Periodic Time Series Models
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Author | : Philip Hans Franses |
Publisher | : OUP Oxford |
Total Pages | : 166 |
Release | : 2004-03-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0191529265 |
This book considers periodic time series models for seasonal data, characterized by parameters that differ across the seasons, and focuses on their usefulness for out-of-sample forecasting. Providing an up-to-date survey of the recent developments in periodic time series, the book presents a large number of empirical results. The first part of the book deals with model selection, diagnostic checking and forecasting of univariate periodic autoregressive models. Tests for periodic integration, are discussed, and an extensive discussion of the role of deterministic regressors in testing for periodic integration and in forecasting is provided. The second part discusses multivariate periodic autoregressive models. It provides an overview of periodic cointegration models, as these are the most relevant. This overview contains single-equation type tests and a full-system approach based on generalized method of moments. All methods are illustrated with extensive examples, and the book will be of interest to advanced graduate students and researchers in econometrics, as well as practitioners looking for an understanding of how to approach seasonal data.
Author | : Subir Ghosh |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 864 |
Release | : 1999-02-18 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9780824700515 |
"Contains over 2500 equations and exhaustively covers not only nonparametrics but also parametric, semiparametric, frequentist, Bayesian, bootstrap, adaptive, univariate, and multivariate statistical methods, as well as practical uses of Markov chain models."
Author | : Rob J Hyndman |
Publisher | : OTexts |
Total Pages | : 380 |
Release | : 2018-05-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0987507117 |
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Author | : Helmut Lütkepohl |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 765 |
Release | : 2005-12-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3540277528 |
This is the new and totally revised edition of Lütkepohl’s classic 1991 work. It provides a detailed introduction to the main steps of analyzing multiple time series, model specification, estimation, model checking, and for using the models for economic analysis and forecasting. The book now includes new chapters on cointegration analysis, structural vector autoregressions, cointegrated VARMA processes and multivariate ARCH models. The book bridges the gap to the difficult technical literature on the topic. It is accessible to graduate students in business and economics. In addition, multiple time series courses in other fields such as statistics and engineering may be based on it.
Author | : Paul S.P. Cowpertwait |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 262 |
Release | : 2009-05-28 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 0387886982 |
This book gives you a step-by-step introduction to analysing time series using the open source software R. Each time series model is motivated with practical applications, and is defined in mathematical notation. Once the model has been introduced it is used to generate synthetic data, using R code, and these generated data are then used to estimate its parameters. This sequence enhances understanding of both the time series model and the R function used to fit the model to data. Finally, the model is used to analyse observed data taken from a practical application. By using R, the whole procedure can be reproduced by the reader. All the data sets used in the book are available on the website http://staff.elena.aut.ac.nz/Paul-Cowpertwait/ts/. The book is written for undergraduate students of mathematics, economics, business and finance, geography, engineering and related disciplines, and postgraduate students who may need to analyse time series as part of their taught programme or their research.
Author | : Jose D. Salas |
Publisher | : Water Resources Publication |
Total Pages | : 502 |
Release | : 1980 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9780918334374 |
Author | : Helmut Lütkepohl |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 556 |
Release | : 2013-04-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3662026910 |
Author | : William R. Bell |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 544 |
Release | : 2018-11-14 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1439846588 |
Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s
Author | : Steven Durlauf |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 417 |
Release | : 2016-04-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0230280838 |
Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.
Author | : Philip Hans Franses |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 421 |
Release | : 2014-04-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1139952129 |
With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online.