Non-uniqueness in Stochastic Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations
Author | : Juan Carlos Di Tata |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 28 |
Release | : 1983 |
Genre | : Money supply |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Juan Carlos Di Tata |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 28 |
Release | : 1983 |
Genre | : Money supply |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Bennett T. McCallum |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 66 |
Release | : 1981 |
Genre | : Econometrics |
ISBN | : |
Many macroeconomic models involving rational expect at ions give rise to an infinity of solution paths, even when the models are linear in all variables. Some writers have suggested that this non-uniqueness constitutes a serious weakness for the rational expectations hypothesis. One purpose of the present paper is to argue that the non-uniqueness in question is not properly attributable to the rationality hypothesis but, instead, is a general feature of dynamic models involving expectations. It is also argued that there typically exists, in a very wide class of linear rational expectations models, a single solution that excludes "bubble" or "bootstrap" effects ones that occur only because they are arbitrarily expected to occur. A systematic procedure for obtaining solutions free from such effects is introduced and discussed. In addition, this procedure is used to interpret and reconsider several prominent examples with solution multiplicities, including ones developed by Fischer Black and John B. Taylor. [Resumen de autor]
Author | : L. Broze |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 249 |
Release | : 2014-06-28 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1483296288 |
This book is devoted to the econometric analysis of linear multivariate rational expectation models. It shows that the interpretation of multiplicity in terms of "new degrees of freedom" is consistent with a rigorous econometric reasoning. Non-uniqueness is the central theme of this book. Each chapter is concerned with a specific econometric aspect of rational expectations equilibria. The most constructive result lies in the possibility of an empirical determination of the equilibrium followed by the economy.
Author | : L. Broze |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 134 |
Release | : 2013-06-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1136457739 |
A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.
Author | : L. Broze |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 144 |
Release | : 2013-06-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1136457801 |
A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.
Author | : P. Fisher |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 215 |
Release | : 2013-04-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9401580022 |
It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Author | : John Eatwell |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 296 |
Release | : 1990-02-23 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1349205702 |
This is an excerpt from the 4-volume dictionary of economics, a reference book which aims to define the subject of economics today. 1300 subject entries in the complete work cover the broad themes of economic theory. This extract concentrates on econometrics.
Author | : Mr.Peter Isard |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 304 |
Release | : 2000-01-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9781557758347 |
This book contains the proceedings of a conference held in honor of Robert P. Flood Jr. Contributors to the conference were invited to address many of the topics that Robert Flood has explored including regime switching, speculative attacks, bubbles, stock market voloatility, macro models with nominal rigidities, dual exchange rates, target zones, and rules versus discretion in monetary policy. The results, contained in this volume, include five papers on topics in international finance.
Author | : Jagdeep S. Bhandari |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 342 |
Release | : 1987 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780262521222 |
These twelve essays take up economic management under flexible exchange rates in the presence of uncertainty. Nearly all of the contributions adopt a rational expectations framework, focusing on the stochastic aspects of the assumption and exploring the variability of, for example, output and prices in relation to the variability of various external disturbances.Jagdeep Bhandari is Associate Professor of International Economics at West Virginia University.