Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model
Author: V. V. Chari
Publisher:
Total Pages: 66
Release: 1993
Genre: Business cycles
ISBN:

This paper develops the quantitative implications of optimal fiscal policy in a business cycle model. In a stationary equilibrium the ex ante tax rate on capital income is approximately zero. There is an equivalence class of ex post capital income tax rates and bond policies that support a given allocation. Within this class the optimal ex post capital tax rates can range from being close to i.i.d. to being close to a random walk. The tax rate on labor income fluctuates very little and inherits the persistence properties of the exogenous shocks and thus there is no presumption that optimal labor tax rates follow a random walk. The welfare gains from smoothing labor tax rates and making ex ante capital income tax rates zero are small and most of the welfare gains come from an initial period of high taxation on capital income.

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Nominal and Indexed Debt

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Nominal and Indexed Debt
Author: Michael T. Gapen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2003-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451875371

This paper highlights the importance of debt composition in setting optimal fiscal and monetary policy over short-run business cycles and in the long run. Nominal debt as state-contingent debt can be a significant policy tool to reduce the volatility of distortionary government policy, thereby reducing macroeconomic volatility while increasing equilibrium output and consumption. The welfare gain from using nominal debt to hedge against shocks to the government budget is as large as the welfare gain from the ability to issue debt.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005
Author: Kenneth S. Rogoff
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 479
Release: 2006-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262072726

The 20th NBER Macroeconomics Annual, covering questions at the cutting edge of macroeconomics that are central to current policy debates.

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model with Public Capital

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model with Public Capital
Author: Kevin J. Lansing
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1998
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper extends the real business cycle model with fiscal policy to allow for endogenous government expenditures and taxes. Fiscal policy in the model is determined by a government that seeks to maximize the welfare of a representative household under the assumption of commitment. On the revenue side, the government chooses an optimal program of distortionary taxes and borrowing in a dynamic version of the Ramsey (1927) optimal tax problem. On the expenditure side, government spending is disaggregated into an investment component that is productive and a consumption component that yields current period utility. The objective is to study the model's predictions for the behavior of the policy variables themselves. In particular, I try to account for the following empirical observations based on detrended post-war U.S. data: 1. Investment in the public-sector is less variable than private-sector investment. 2. Public consumption is more variable than private consumption. 3. The components of public-sector expenditures exhibit low correlations with output, in contrast to the highly procyclical nature of their private-sector counterparts. 4. The tax rate on capital income appears to be more variable than the tax rate on labor income. 5. Tax rates are weakly correlated with output. 6. The government debt-to-output ratio has a high standard deviation relative to output. 7. The government debt ratio exhibits a weak negative correlation with output. I find that a version of the model with multiple stochastic shocks (to technology and preferences) can broadly account for observations 1, 2, 4, 6, and 7. The model partially captures observation 3 but not observation 5.

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Under Sticky Prices

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Under Sticky Prices
Author: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé
Publisher:
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2001
Genre: Fiscal policy
ISBN:

This paper studies optimal .scal and monetary policy under sticky product prices. The theoretical framework is a stochastic production economy without capital. The government finances an exogenous stream of purchases by levying distortionary income taxes, printing money, and issuing one-period nominally risk-free bonds. The main findings of the paper are: First, for a miniscule degree of price stickiness (i.e., many times below available empirical estimates)the optimal volatility of in.ation is near zero. This result stands in stark contrast with the high volatility of inflation implied by the Ramsey allocation when prices are flexible. The finding is in line with a recent body of work on optimal monetary policy under nominal rigidities that ignores the role of optimal fiscal policy. Second, even small deviations from full price flexibility induce near random walk behavior in government debt and tax rates, as in economies with real non-state-contingent debt only. Finally, sluggish price adjustment raises the average nominal interest rate above the one called for by the Friedman rule.

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Nominal and Indexed Debt

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Nominal and Indexed Debt
Author: Thomas F. Cosimano
Publisher:
Total Pages: 39
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper highlights the importance of debt composition in setting optimal fiscal and monetary policy over short-run business cycles and in the long run. Nominal debt as state-contingent debt can be a significant policy tool to reduce the volatility of distortionary government policy, thereby reducing macroeconomic volatility while increasing equilibrium output and consumption. The welfare gain from using nominal debt to hedge against shocks to the government budget is as large as the welfare gain from the ability to issue debt.

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity
Author: Richard Hemming
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 62
Release: 2002-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.

Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth

Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 257
Release: 2015-04-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498344658

This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.