Option Strategies For Earnings Announcements
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| Author | : Ping Zhou |
| Publisher | : FT Press |
| Total Pages | : 258 |
| Release | : 2012-10-15 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0132947404 |
By trading on corporate earnings, investors can reliably profit in both up and down markets, while avoiding market risk for nearly the entire quarter. In this book, two leading traders and portfolio managers present specific, actionable techniques anyone can use to capture these sizable profits. Ping Zhou and John Shon have performed an unprecedented empirical analysis of thousands of stocks, reviewing tens of millions of data points associated with option prices, earnings announcement returns, and fundamentals. Their massive analysis has identified consistent opportunities associated with focusing on the magnitude of the market’s reaction to earnings, not its direction. Option Trading Set-Ups for Corporate Earnings News offers concrete guidance for improving the likelihood of making correct forecasts, and managing the risks of incorrect forecasts. It introduces several ways to exploit option trading opportunities around earnings news, discuss crucial issues that most retail investors haven’t considered, and explore aspects of earnings-related option trading that have never been empirically examined and documented before. For example, they identify hidden patterns and potential opportunities based on valuation, industry, volatility, analyst forecasts, seasonality, and trades that immediately follow earnings announcements. Simply put, trading on earnings reports offers immense profit opportunities, if you know how. This book provides incontrovertible facts and detailed strategies, not just theories and anecdotes!
| Author | : Brian Johnson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 256 |
| Release | : 2015-04-08 |
| Genre | : Investment analysis |
| ISBN | : 9780996182300 |
Exploiting Earnings Volatility introduces an innovative new framework for evaluating, optimizing, and trading option strategies to profit from earnings-related pricing anomalies. Leveraging his extensive background in option-pricing and decades of experience in investment management and trading, Brian Johnson developed this inventive approach specifically to design and manage option earnings strategies. In an Active Trader article titled "Modeling Implied Volatility," Mr. Johnson introduced a formula for aggregating discrete volatility measures into a single metric that can be used with conventional option pricing formulas to accurately model implied volatility before and after earnings announcements. The practical application of this formula has profound implications for option trading and strategy development. Exploiting Earnings Volatility is written in a clear, understandable fashion and explains how to use this novel approach to 1) solve for the expected level of earnings volatility implicitly priced in an option matrix, 2) calculate historical levels of realized and implied earnings volatility, 3) develop strategies to exploit divergences between the two, and 4) calculate expected future levels of implied volatility before and after earnings announcements. Furthermore, Exploiting Earnings Volatility also includes two Excel spreadsheets. The Basic spreadsheet employs minimal input data to estimate current and historical earnings volatility and utilizes those estimates to forecast future levels of implied volatility around earnings announcements. The Integrated spreadsheet includes a comprehensive volatility model that simultaneously integrates and quantifies every component of real-world implied volatility, including earnings volatility. This powerful tool allows the user to identify the precise level of over or undervaluation of every option in the matrix and to accurately forecast future option prices and option strategy profits and losses before and after earnings announcements. The Integrated spreadsheet even includes an optimization tool designed to identify the option strategy with the highest level of return per unit of risk. Written specifically for investors who have familiarity with options, this practical guide begins with a detailed review of volatility and an explanation of the aggregate implied volatility formula. A separate chapter provides a conceptual and mathematical explanation of "True Greeks," accurate measures of risk and return sensitivity that reflect the real-world behavior of options. New option Greeks that are specific to earnings announcements are also introduced. Four chapters explain how to use the Basic and Integrated spreadsheets and two chapters document trade examples that use actual market data and analytical results from both spreadsheets to design a unique option strategy to exploit earnings-related pricing and volatility anomalies. The final chapter examines practical considerations and prospective applications of these innovative new tools. This book introduces a new analytical framework that may sound complicated at first, but is really quite intuitive. The formulas presented in the book are limited to basic high-school algebra. Mathematical relationships are also explained intuitively and depicted graphically. Most important, you will not need to perform any of these calculations manually. Exploiting Earnings Volatility includes a link to Excel spreadsheets that perform all of the calculations described in the book. The unique price and volatility behavior of options before and after discrete earnings announcements is an enigma to most option traders, even to many professionals. The aggregate volatility formula is relatively simple, but it has profound implications. When integrated with a real-world volatility model, it offers unique insights into earnings volatility, price behavior, option strategy construction, and prospective value-added opportunities.
| Author | : John Shon |
| Publisher | : FT Press |
| Total Pages | : 225 |
| Release | : 2011-03-09 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0132615851 |
Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.
| Author | : Jeff Augen |
| Publisher | : FT Press |
| Total Pages | : 775 |
| Release | : 2012 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0133035360 |
Breakthrough option strategies from Jeff Augen: Three books packed with new tools and strategies for earning higher, more consistent profits and systematically controlling risk! In three remarkable books, Jeff Augen teaches you dozens of up-to-the-minute option trading strategies and techniques for earning powerful, consistent profits! The Option Trader's Workbook, Second Edition offers start-to-finish hands-on practice with every leading strategy, including the newest trading techniques. Through hundreds of realistic problems (each with fully explained solutions), you'll walk through trades designed to profit from changing prices, volatility, and time decay...plus new ways to use CBOE Weekly Options Expiration options, collars, covered calls, covered puts, ratio and variance trading, VIX options, volatility ETFs, and more...all without risking a dime! In Trading Options at Expiration: Strategies and Models for Winning the Endgame, Augen reveals new ways to structure positions that profit from predictable end-of-contract price distortions with remarkably low risk. Packed with brand-new statistical models, minute-by-minute pricing analyses, and optimized strategies, this book teaches you how to create trades that regularly deliver returns of 40%--300% with just two days of market exposure per month, or even less. Finally, in The Volatility Edge in Options Trading: New Technical Strategies for Investing in Unstable Markets, Augen introduces breakthrough strategies for identifying and profiting from subtle price distortions that arise from changes in market volatility. Drawing on more than a decade of never-before-published research, Augen shows option traders how to study historical price changes, mitigate risk, limit market exposure, and structure mathematically sound high-return positions. You'll even discover how to build your own customized, low-cost analytical toolset to transform these state-of-the-art strategies into practical buy/sell signals!
| Author | : Brian Johnson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 110 |
| Release | : 2016-11 |
| Genre | : Investment analysis |
| ISBN | : 9780996182317 |
Brian Johnson, a professional investment manager with many years of trading and teaching experience, is the author of two pioneering books on options: 1) Option Strategy Risk / Return Ratios: A Revolutionary New Approach to Optimizing, Adjusting, and Trading Any Option Income Strategy, and 2) Exploiting Earnings Volatility: An Innovative New Approach to Evaluating, Optimizing, and Trading Option Strategies to Profit from Earnings Announcements. His new in-depth (100+ page) article, Option Income Strategy Trade Filters, represents the culmination of years of research into developing a systematic framework for optimizing the timing of Option Income Strategy (OIS) trades. His research was based on the analysis of 15,434 OIS trades, each with a comprehensive set of objective, tradable entry and exit rules. The results for each of the 15,000 plus trades were scaled to a constant dollar amount at risk, to ensure all trades were equally-weighted when calculating the performance metrics. The back-test results were all based on actual option prices and are summarized in this article for a selection of back-testing filters, making this one of the most comprehensive studies of option income strategy results ever published. The results of over 100 different back-tests are provided. The OIS strategy back-test results for ten different types of filters are evaluated in this article, including unique filter combinations that delivered exceptional results. A custom market-edge hypothesis was created in advance for each filter type, which was then used to evaluate the filter-specific results. This critical step helped identify robust, exploitable relationships, rather than spurious correlations. Several of the resulting filters generated over 95% winning trades, with average returns of over six percent per trade (including losing trades). The ratios of cumulative gains to cumulative losses were over 20 to 1 for a few of the best performing filters. Option Income Strategy Trade Filters is written in a clear, understandable fashion and provides detailed examples of how to create and test market-edge hypotheses using the recent advances in back-testing software. Very few formulas were included. As a result, the material in the article should be accessible to all option traders. Useful for traders with a wide range of option trading experience, this practical guide begins with a detailed review of option income strategies, including basic examples that provide the requisite foundation for subsequent chapters. Portions of this crucial background material also appeared in Brian Johnson's first book: Option Strategy Risk / Return Ratios. Chapter 2 includes a comprehensive description of the option income strategy, position model, and trade plan used to generate the back-test data. Every entry and exit rule is explained in detail, including actual graphical examples. The performance metrics for the 15,434 unfiltered OIS trades are summarized at the end of this chapter, which provide a performance benchmark for evaluating the effectiveness of the trade filters introduced in the next three chapters. The trade filters are grouped by classification, with a chapter devoted to each class or type. The market-edge hypotheses and corresponding results for trend filters are analyzed in Chapter 3. Unlike trend filters, discriminating filters exclude an increasing percentage of trades as the filter condition or threshold becomes more extreme or restrictive. The discriminating filter market-edge hypotheses and results are analyzed in Chapter 4. Chapter 5 is devoted entirely to a very unique and powerful example of a discriminating filter: the OIS Universal Filter (OISUF). The final chapter examines practical considerations and prospective applications of trade filters and other resources in managing option income strategies in actual market conditions.
| Author | : Courtney Smith |
| Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
| Total Pages | : 321 |
| Release | : 2008-10-24 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0470370475 |
Updated and revised to include a decade of growth in the scope and complexity of options, Options Strategies: Profit-Making Techniques for Stock, Stock Index, and Commodity Options, 3rd Edition is a comprehensive guide to options trading strategies written in clear, non-technical language. In addition to insight into options issues like carrying changes, strike prices, commissions, interest rates, and break-even points, new chapters show how to predict the direction of implied volatility. Accessible examples, charts, and graphs will help you obtain the information you need to succeed in the high-risk, high-profit world of options.
| Author | : Tim Morris |
| Publisher | : ZML Corp LLC |
| Total Pages | : 130 |
| Release | : |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : |
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Ready to Learn How to Trade Options? ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ You asked and I listened! The new 2nd Edition has been completely revised from top to bottom. Included are two new chapters, detailed charts and examples, and even a bonus chapter with my favorite options strategies! If you're reading this right now, you're considering learning about options. What are options? Are they better than stocks? Are they hard to use? In this book, author Tim Morris takes your hand and becomes your mentor, teaching you everything you need to know about options. Here is what's included: ► Chapter 1: What Are Options - This first chapter provides a broad overview of the option world, easing into the subject and building on ideas as readers progress. Tim goes over what exactly options are, how they work, and the reasons to include them in your portfolio versus stocks alone. This chapter covers all subjects you'll need to know which include calls, puts, strike prices, expiration dates, volatility, Greeks, and more. You'll also learn how to gain access to a free, practice account to trade with virtual money as you familiarize yourself with options. ► Chapter 2: Basic Option Strategies - In chapter two, Tim dives into how to start using options, going over basic strategies such as buying and selling calls and puts, as well as rolling options. Here readers implement the concepts they learned in the first chapter with real option trades. ► Chapter 3: Advanced Options Strategies - Have a better understanding of how option trades work, readers now get into advanced strategies that involve buying/selling two options simultaneously. These strategies, which help to limit risk versus buying/selling one option alone, include include credit-spreads, debit-spreads, strangles, and straddles. ► Chapter 4: Most Advanced Option Strategies - This fourth chapter goes over the most advanced options strategies you can implement, involving as many as four simultaneous option orders. Trades such as iron-condors, butterflies, and calendar spreads are laid out for readers in clear and concise terms, with examples and diagrams to help make a complicated subject easy to understand. ► Bonus Chapter: Tim's Favorite Option Strategies - In this bonus chapter, Tim goes over the option trade he feels are the most beneficial for readers to implement in their own portfolios. He explains what textbooks leave out, and the reasons some option trades result in much better results than others. He also provides real world examples of the strategies he discusses using common stocks from the S&P 500. ━═━═━═━═━═━═━ As a complimentary bonus, only for book buyers, you'll receive Tim's special report titled Crush the Market! This special report is packed with 18 incredibly beneficial tips to help you profit in the stock market! This report is not available to the general public or anywhere else. It exists solely as a "thank you" to buyers of this book. ━═━═━═━═━═━═━ When you're done reading How to Trade Options, you'll have a clear understanding of how options work and will be ready to start using a variety of option strategies in your own portfolio. You'll be aware of the advantages and disadvantages of using options, and why they can be so helpful in a trader's portfolio versus stocks alone. Tim even includes his personal email in the book in the case you have more questions when you're done reading. If you've been wanting to learn about options, now is your chance! Click the Buy Now button at the top of the page to get started right now!
| Author | : Thomas K. Carr |
| Publisher | : McGraw Hill Professional |
| Total Pages | : 30 |
| Release | : 2007-12-06 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 007173094X |
The following is a chapter from Trend Trading for a Living. In it, author and founder of Befriend the Trend Trading, Dr. Thomas Carr gives you all the technical skills, market-trend knowledge, and trading confidence you need to "trade for a living." A self-made trader himself, Carr walks you through every step of the process, from selecting the right online broker and choosing the best supporting software to "eyeballing" real setups on stock charts and leveraging your portfolio with options.
| Author | : Michael Hanania Benklifa |
| Publisher | : Pearson Education |
| Total Pages | : 204 |
| Release | : 2013 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0133065308 |
The world's fastest growing trading markets are options markets. Options offer a world of opportunities that are simply unavailable to the stock trader. Trading stocks is like owning a "hammer," but trading options is like owning the whole toolbox. Why, then, do so many investors lose money in options? They lose because they trade options the way they've always traded stocks. To succeed, you must understand options the way professional options traders do. This book will help you do precisely that. When stock traders look at price, they see information. Options traders see probability, time, volatility -- and perhaps even a lack of information. Stock trading is about having more information than the other guy. Options trading can be about exploiting the lack of information. Stock trades have a 50% chance of success: stocks go up or they don't. Options trades can be structured for 90% probability of success. The very nature of trading is transformed by these radically different dynamics. Michael Hanania Benklifa reveals those dynamics and shows exactly how to take full advantage of them. Benklifa manages millions of dollars in options trades through his own firm. Here, he reveals how he approaches these trades, offering practical, concise and actionable insights based on actual scenarios. If you've struggled to profit from options... if you're intrigued by options, but hesitant... if you're succeeding with options but want to do better... this is the book you've been searching for.
| Author | : Jeff Augen |
| Publisher | : FT Press |
| Total Pages | : 180 |
| Release | : 2009-03-04 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 0137013515 |
Equity and index options expire on the third Friday of each month. As that moment approaches, unusual market forces create option price distortions, rarely understood by most investors. These distortions give rise to outstanding trading opportunities with enormous profit potential. In Trading Options at Expiration: Strategies and Models for Winning the Endgame, leading options trader Jeff Augen explores this extraordinary opportunity with never-before published statistical models, minute-by-minute pricing analysis, and optimized trading strategies that regularly deliver returns of 40%-300% per trade. You’ll learn how to structure positions that profit from end-of-contract price distortions with remarkably low risk. These strategies don’t rely on your ability to pick stocks or predict market direction and they only require one or two days of market exposure per month. Augen also discusses: · Three powerful end-of-cycle effects not comprehended by contemporary pricing models · Trading only one or two days each month and avoiding overnight exposure · Leveraging the surprising power of expiration-day pricing dynamics If you’re looking for an innovative new way to reignite your returns no matter where the markets move, you’ve found it in Trading Options at Expiration. “Learn and profit from Jeff Augen’s book: It clearly explains how to take advantage of market inefficiencies in collapsing implied volatility, effects of strike price, and time decay. A must-read for individuals who are options oriented.” --Ralph J. Acampora, CMT, Director of Technical Analysis Studies, New York Institute of Finance “A fantastic, insightful book full of meticulously compiled statistics about anomalies that surround option expiration. Not only does Augen present a set of effective trading strategies to capitalize on these anomalies, he walks through the performance of each across several expirations. His advice is practical and readily applicable: He outlines common pitfalls, gives guidance on timing your executions, and even includes code that can be used to perform the same calculations he does in the text. A thoroughly enjoyable read that will give you a true edge in your option trading.” --Alexis Goldstein, Vice President, Equity Derivatives Business Analyst “Mr. Augen makes a careful and systematic study of option prices at expiration. His translation of price behavior into trading strategy is intriguing work, and the level of detail is impressive.” --Dr. Robert Jennings, Professor of Finance, Indiana University Kelly School of Business “This book fills a gap in the vast amount of literature on derivatives trading and stands out for being extremely well written, clear, concise, and very low on jargon--perfect for traders looking to evolve their equity option strategies.” --Nazzaro Angelini, Principal, Spearpoint Capital “Instead of considering macro-time strategies that take weeks to unfold, Jeff Augen is thinking micro here--hours or days--specifically the days or hours right before expiration, and harnessing grinding, remorseless options decay for profit. He builds a compelling case for the strategy here. The concept of using ratio spreads plus risk management for as brief a period as one day--open to close--to capture expiring premium is worth the price of admission alone. A superb follow-up to his first book. Must-read for the serious options student.” --John A. Sarkett, Option Wizard software
