Optimal Forecasts In The Presence Of Discrete Structural Breaks Under Long Memory
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Author | : Kenneth Train |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 399 |
Release | : 2009-07-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0521766559 |
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.
Author | : Chris Chatfield |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 281 |
Release | : 2000-10-25 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1420036203 |
From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Author | : Gilles Zumbach |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 326 |
Release | : 2012-09-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3642317413 |
This book surveys empirical properties of financial time series, discusses their mathematical basis, and describes uses in risk evaluation, option pricing or portfolio construction. The author introduces and assesses a range of processes against the benchmark.
Author | : Pierre Perron |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2018 |
Genre | : Econometrics |
ISBN | : 9789813237896 |
Part I. Unit roots and trend breaks -- Part II. Structural change
Author | : Francis X. Diebold |
Publisher | : South-Western Pub |
Total Pages | : 366 |
Release | : 2007 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780324359046 |
ELEMENTARY FORECASTING focuses on the core techniques of widest applicability. The author illustrates all methods with detailed real-world applications, many of them international in flavor, designed to mimic typical forecasting situations.
Author | : Riccardo Rebonato |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 864 |
Release | : 2005-07-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0470091401 |
In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 420 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : Business cycles |
ISBN | : |
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 1852 |
Release | : 2005 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : |
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 236 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : Business cycles |
ISBN | : |
Author | : American Mathematical Society |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 784 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : |