Option Pricing and Hedging for Discrete Time Regime-Switching Models

Option Pricing and Hedging for Discrete Time Regime-Switching Models
Author: Bruno Remillard
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

We propose optimal mean-variance dynamic hedging strategies in discrete time under a multivariate Gaussian regime-switching model. The methodology, which also performs pricing, is robust to time-varying and clustering risk observed in financial time series. As such, it overcomes the main theoretical drawbacks of the Black-Scholes model. To support our approach, we provide univariate pricing results for monthly S&P 500 vanilla options. Then, we present the associated out-of-sample hedging results in the context of harvesting the implied versus realized volatility premium. Using the proposed methodology, the Sharpe ratio derived from the strategy doubles over the classical Black-Scholes delta-hedging methodology.

Option Pricing and Hedging Analysis Under Regime-switching Models

Option Pricing and Hedging Analysis Under Regime-switching Models
Author: Chao Qiu
Publisher:
Total Pages: 181
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

This thesis explores option pricing and hedging in a discrete time regime-switching environment. If the regime risk cannot be hedged away, then we cannot ignore this risk and use the Black-Scholes pricing and hedging framework to generate a unique pricing and hedging measure. We develop a risk neutral pricing measure by applying an Esscher Transform to the real world asset price process, with the focus on the issue of incompleteness of the market. The Esscher transform turns out to be a convenient and effective tool for option pricing under the discrete time regime switching models. We apply the pricing measure to both single variate European options and multivariate options. To better understand the effect of the pricing method, we also compared the results with those generated from two other risk neutral methods: the Black-Scholes model, and the natural equivalent martingale method. We further investigate the difference in hedging associated with different pricing measures. This is of interest when the choice of pricing method is uncertain under regime switching models. We compare four hedging strategies: delta hedging for the three risk neutral pricing methods under study, and mean variance hedging. We also develop a more general tool of tail ordering for hedging analysis in a general incomplete market with the uncertainty of the risk neutral measures. As a result of the analysis, we propose that pricing and hedging using the Esscher transform may be an effective strategy for a market where the regime switching process brings uncertainty.

Valuing Options in a Discrete Time Regime Switching Model with Jumps

Valuing Options in a Discrete Time Regime Switching Model with Jumps
Author: Evgenia V. Chunikhina
Publisher:
Total Pages: 72
Release: 2014
Genre: Derivative securities
ISBN:

In this work, we provide a detailed analysis of a discrete time regime switching financial market model with jumps. We consider the model under two different scenarios: known and unknown initial regime. For each scenario we investigated conditions that guarantee the model's completeness. We find that the model under consideration is arbitrage-free and complete if the initial regime is known and the jump size satisfies specific condition. Formulae for a unique risk-neutral measure and arbitrage-free pricing of derivative securities are provided. Several numerical examples illustrate no-arbitrage approach to pricing of derivative securities. In the case of incomplete model the Esscher transform is considered to obtain one specific pricing measure. In particular, we show that the Esscher transformed prices are continuously differentiable as a function of the parameters at the interface of incompleteness and completeness.

Numerical Methods in Finance

Numerical Methods in Finance
Author: René Carmona
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 478
Release: 2012-03-23
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3642257461

Numerical methods in finance have emerged as a vital field at the crossroads of probability theory, finance and numerical analysis. Based on presentations given at the workshop Numerical Methods in Finance held at the INRIA Bordeaux (France) on June 1-2, 2010, this book provides an overview of the major new advances in the numerical treatment of instruments with American exercises. Naturally it covers the most recent research on the mathematical theory and the practical applications of optimal stopping problems as they relate to financial applications. By extension, it also provides an original treatment of Monte Carlo methods for the recursive computation of conditional expectations and solutions of BSDEs and generalized multiple optimal stopping problems and their applications to the valuation of energy derivatives and assets. The articles were carefully written in a pedagogical style and a reasonably self-contained manner. The book is geared toward quantitative analysts, probabilists, and applied mathematicians interested in financial applications.

Option Pricing and Hedging for Regime-Switching Geometric Brownian Motion Models

Option Pricing and Hedging for Regime-Switching Geometric Brownian Motion Models
Author: Bruno Remillard
Publisher:
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new measure, the Markov chain driving the regimes is no longer homogeneous, which differs from the equivalent martingale measures usually proposed in the literature. We show the solution minimizes the mean-variance hedging error under the objective measure. As argued by Schweizer (1996), the variance-optimal equivalent measure naturally extends canonical option pricing results to the case of an incomplete market and the expectation under the proposed measure may be interpreted as an option price. Solutions for the option value and the optimal hedging strategy are easily obtained from Monte Carlo simulations. Two applications are considered.

Innovations In Insurance, Risk- And Asset Management - Proceedings Of The Innovations In Insurance, Risk- And Asset Management Conference

Innovations In Insurance, Risk- And Asset Management - Proceedings Of The Innovations In Insurance, Risk- And Asset Management Conference
Author: Kathrin Glau
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 468
Release: 2018-09-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9813272570

This book covers recent developments in the interdisciplinary fields of actuarial science, quantitative finance, risk- and asset management. The authors are leading experts from academia and practice who participated in Innovations in Insurance, Risk- and Asset Management, an international conference held at the Technical University of Munich in 2017.The topics covered include the mathematics of extreme risks, systemic risk, model uncertainty, interest rate and hybrid models, alternative investments, dynamic investment strategies, quantitative risk management, asset liability management, liability driven investments, and behavioral finance.This timely selection of topics is highly relevant for the financial industry and addresses current issues both from an academic as well as from a practitioner's point of view.

Options Pricing and Hedging in a Regime-Switching Volatility Model

Options Pricing and Hedging in a Regime-Switching Volatility Model
Author: Melissa Anne Mielkie
Publisher:
Total Pages: 320
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

Both deterministic and stochastic volatility models have been used to price and hedge options. Observation of real market data suggests that volatility, while stochastic, is well modelled as alternating between two states. Under this two-state regime-switching framework, we derive coupled pricing partial differential equations (PDEs) with the inclusion of a state-dependent market price of volatility risk (MPVR) term. Since there is no closed-form solution for this pricing problem, we apply and compare two approaches to solving the coupled PDEs, assuming constant Poisson intensities. First we solve the problem using numerical solution techniques, through the application of the Crank- Nicolson numerical scheme. We also obtain approximate solutions in terms of known Black- Scholes formulae by reformulating our problem and applying the Cauchy-Kowalevski PDE theorem. Both our pricing equations and our approximate solutions give way to the analysis of the impact of our state-dependent MPVR on theoretical option prices. Using financially intuitive constraints on our option prices and Deltas, we prove the necessity of a negative MPVR. An exploration of the regime-switching option prices and their implied volatilities is given, as well as numerical results and intuition supporting our mathematical proofs. Given our regime-switching framework, there are several different hedging strategies to investigate. We consider using an option to hedge against a potential regime shift. Some practical problems arise with this approach, which lead us to set up portfolios containing a basket of two hedging options. To be more precise, we consider the effects of an option going too far in- and out-of-the-money on our hedging strategy, and introduce limits on the magnitude of such hedging option positions. A complementary approach, where constant volatility is assumed and investor's risk preferences are taken into account, is also analysed. Analysis of empirical data supports the hypothesis that volatility levels are a effected by upcoming financial events. Finally, we present an extension of our regime-switching framework with deterministic Poisson intensities. In particular, we investigate the impact of time and stock varying Poisson intensities on option prices and their corresponding implied volatilities, using numerical solution techniques. A discussion of some event-driven hedging strategies is given.

The Best of Wilmott 1

The Best of Wilmott 1
Author: Paul Wilmott
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 458
Release: 2005-07-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 047002352X

November 11th 2003 saw a landmark event take place in London. As the first conference designed for quants by quants the Quantitative Finance Review 2003, moved away from the anonymous bazaars that have become the norm, and instead delivered valuable information to market practitioners with the greatest interest. The roster of speakers was phenomenal, ranging from founding fathers to bright young things, discussing the latest developments, with a specific emphasis on the burgeoning field of credit derivatives. You really had to be there. Until now, at least. The Best of Wilmott 1: Including the latest research from Quantitative Finance Review 2003 contains these first-class articles, originally presented at the QFR 2003, along with a collection of selected technical papers from Wilmott magazine. In publishing this book we hope to share some of the great insights that, until now, only delegates at QFR 2003 were privy to, and give you some idea why Wilmott magazine is the most talked about periodical in the market. Including articles from luminaries such as Ed Thorp, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Philipp Schoenbucher, Pat Hagan, Ephraim Clark, Marc Potters, Peter Jaeckel and Paul Wilmott, this collection is a must for anyone working in the field of quantitative finance. The articles cover a wide range of topics: * Psychology in Financial Markets * Measuring Country Risk as Implied Volatility * The Equity-to-Credit Problem * Introducing Variety in Risk Management * The Art and Science of Curve Building * Next Generation Models for Convertible Bonds with Credit Risk * Stochastic Volatility and Mean-variance Analysis * Cliquet Options and Volatility Models And as they say at the end of (most) Bond movies The Best of Wilmott... will return on an annual basis.