Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education

Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education
Author: Nathan D. Grawe
Publisher: JHU Press
Total Pages: 189
Release: 2018
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1421424134

"The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"--

Higher Education in Minnesota

Higher Education in Minnesota
Author: Minnesota Commission on Higher Education
Publisher:
Total Pages: 446
Release: 1950
Genre: Education
ISBN:

Higher Education in Minnesota was first published in 1950.As a guidepost of comprehensive information on the status of post high-school education in Minnesota and its likely role in the future, this report provides a basis for constructive thinking by administrators, teachers, legislators, and others concerned with higher education, not only in Minnesota but in other sections of the country.Presented here is a summary of the findings and recommendations of the Minnesota Commission on Higher Education, created by action of the Minnesota State Legislature in 1947 to survey and report on the state's resources in this area of education. The Minnesota Commission has probed and evaluated all of higher education, synthesizing its own and other research into a detailed yet comprehensive picture that suggests necessary next steps.A practical, down-to-earth viewpoint is held throughout, and the recommendations are based on factual research. The colleges are studied in relation to the kinds of work Minnesota people do, their cultural backgrounds, the amount of money they have to spend, their social activities, their grade and high school educations, their responsibilities as citizens. In this way, higher education is considered, not as an abstraction, but as a social force affecting the kinds of people who live in Minnesota.The major divisions of the volume indicate its scope and realistic viewpoint: The Setting of Higher Education in Minnesota, The Student Potential for Higher Education, Junior College Education, Liberal Arts Education, Teacher Education, Education at the University of Minnesota, The Future of Higher Education in Minnesota.Chapters are by 23 different authors representing various types of colleges and agencies involved in the study.

Mismatch

Mismatch
Author: Richard Sander
Publisher: Basic Books
Total Pages: 370
Release: 2012-10-09
Genre: Law
ISBN: 0465030017

The debate over affirmative action has raged for over four decades, with little give on either side. Most agree that it began as noble effort to jump-start racial integration; many believe it devolved into a patently unfair system of quotas and concealment. Now, with the Supreme Court set to rule on a case that could sharply curtail the use of racial preferences in American universities, law professor Richard Sander and legal journalist Stuart Taylor offer a definitive account of what affirmative action has become, showing that while the objective is laudable, the effects have been anything but. Sander and Taylor have long admired affirmative action's original goals, but after many years of studying racial preferences, they have reached a controversial but undeniable conclusion: that preferences hurt underrepresented minorities far more than they help them. At the heart of affirmative action's failure is a simple phenomenon called mismatch. Using dramatic new data and numerous interviews with affected former students and university officials of color, the authors show how racial preferences often put students in competition with far better-prepared classmates, dooming many to fall so far behind that they can never catch up. Mismatch largely explains why, even though black applicants are more likely to enter college than whites with similar backgrounds, they are far less likely to finish; why there are so few black and Hispanic professionals with science and engineering degrees and doctorates; why black law graduates fail bar exams at four times the rate of whites; and why universities accept relatively affluent minorities over working class and poor people of all races. Sander and Taylor believe it is possible to achieve the goal of racial equality in higher education, but they argue that alternative policies -- such as full public disclosure of all preferential admission policies, a focused commitment to improving socioeconomic diversity on campuses, outreach to minority communities, and a renewed focus on K-12 schooling -- will go farther in achieving that goal than preferences, while also allowing applicants to make informed decisions. Bold, controversial, and deeply researched, Mismatch calls for a renewed examination of this most divisive of social programs -- and for reforms that will help realize the ultimate goal of racial equality.

The Toolbox Revisited

The Toolbox Revisited
Author: Clifford Adelman
Publisher:
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2006
Genre: Education
ISBN:

The Toolbox Revisited is a data essay that follows a nationally representative cohort of students from high school into postsecondary education, and asks what aspects of their formal schooling contribute to completing a bachelor's degree by their mid-20s. The universe of students is confined to those who attended a four-year college at any time, thus including students who started out in other types of institutions, particularly community colleges.

The Agile College

The Agile College
Author: Nathan D. Grawe
Publisher: JHU Press
Total Pages: 265
Release: 2021-01-12
Genre: Education
ISBN: 1421440245

Following Grawe's seminal first book, this volume answers the question: How can a college or university prepare for forecasted demographic disruptions? Demographic changes promise to reshape the market for higher education in the next 15 years. Colleges are already grappling with the consequences of declining family size due to low birth rates brought on by the Great Recession, as well as the continuing shift toward minority student populations. Each institution faces a distinct market context with unique organizational strengths; no one-size-fits-all answer could suffice. In this essential follow-up to Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe explores how proactive institutions are preparing for the resulting challenges that lie ahead. While it isn't possible to reverse the demographic tide, most institutions, he argues persuasively, can mitigate the effects. Drawing on interviews with higher education leaders, Grawe explores successful avenues of response, including • recruitment initiatives • retention programs • revisions to the academic and cocurricular program • institutional growth plans • retrenchment efforts • collaborative action Throughout, Grawe presents readers with examples taken from a range of institutions—small and large, public and private, two-year and four-year, selective and open-access. While an effective response to demographic change must reflect the individual campus context, the cases Grawe analyzes will prompt conversations about the best paths forward. The Agile College also extends projections for higher education demand. Using data from the High School Longitudinal Study, the book updates prior work by incorporating new information on college-going after the Great Recession and pushes forecasts into the mid-2030s. What's more, the analysis expands to examine additional aspects of the higher education market, such as dual enrollment, transfer students, and the role of immigration in college demand.