Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets
Author: Annie Duke
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 289
Release: 2019-05-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0735216371

A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

Quevedo and the Grotesque

Quevedo and the Grotesque
Author: James Iffland
Publisher: Tamesis
Total Pages: 298
Release: 1978
Genre: Literary Criticism
ISBN: 9780729301404

Quevedo and the grotesque / J. Iffland.-v.2

Pitman's Commercial Spanish Grammar

Pitman's Commercial Spanish Grammar
Author: C. A. Toledano
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Total Pages: 278
Release: 2015-12-02
Genre: Foreign Language Study
ISBN: 9781519636133

Excerpt from the Preface: "With the best intention of justifying Messrs. Pitman's confidence in entrusting me with the compilation of a Spanish Grammar to form part of the series of "Commercial Grammars," I set to work to produce a book which, while avoiding pedantry and the agglomeration of superfluous and intricate rules which puzzle the student, should equally avoid falling into the extreme of coarseness which debases the subject under study, or the scrappiness resulting in gaps that perplex and discourage him. I have tried to be brief and clear in the rules given."

A New American Picture

A New American Picture
Author: David Campany
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2012
Genre: Appropriation (Art)
ISBN: 9781597112192

Consists of images captured by Google Street View.

Breaking Out of Beginner's Spanish

Breaking Out of Beginner's Spanish
Author: Joseph J. Keenan
Publisher: University of Texas Press
Total Pages: 346
Release: 2010-01-01
Genre: Foreign Language Study
ISBN: 0292779836

Many language books are boring—this one is not. Written by a native English speaker who learned Spanish the hard way—by trying to talk to Spanish-speaking people—it offers English speakers with a basic knowledge of Spanish hundreds of tips for using the language more fluently and colloquially, with fewer obvious "gringo" errors. Writing with humor, common sense, and a minimum of jargon, Joseph Keenan covers everything from pronunciation, verb usage, and common grammatical mistakes to the subtleties of addressing other people, "trickster" words that look alike in both languages, inadvertent obscenities, and intentional swearing. He guides readers through the set phrases and idiomatic expressions that pepper the native speaker's conversation and provides a valuable introduction to the most widely used Spanish slang. With this book, both students in school and adult learners who never want to see another classroom can rapidly improve their speaking ability. Breaking Out of Beginner's Spanish will be an essential aid in passing the supreme language test-communicating fluently with native speakers.

The Decision to Drop the Atomic Bomb

The Decision to Drop the Atomic Bomb
Author: Dennis D. Wainstock
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2011
Genre: History
ISBN: 9781936274000

A clear and concise narrative of all the key elements of President Truman's most controversial decision leading to Japan's surrender.

How to Decide

How to Decide
Author: Annie Duke
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 290
Release: 2020-10-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0593418484

Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut. What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive? Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn: • To identify and dismantle hidden biases. • To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek. • To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions. • When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance. • To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values. Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.