Optimal Decisions
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Author | : Sanjay Jain |
Publisher | : Greenleaf Book Group |
Total Pages | : 246 |
Release | : 2014-02-03 |
Genre | : Philosophy |
ISBN | : 1608325830 |
A program for making the most out of the present and future. The biggest challenge is figuring out how to make decisions that improve your overall quality of life. Dr. Sanjay Jain introduces Integrative Decision Making, an approach that focuses on the big picture and teaches you how to make decisions to receive the highest return on investment in life.
Author | : Oskar Lange |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 303 |
Release | : 2014-05-17 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1483148963 |
Optimal Decisions: Principles of Programming deals with all important problems related to programming. This book provides a general interpretation of the theory of programming based on the application of the Lagrange multipliers, followed by a presentation of the marginal and linear programming as special cases of this general theory. The praxeological interpretation of the method of Lagrange multipliers is also discussed. This text covers the Koopmans' model of transportation, geometric interpretation of the programming problem, and nature of activity analysis. The solution of the problem by marginal analysis, Hurwitz and the Bayes-Laplace principles, and planning of production under uncertainty are likewise deliberated. This publication is a good source for researchers and specialists intending to acquire knowledge of the principles of programming.
Author | : Irfan Ali |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 434 |
Release | : 2021-11-29 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1000404722 |
The book provides insights in the decision-making for implementing strategies in various spheres of real-world issues. It integrates optimal policies in various decisionmaking problems and serves as a reference for researchers and industrial practitioners. Furthermore, the book provides sound knowledge of modelling of real-world problems and solution procedure using the various optimisation and statistical techniques for making optimal decisions. The book is meant for teachers, students, researchers and industrialists who are working in the field of materials science, especially operations research and applied statistics.
Author | : J.K. Sengupta |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 166 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3642877206 |
The theory of optimal decisions in a stochastic environment has seen many new developments in recent years. The implications of such theory for empirical and policy applications are several. This book attempts to analyze some of the impor tant applied aspects of this theory and its recent developments. The stochastic environment is considered here in specific form, e.g., (a) linear programs (LP) with parameters subject to a probabilistic mechanism, (b) decision models with risk aversion, (c) resource allocation in a team, and (d) national economic planning. The book attempts to provide new research insights into several areas, e.g., (a) mixed strategy solutions and econometric tests of hypotheses of LP models, (b) the dual problems of efficient estimation and optimal regulation, (c) input-output planning under imperfect competition, and (d) linear programs viewed as constrained statistical games. Methods of optimal decision rules developed here for quadratic and linear decision problems are applicable in three broad areas: (a) applied economic models in resource allocation, planning and team decision, (b) operations research models in management decisions involving portfolio analysis and stochastic programming, and (c) systems science models in stochastic control and adaptive behavior. Some results reported here have been published in professional journals be-. fore, and I would like to thank the following journals in particular: Inter national Journal of Systems Science, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applica tions and Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications.
Author | : Svetlana Boyarchenko |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 292 |
Release | : 2007-08-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3540737464 |
Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems. The monograph will teach the reader to apply the technique to many problems in economics and finance, including new ones. From the technical point of view, the method can be characterized as option pricing via the Wiener-Hopf factorization.
Author | : Roman Krzysztofowicz |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 581 |
Release | : 2025-02-03 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 139422186X |
Account for uncertainties and optimize decision-making with this thorough exposition Decision theory is a body of thought and research seeking to apply a mathematical-logical framework to assessing probability and optimizing decision-making. It has developed robust tools for addressing all major challenges to decision making. Yet the number of variables and uncertainties affecting each decision outcome, many of them beyond the decider's control, mean that decision-making is far from a “solved problem”. The tools created by decision theory remain to be refined and applied to decisions in which uncertainties are prominent. Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions introduces a theoretically-grounded methodology for optimizing decision-making under conditions of uncertainty. Beginning with an overview of the basic elements of probability theory and methods for modeling continuous variates, it proceeds to survey the mathematics of both continuous and discrete models, supporting each with key examples. The result is a crucial window into the complex but enormously rewarding world of decision theory. Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions readers will also find: Extended case studies supported with real-world data Mini-projects running through multiple chapters to illustrate different stages of the decision-making process End of chapter exercises designed to facilitate student learning Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions is ideal for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in the sciences and engineering, as well as predictive analytics and decision analytics professionals.
Author | : Timothy Yen |
Publisher | : Lioncrest Publishing |
Total Pages | : 252 |
Release | : 2021-01-05 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9781544518190 |
Have you ever faced a challenge or decision that felt so overwhelming you had no idea where to start? Choose Better provides a systematic approach to solving any problem, no matter how difficult. Designed by Dr. Timothy Yen, this series of questions will lead you step-by-step out of that state of indecision and into vibrant, confident action. In times of stress, it's easy to feel impossibly stuck. Not to mention isolated and alone. Developed across hundreds of individual case studies and thousands of clinical hours, Choose Better can help you find your best path forward no matter what life throws at you. Identify your deepest motivations, clarify your values, understand the needs of others, and work through any resistance to make transformational, life-affirming decisions-even under the greatest adversity. Stop leaving your happiness and well-being to chance. Improve your relationships, at work and at home, while remaining true to your authentic self. Learn how to make the right decisions every time-with vision, clarity, and direction-and start claiming your best life.
Author | : Barry Schwartz |
Publisher | : Harper Collins |
Total Pages | : 308 |
Release | : 2009-10-13 |
Genre | : Psychology |
ISBN | : 0061748994 |
Whether we're buying a pair of jeans, ordering a cup of coffee, selecting a long-distance carrier, applying to college, choosing a doctor, or setting up a 401(k), everyday decisions—both big and small—have become increasingly complex due to the overwhelming abundance of choice with which we are presented. As Americans, we assume that more choice means better options and greater satisfaction. But beware of excessive choice: choice overload can make you question the decisions you make before you even make them, it can set you up for unrealistically high expectations, and it can make you blame yourself for any and all failures. In the long run, this can lead to decision-making paralysis, anxiety, and perpetual stress. And, in a culture that tells us that there is no excuse for falling short of perfection when your options are limitless, too much choice can lead to clinical depression. In The Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz explains at what point choice—the hallmark of individual freedom and self-determination that we so cherish—becomes detrimental to our psychological and emotional well-being. In accessible, engaging, and anecdotal prose, Schwartz shows how the dramatic explosion in choice—from the mundane to the profound challenges of balancing career, family, and individual needs—has paradoxically become a problem instead of a solution. Schwartz also shows how our obsession with choice encourages us to seek that which makes us feel worse. By synthesizing current research in the social sciences, Schwartz makes the counter intuitive case that eliminating choices can greatly reduce the stress, anxiety, and busyness of our lives. He offers eleven practical steps on how to limit choices to a manageable number, have the discipline to focus on those that are important and ignore the rest, and ultimately derive greater satisfaction from the choices you have to make.
Author | : Norbert Schmitz |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 230 |
Release | : 1992-10-28 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : |
This volume is concerned with statistical procedures where the data are collected in sequentially designed groups. The basic premise here is that the expected total sample size is not always the appropriate criterion for evaluating statistical procedures, especially for nonlinear sampling costs (e.g. additive fixed costs) and in clinical trials. In fact, this criterion seems to have been a hindrance to the practical use of Wald's sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) despite its well-known optimum properties. This volume systematically develops decision procedures which retain the possibility of early stopping and remove some of the disadvantages of one-at-a-time sampling. In particular, for generalizations of the SPRT algorithms, methods for computing characteristics (such as operating characteristics or power functions, expected sampling costs, etc.) are developed and implemented. The procedures turn out to be optimal in a Bayesian sense as well as for problems with side conditions (e.g. specified bounds on error probabilities or expected sampling costs). A theory of optimal sampling is developed in order to prove the various properties of the procedures.
Author | : Richard Quandt |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 352 |
Release | : 2019-09-03 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1000308375 |
Much research into the economics of socialist planned economies has emphasized macroeconomic issues central to setting and meeting macroeconomic goals, and research on the theory of the firm in capitalist economies is not generally relevant to socialist economies. In this volume, leading economists from both East and West fill the gap in the literature by examining in critical detail many different aspects of the microeconomics of the firm in socialist economies.