The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Validity in Today's Markets

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Validity in Today's Markets
Author: Stefan Palan
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 75
Release: 2004-12-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638333523

Thesis (M.A.) from the year 2004 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1 (A), University of Graz (Institute für Industrial Economics), language: English, abstract: This Master Thesis gives an overview of the research into the efficient market hypothesis from its first days in the 1950s to the present. The discussion of theoretical models and concepts is being complemented by a review of relevant empirical evidence from international capital markets. The thesis is completed by a brief outlook on newer research venues, including models employing behavioural finance approaches.

Efficient Market Hypothesis

Efficient Market Hypothesis
Author: Mario Chinas
Publisher: Library of Cyprus
Total Pages: 114
Release: 2019-02-23
Genre:
ISBN: 9789925755608

This is the Black & White version of the book, available at a discount, which does not include the research data and analysis tables. There is also a Full Colour version that includes all the research data and analysis tables. What is a Stock Market? How do stock markets operate? Who invests in a stock market and when is it an appropriate tool for investment? Why do we care if a stock market is efficient or not? Where can we find evidence of market efficiency? With what tools can we test market efficiency?These are some of the questions that this book approaches. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is a theory in financial economics, developed by Eugene Fama, which states that asset prices fully reflect all available information. Thus, it is implied that stocks always trade at their fair value, making it impossible for investors to "beat the market" via technical or fundamental analysis, since market prices should only react to new information.There are three variants of the EMH: "weak," "semi-strong," and "strong" form. The weak form of the EMH claims that prices already reflect all past publicly available market information. The semi-strong form claims that prices reflect all publicly available information, thus price changes occur to reflect new publicly available information. The strong form adds to this that prices instantly reflect even hidden private "insider" information.Testing the EMH is no easy task: Quantifying the availability of information and its effect on prices and market efficiency is challenging, making research on the subject difficult, time consuming and open to criticism. However, anecdotal evidence suggests that markets at best reach semi-strong form efficiency, with weak form efficiency being the norm. However, even this is challenged by the critics of EMH, via concepts such as Behavioural Finance.This book aims to familiarise the reader with the concept of EMH, covering the fundamentals and relevant literature. We then discuss market efficiency tests for Weak Form Market Efficiency, examining in more detail the day-of-the-week effect and its significance on stock market efficiency. The day-of-the-week effect is defined as a pattern where a certain day of the week has abnormal returns continuously. It is an anomaly that violates the random walk hypothesis, and thus implies that a market is not Weak Form efficient.We put theory into practice through the Empirical Research section which is divided into two parts, looking at two different approaches to researching the day-of-the-week effect, via the examination of actual research examples on a small European stock exchange. Both of these Thesis tested the hypothesis of random walk to determine the authenticity of weak form market efficiency for a small emerging stock market within the EU (the Cyprus Stock Exchange).

Critical Review about Implications of the Efficient Market Hypothesis

Critical Review about Implications of the Efficient Market Hypothesis
Author: Sascha Kurth
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2011-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3656040702

Seminar paper from the year 2011 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,0, University of Hull, course: Current Issues Financial Management, language: English, abstract: The study examines and critical reviews the literature for the different implications based on the three levels of the Efficient Market Hypothesis for investors and company managers. If the weak form of the EMH holds, the technical analyse is useless, but ninety percent of traders in London are using it. If the semi-strong-form holds the fundamental analysis, study of published accounts, search for undervalued companies are useless and investors should be focus on diversification and avoiding of transaction costs. Furthermore the semi-strong form would imply for managers, that accounting disclosure to deceived shareholders is useless, the company market value is the best indicator for the company value and management decisions, the company does not need specialists for the timing of issues and there are no opportunities for a cheap acquisition of another company. At least if the strong-form of the EMH holds, it would imply that even with insider information it would not be possible to get above average returns. The literature shows, that the studies of EMH have made an important contribution to our understanding of the security market. It also shows that in some cases scientific results do not strong influence the behaviour of manager and investors in the "real world".

Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency

Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency
Author: Uttam B Sapate
Publisher: Educreation Publishing
Total Pages: 196
Release:
Genre: Education
ISBN:

Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency This book "Econometric Analysis of Weak Form of Market Efficiency" is an outcome of doctoral research work carried out on a large amount of stock market data using MATLAB software. It is a unique study wherein a battery of econometric tests has been applied to test the Indian stock market's weak form efficiency. This book consists of 6 chapters describing the concepts of market efficiency, econometric analysis and outcomes of the study. Each chapter deals with complex mathematical terminology in lucid and simple language for better understanding. This books aims at providing advance knowledge to the researches for application of econometric techniques to ascertain market efficiency. However, at the same time it is useful as a practical guide to the graduate / post graduate students of management, economics, and securities markets and engineering for carrying out desk research using MATLAB handling large amount of secondary data. The research outcomes are expected to be guiding force to investors, academicians, researchers in many ways wherein this work can further be extended.

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Application to Stock Markets

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its Application to Stock Markets
Author: Sebastian Harder
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2010-11-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640743776

Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.7, The FOM University of Applied Sciences, Hamburg, language: English, abstract: Especially after the 90ies, where the stock markets raised enormously, many private investors joined the stock market and were blended by abnormal profits and neglected possible losses. The same behavior could be observed before the Financial Crisis became reality. But each endless raising stock market would finally collapse, because stock prices are randomly and only driven by relevant news. The adjustment to the news is quickly. This is the theoretical argumentation of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), which will be evaluated in this paper. The author gives an overview about the EMH by explaining the basic principles and its mathematical formulation. The practical part evaluated the EMH on selected examples, where the theory could only be partly approved.

Weak Form Efficiency Tests

Weak Form Efficiency Tests
Author: Björn Schubert
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 69
Release: 2009-07-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640378563

Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 2,3, University of Edinburgh, language: English, abstract: While using standard tests of weak form market efficiency along with the more recent DELAY test, this report examines if the returns of six selected stocks and two decile indices follow a random walk which would evidence the non-predictability of future stock returns by historical prices which is a necessary condition for the weakest form of market efficiency. The evidence of four different measurement tests suggests that except of one stock all stocks and indices drift away from the weak form market efficiency hypothesis.

Principles of the Efficient Market Hypothesis

Principles of the Efficient Market Hypothesis
Author:
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2021-11-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3346537048

Seminar paper from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - Market research, grade: 1,0, accadis Hochschule Bad Homburg, course: International Finance, language: English, abstract: This project will focus on the Efficient Market Hypothesis which is used in the form of its abbreviation EMH during the next sections. In this context, in Part A EMH will be examined in the context of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which includes 30 components and is America's most prominent and globally applied stock index. Multiple economists have taken studies of efficient market hypothesis to their main subject, subsequently, efficient market hypothesis is one of the most common and observed theories in modern finance. Today, EMH is widely used and prospers from frequent testing, which, in the past, has led to new findings, more precisely, different emphasis of EMH. During his research, the previously mentioned economist Fama investigated in his test that there must be three emphasis of EMH, which he differentiated into weak form market efficiency, semi-strong form market efficiency as well as strong form market efficiency. In the modern theory of finance, the most known starting theory is that of efficient capital markets. In repetition to part A of this assignment, the term “efficiency” denotes the fact that investors have no opportunity of obtaining abnormal profits from capital market transactions as compared to other investors, so that they cannot beat the market. Consequently, investors are forced to invest in higher risk assets to increase the probability of gaining short term profits. The EMH theory is very controversial and many opposing opinions regarding this theory exist. By empirically testing, this assignment outlines the insufficiency to reject Weak Form Market Efficiency for the Dow Jones Industrial Average index. However, stock market returns are considered to be random. It is suggested that investors are incapable of constantly outperforming the market even if stock market indexes show certain temporarily anomalies, which remain hypothesized. Besides of other studies and reports, this assignment emphasizes the inability of the Efficient Market Hypothesis to explain anomalies at the current state of research. Finally, further research on the basis of new empirical data will maintain the debates about interpretation and possibilities to forecast stock prices in the course of EMH.

Testing Weak Form Efficient Market Hypothesis

Testing Weak Form Efficient Market Hypothesis
Author: Saeed Hassama
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Total Pages: 96
Release: 2015-06-08
Genre:
ISBN: 9783659708169

Stock market efficiency is one of the important concept in capital markets to understand flow of working in capital markets. With the greater movement in investments across the international boarders owing to integration of economies of the world, knowledge about the efficiency of developing markets is also obtaining greater importance. This study tested the hypothesis of random walk to determine the authenticity of the weak form market efficiency for the emerging and the biggest stock market of Pakistan named "Karachi Stock Exchange."