Learning Methods to Portfolio Selection Problems
Author: Johann Nicolle
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN:

The present thesis is a study of different optimal portfolio allocation problems in the case where the appreciation rate, named the drift, of the Brownian motion driving the dynamics of the assets is uncertain. We consider an investor having a belief on the drift in the form of a probability distribution, called a prior. The uncertainty about the drift is managed through a Bayesian learning approach which allows for the update of the drift's prior probability distribution. The thesis is divided into two self-contained parts; the first part being split into two chapters: the first develops the theory and the second contains a detailed application to actual market data. A third part constitutes an Appendix and details the data used in the applications. The first part of the thesis is dedicated to the multidimensional Markowitz portfolio selection problem in the case of drift uncertainty. This uncertainty is modeled via an arbitrary prior law which is updated using Bayesian filtering. We first embed the Bayesian-Markowitz problem into an auxiliary standard control problem for which dynamic programming is applied. Then, we show existence and uniqueness of a smooth solution to the related semi-linear partial differential equation (PDE). In the case of a Gaussian prior probability distribution, the multidimensional solution is explicitly computed. Additionally, we study the quantitative impact of learning from the progressively observed data, by comparing the strategy which updates the initial estimate of the drift, i.e. the learning strategy, to the one that keeps it constant, named the non-learning strategy. Ultimately, we analyze the sensitivity of the gain from learning, called value of information or informative value, with respect to different parameters. Next, we illustrate the theory with a detailed application of the previous results on actual market data. We emphasize the robustness of the value added of learning by comparing learning to non-learning optimal strategies in different investment universes: indices of various asset classes, currencies and smart beta strategies. The second part tackles a discrete-time portfolio optimization problem. Here, the goal of the investor is to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth of a portfolio of risky assets, assuming an uncertain drift and a maximum drawdown constraint. In this part, we formulate the problem in the general case, and we solve numerically the Gaussian case with the Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) type utility function via a deep learning resolution. Ultimately, we study the sensitivity of the strategy to the degree of uncertainty of the drift and, as a byproduct, give empirical evidence of the convergence of the non-learning strategy towards a no short-sale constrained Merton problem.

Portfolio Selection Using Multi-Objective Optimisation

Portfolio Selection Using Multi-Objective Optimisation
Author: Saurabh Agarwal
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 240
Release: 2017-08-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319544160

This book explores the risk-return paradox in portfolio selection by incorporating multi-objective criteria. Empirical research is presented on the development of alternate portfolio models and their relative performance in the risk/return framework to provide solutions to multi-objective optimization. Next to outlining techniques for undertaking individual investor’s profiling and portfolio programming, it also offers a new and practical approach for multi-objective portfolio optimization. This book will be of interest to Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), Mutual Funds, investors, and researchers and students in the field.

Measuring Risk Aversion

Measuring Risk Aversion
Author: Donald J. Meyer
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 112
Release: 2006
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 193301945X

Provides a detailed discussion of the adjustment of risk references and how to go about making such adjustments to a common scale. By adjusting all information to this common scale, results across studies can be easily summarized and compared, and the body of information concerning risk aversion can be examined as a whole

Portfolio Choice Problems

Portfolio Choice Problems
Author: Nicolas Chapados
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 107
Release: 2011-07-12
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1461405777

This brief offers a broad, yet concise, coverage of portfolio choice, containing both application-oriented and academic results, along with abundant pointers to the literature for further study. It cuts through many strands of the subject, presenting not only the classical results from financial economics but also approaches originating from information theory, machine learning and operations research. This compact treatment of the topic will be valuable to students entering the field, as well as practitioners looking for a broad coverage of the topic.

Economic and Financial Decisions under Risk

Economic and Financial Decisions under Risk
Author: Louis Eeckhoudt
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 245
Release: 2011-10-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400829216

An understanding of risk and how to deal with it is an essential part of modern economics. Whether liability litigation for pharmaceutical firms or an individual's having insufficient wealth to retire, risk is something that can be recognized, quantified, analyzed, treated--and incorporated into our decision-making processes. This book represents a concise summary of basic multiperiod decision-making under risk. Its detailed coverage of a broad range of topics is ideally suited for use in advanced undergraduate and introductory graduate courses either as a self-contained text, or the introductory chapters combined with a selection of later chapters can represent core reading in courses on macroeconomics, insurance, portfolio choice, or asset pricing. The authors start with the fundamentals of risk measurement and risk aversion. They then apply these concepts to insurance decisions and portfolio choice in a one-period model. After examining these decisions in their one-period setting, they devote most of the book to a multiperiod context, which adds the long-term perspective most risk management analyses require. Each chapter concludes with a discussion of the relevant literature and a set of problems. The book presents a thoroughly accessible introduction to risk, bridging the gap between the traditionally separate economics and finance literatures.

Portfolio Selection

Portfolio Selection
Author: Harry Markowitz
Publisher: Yale University Press
Total Pages: 369
Release: 2008-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0300013728

Embracing finance, economics, operations research, and computers, this book applies modern techniques of analysis and computation to find combinations of securities that best meet the needs of private or institutional investors.

Robust Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with State-Dependent Ambiguity Aversion and Risk Aversion

Robust Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with State-Dependent Ambiguity Aversion and Risk Aversion
Author: Bingyan Han
Publisher:
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper studies a class of robust mean-variance portfolio selection problems with state-dependent risk aversion. Model uncertainty, in the sense of considering alternative dominated models, is introduced to the problem to reflect the investor's ambiguity aversion. To characterize the robust portfolios, we consider closed-loop equilibrium control and spike variation approaches. Moreover, we show that the closed-loop equilibrium strategy exists and is unique under some technical conditions. That partially addresses the open problem left in Björk et al. (2017, Finance Stoch.) and Pun (2018, Automatica). By using the necessary and sufficient condition for the equilibrium, we manage to derive the analytical form of the equilibrium strategy via the unique solution to a nonlinear ordinary differential equation system. To validate the proposed closed-loop framework, we show that when there is no ambiguity, our equilibrium strategy is reduced to the strategy in Björk et al. (2014, Math. Finance), which cannot be deduced under the open-loop control framework.