Estimation of the Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility Model Parameters that is Robust to Level Shifts and Deterministic Trends

Estimation of the Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility Model Parameters that is Robust to Level Shifts and Deterministic Trends
Author: Adam McCloskey
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

I provide conditions under which the trimmed FDQML estimator, advanced by McCloskey (2010) in the context of fully parametric short-memory models, can be used to estimate the long-memory stochastic volatility model parameters in the presence of additive low-frequency contamination in log-squared returns. The types of low-frequency contamination covered include level shifts as well as deterministic trends. I establish consistency and asymptotic normality in the presence or absence of such low-frequency contamination under certain conditions on the growth rate of the trimming parameter. I also provide theoretical guidance on the choice of trimming parameter by heuristically obtaining its asymptotic MSE-optimal rate under certain types of low-frequency contamination. A simulation study examines the finite sample properties of the robust estimator, showing substantial gains from its use in the presence of level shifts. The finite sample analysis also explores how different levels of trimming affect the parameter estimates in the presence and absence of low-frequency contamination and long-memory.

Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Volatility Models

Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Volatility Models
Author: Jaya P. N. Bishwal
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 634
Release: 2022-08-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3031038614

This book develops alternative methods to estimate the unknown parameters in stochastic volatility models, offering a new approach to test model accuracy. While there is ample research to document stochastic differential equation models driven by Brownian motion based on discrete observations of the underlying diffusion process, these traditional methods often fail to estimate the unknown parameters in the unobserved volatility processes. This text studies the second order rate of weak convergence to normality to obtain refined inference results like confidence interval, as well as nontraditional continuous time stochastic volatility models driven by fractional Levy processes. By incorporating jumps and long memory into the volatility process, these new methods will help better predict option pricing and stock market crash risk. Some simulation algorithms for numerical experiments are provided.

Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance

Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance
Author: Frederi G. Viens
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 468
Release: 2011-12-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470876883

CUTTING-EDGE DEVELOPMENTS IN HIGH-FREQUENCY FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS In recent years, the availability of high-frequency data and advances in computing have allowed financial practitioners to design systems that can handle and analyze this information. Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance addresses the many theoretical and practical questions raised by the nature and intrinsic properties of this data. A one-stop compilation of empirical and analytical research, this handbook explores data sampled with high-frequency finance in financial engineering, statistics, and the modern financial business arena. Every chapter uses real-world examples to present new, original, and relevant topics that relate to newly evolving discoveries in high-frequency finance, such as: Designing new methodology to discover elasticity and plasticity of price evolution Constructing microstructure simulation models Calculation of option prices in the presence of jumps and transaction costs Using boosting for financial analysis and trading The handbook motivates practitioners to apply high-frequency finance to real-world situations by including exclusive topics such as risk measurement and management, UHF data, microstructure, dynamic multi-period optimization, mortgage data models, hybrid Monte Carlo, retirement, trading systems and forecasting, pricing, and boosting. The diverse topics and viewpoints presented in each chapter ensure that readers are supplied with a wide treatment of practical methods. Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with high-frequency data in their everyday work. It also serves as a supplement for risk management and high-frequency finance courses at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Bias-Reduced Estimation of Long Memory Stochastic Volatility

Bias-Reduced Estimation of Long Memory Stochastic Volatility
Author: Per Skaarup Frederiksen
Publisher:
Total Pages: 17
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

We propose to use a variant of the local polynomial Whittle estimator to estimate the memory parameter in volatility for long memory stochastic volatility models with potential nonstationarity in the volatility process. We show that the estimator is asymptotically normal and capable of obtaining bias reduction as well as a rate of convergence arbitrarily close to the parametric rate, n1=2. A Monte Carlo study is conducted to support the theoretical results, and an analysis of daily exchange rates demonstrates the empirical usefulness of the estimators.

On the Log Periodogram Regression Estimator of the Memory Parameter in Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models

On the Log Periodogram Regression Estimator of the Memory Parameter in Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models
Author: Rohit Deo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 25
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

We consider semiparametric estimation of the memory parameter in a long memorystochastic volatility model. We study the estimator based on a log periodogramregression as originally proposed by Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983,Journal of Time Series Analysis 4, 221 238). Expressions for the asymptotic biasand variance of the estimator are obtained, and the asymptotic distribution is shownto be the same as that obtained in recent literature for a Gaussian long memoryseries. The theoretical result does not require omission of a block of frequenciesnear the origin. We show that this ability to use the lowest frequencies is particularlydesirable in the context of the long memory stochastic volatility model.

Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory

Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory
Author: Manabu Asai
Publisher:
Total Pages: 27
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

In recent years fractionally differenced processes have received a great deal of attention due to their flexibility in financial applications with long memory. In this paper, we develop a new realized stochastic volatility (RSV) model with general Gegenbauer long memory (GGLM), which encompasses a new RSV model with seasonal long memory (SLM). The RSV model uses the information from returns and realized volatility measures simultaneously. The long memory structure of both models can describe unbounded peaks apart from the origin in the power spectrum. For estimating the RSV-GGLM model, we suggest estimating the location parameters for the peaks of the power spectrum in the first step, and the remaining parameters based on the Whittle likelihood in the second step. We conduct Monte Carlo experiments for investigating the finite sample properties of the estimators, with a quasi-likelihood ratio test of RSV-SLM model against the RSV-GGLM model. We apply the RSV-GGLM and RSV-SLM model to three stock market indices. The estimation and forecasting results indicate the adequacy of considering general long memory.